LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races
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Author Topic: LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races  (Read 214969 times)
Miles
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« Reply #1225 on: February 10, 2014, 03:31:25 PM »
Lets cross that bridge when we come to it Wink

The word is that Gov. Vitter (if that happens) will appoint Kennedy if he stands down for Governor. Otherwise, if Landrieu holds on, Cassidy gets the appointment.
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windjammer
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« Reply #1226 on: February 10, 2014, 03:33:56 PM »
Quote from: Mardi Gras Miles on February 10, 2014, 03:31:25 PM
Lets cross that bridge when we come to it Wink

The word is that Gov. Vitter (if that happens) will appoint Kennedy if he stands down for Governor. Otherwise, if Landrieu holds on, Cassidy gets the appointment.

I thought Cassidy and Vitter didn't like each other.
But honestly, Cassidy could be a good senator I guess, especially compared to Vitter or Jindal,...


-------------------------
Your prediction for PPP?
Me: Hagan is tied or trails by 1-2 points. And Landrieu leads Cassidy by 4-5 points.
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Miles
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« Reply #1227 on: February 10, 2014, 03:41:09 PM »
Vitter I think can tolerate Cassidy; he hasn't earned Vitter's ire as much as some others.

Not a very bold prediction, but I think Hagan/Landrieu will be within three points of Tillis/Cassidy.

FWIW:

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  
Phil Robertson polls stronger as a Louisiana Senate candidate than Bill Cassidy v. Mary Landrieu

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  2h
Favorabilities with GOP voters- Phil Robertson 59/10, Bill Cassidy 39/11
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windjammer
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« Reply #1228 on: February 10, 2014, 03:44:03 PM »
Within? What does that mean?  (sorry).
Wow, Cassidy seems to be unknown.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1229 on: February 10, 2014, 03:44:27 PM »
Miles: Looks like name ID.

Aiken attacking Ellmers on sequestration.
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Miles
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« Reply #1230 on: February 10, 2014, 03:46:14 PM »
Fort Bragg is in this district, so that should help him around Cumberland County.
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windjammer
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« Reply #1231 on: February 10, 2014, 03:46:42 PM »
Aiken is hawkish, perfect! He won't win, but I hope he will have a great future in NC!
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Miles
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« Reply #1232 on: February 11, 2014, 11:26:23 AM »
As you'd expect from Fox News, a very informative read on the LA Senate race.

I didn't know the state changed its electoral system by getting rid of the runoff:

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1233 on: February 11, 2014, 11:34:30 AM »
I know that Maness hasn't been getting anywhere, but how much traction do you see Hollis getting? I'm guessing he's building name ID for another statewide run.
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Miles
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« Reply #1234 on: February 11, 2014, 11:43:34 AM »
He's been quiet ever since his first round of ads. His ceiling is probably 12-15% in primary at this rate, IMO. I could see him going this route to raise name rec.
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Miles
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« Reply #1235 on: February 11, 2014, 04:32:45 PM »
Another candidate for CD6? It sounds like this woman does good work, but she'd start out way behind and probably would take the most votes from Claitor:

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1236 on: February 11, 2014, 04:51:49 PM »
Another moderate was what I was hoping for. Any news on Felder or the Jindal aide?
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Miles
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« Reply #1237 on: February 11, 2014, 04:53:36 PM »
No but the LSU paper has another candidate write-up on the grad student thats running.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1238 on: February 11, 2014, 05:06:27 PM »
LA-06 will be an exercise in political dexterity, that's for sure. How much of a splash does the Jindal aide make if he gets in? Would obviously be competing with Dietzel for the severe conservative runoff slot.
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Miles
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« Reply #1239 on: February 11, 2014, 05:15:18 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 11, 2014, 05:06:27 PM
LA-06 will be an exercise in political dexterity, that's for sure. How much of a splash does the Jindal aide make if he gets in? Would obviously be competing with Dietzel for the severe conservative runoff slot.

Ideologically he hurts Dietzel, geographically he hurts Claitor. Dietzel is running as more the exurban/rural candidate with a base in Livingston Parish. This guy could rack up margins along the coastal arm of the district and eat into Claitor's share in Baton Rouge.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1240 on: February 11, 2014, 05:48:12 PM »
Could get pretty negative pretty quickly, but will still be a fun race to watch regardless. Doubt the top 3 will need many positive ads, they're not exactly unknowns. Tongue
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1241 on: February 11, 2014, 06:37:32 PM »
Not surprising in the least, but also not a BFD.
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Miles
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« Reply #1242 on: February 11, 2014, 06:42:22 PM »

That goes under this category Wink
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1243 on: February 11, 2014, 09:00:43 PM »
When will that NC PPP poll be out?
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Miles
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« Reply #1244 on: February 11, 2014, 09:01:54 PM »

Likely tomorrow or Thursday.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1245 on: February 11, 2014, 09:06:49 PM »
Doubt there was much movement, at most 3-4 points on approvals and H2H. More curious to see the primary numbers and how quickly they're evolving.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1246 on: February 12, 2014, 09:18:16 AM »
Dem PACs counterattacking in NC.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #1247 on: February 12, 2014, 09:52:05 AM »
http://politi.co/1lCcwQe
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windjammer
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« Reply #1248 on: February 12, 2014, 02:21:23 PM »
Wow, Landrieu only leads by 1 point, I have overestimated her lead Sad.
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Miles
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« Reply #1249 on: February 12, 2014, 02:24:02 PM »
Absolutely sickening:

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As if any of the LA House races will be competitive, incumbents are way ahead in cash.
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