British Local Elections, May 2024

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1786187421106749944?t=2DXdh7sfWeAIkKVgP...

This is one ward I didn't have falling, Reform at work.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1786188880204451989?t=HFadaLlt62MxUBKJQ...

https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1786185456079487361?t=scw6IWdhOItrTRy2P...

Seemingly dueling results,  but not really.  The Lib-Dems gain is a repeat of 2023, whereas the localist loss is new. And Notably the localists supported the independent candidate for mayor of the northeast.

[Tintrlvr]

Another Green gain, this time in a ward they haven't won before (according to New Statesman).

https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1786186531658404336

This looks like a possible Gaza-related result. Elswick is the most Muslim part of Newcastle (and the safest Labour ward until now).

[Oryxslayer]

Sunderland is done. Labour end up gaining gaining six: 5 off the Tories in 2021 (several now Indies) and 1 off the Lib-Dems which is a first. Lib-Dems once again the opposition.

[Torrain]

Nice visualisation of said-results:
https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1786194761956692011

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1786197495934005566?t=-ekQXT9u_BTtDuMfA...

Disappointment for the Lib-Dem, who took this in 2023. Labour growth might point to them taking Lib-Dem seats, or it may not.

I believe hartlepool just declared a Labour ward gain on BBC but it was muffled.

And also despite some large swings to the Greens in (muslim?) wards in Newcastle, they still found a way to take Castle ward which was a Lib-Dem stronghold.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Something people who are not British (or who have not followed these things before) should note is that local factors are very important in shaping some results, even if national patterns are what they are.

[Oryxslayer]

Something people who are not British (or who have not followed these things before) should note is that local factors are very important in shaping some results, even if national patterns are what they are.

That's definitely what happened in South Tyneside, and could in later Southeast councils. Question is...why. it's not on the council's misbehaving list as Teale likes to call it. The greens were not the beneficiaries. It think it was mentioned somewhere that local labour were just very complacent in 2023, maybe a repeat?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The Conservative who nearly took the Gosforth ward in Newcastle off the LibDems last year has pulled it off this year, in a rather rare (thus far) bright spot for them. This is a very middle class, very affluent, ward, on some metrics the most prosperous in the entire North East.

[Oryxslayer]

Hartlepool is falling, with Reform also cutting into the Indies. Labour have taken it. 9/12, seven gains. Most seats with over 50% so reform hurt the Tories but no in an way that was unexpected.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

That's definitely what happened in South Tyneside, and could in later Southeast councils. Question is...why. it's not on the council's misbehaving list as Teale likes to call it. The greens were not the beneficiaries. It think it was mentioned somewhere that local labour were just very complacent in 2023, maybe a repeat?

There have been long-running issues for a time, but there has been a rather nasty bin strike there and I think it is still ongoing. Voters tend to get cross when rubbish piles up in the streets and so on.

[Torrain]

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1786202255789564262

[Philly D.]

Kuennsberg referring to Eastleigh as a suburb of Bournemouth hurts my ears.

[Oryxslayer]

Labour have gained 5 seats in Thurrock and it's 9/1/1 with 6 seats left to declare. 1 more and they have a majority. They were expected to make gains given the poor situation locally there, but not a total landslide. The recent council tax raise must have compounded the debt issue.

It fell with the next result declared lol, which was another gain.

[Gass3268]

Hartlepool is falling, with Reform also cutting into the Indies. Labour have taken it. 9/12, seven gains. Most seats with over 50% so reform hurt the Tories but no in an way that was unexpected.

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1786207811749155190

[Philly D.]

Cons lose North East Lincolnshire to NOC.

[Oryxslayer]

Cons lose North East Lincolnshire to NOC.

And notably in a much worse fashion for the Tories than I benchmarked.



Peterborough is a Tory bloodbath, but nobody specific is gaining.

[Philly D.]

Out of 100 Tory seats to have declared, they lost 64. They also just lost Rushmoor.

[Storr]

Out of 100 Tory seats to have declared, they lost 64. They also just lost Rushmoor.

You have to hand it to 'em, that's an impressive level of failure.

[Oryxslayer]

Professor Curtis says rushmoor had boundary changes on BBC...which is incorrect. He's getting too old!

[DL]

Where is Rushmoor?

[Philly D.]

Rushmoor is basically the area around Aldershot in Hampshire. That means Ground Zero for the British Army.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Where is Rushmoor?

South Dakota.

[warandwar]

https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1786188880204451989?t=HFadaLlt62MxUBKJQ...

https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1786185456079487361?t=scw6IWdhOItrTRy2P...

Seemingly dueling results,  but not really.  The Lib-Dems gain is a repeat of 2023, whereas the localist loss is new. And Notably the localists supported the independent candidate for mayor of the northeast.

Looking like South Tyneside is the binmen's revenge.
If you haven't seen any of Amber Films's work on South Shields, I highly recommend. This is a good place to start: https://www.amber-online.com/collection/shields-stories-1988/

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Where is Rushmoor?

Northern Hampshire. Aldershot and Farnborough. Aldershot is a famous army town and Farnborough is associated with aviation and related military research (if not to the extent that it used to be).