Bellwether swing voters

[SingingAnalyst]

http://www.google.com.br/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&ved=0CB0QFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.uvm.edu%2F~dguber%2FPOLS125%2Farticles%2Fpomper.pdf&ei=ZLfCVKeqBMOjgwSsl4O4Bw&usg=AFQjCNHuITBZxAzYWVGFtVtaFgfwwLb-kQ&sig2=sCn4-HlZw4skB1gB3psV3g&bvm=bv.84349003,d.eXY

I found interesting data here
How did voters in 2000 voted in 1996 and 2000
39% Clinton / Gore
31% Dole / Bush
7% Clinton / Bush
7% No Vote / Bush
6% No Vote / Gore
4% Perot / Bush
2% Perot / Gore
2% Nader
2% Dole / Gore

I suspect the percentage of party switchers (9%; in bold) would be just as small in more recent consecutive elections. This shows that it takes only a relatively small number of "swing" voters (in the truest sense of the word) to change the outcome of an election, and that the vast majority of voters are committed to one party or another.

Looking back, I suspect that of those who voted for a major party candidate in both '72 and '76, about 23% switched parties.