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Not taking back my vote for Biden even after seeing these MI/PA/VA/FL only crosstabs.

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5faecb8fb23a85370058aed8/t/66588ec4ff839a29b74eabfb/1717079748517/AAI+poll.24.05.30.pdf

Trump 32
Biden 18
Kennedy 12
Stein 7
West 6
Undecided 25

Men
Trump 48
Biden 19
Kennedy 8
Stein 3

Women
Biden 17
Trump 16
Kennedy 16
Stein 11

Their 2020 poll (Arab voters nationally) was Biden 59, Trump 35.

Would definitely like to see a disaggregated Arab American poll to see if different immigrant waves, countries of origin, and religion. Also curious what a properly disaggregated Muslim American poll would look like compared to disaggregated Asian and Black crosstabs.

This thread has gotten quiet but apparently some jurors are still confused about the instructions because it appears there was another request

well, at least RISE is getting some seats... but this is looking like a mess generally.

Where I'm at right now, without jinxing, is that it's more likely than not there will be convictions on at least of the counts. Maybe not 34, but I feel like at least some of them seems likely.

Juries also love nothing more than compromising to have some counts guilty, some not guilty.

I'm sure that if he gets convicted on, let's say four or five, he will spin this as a win because that's just around ten percent. "Even with a totally rigged jury, I won 90% of cases."

sure he'll try to, and i'm sure some of the press will downplay it, but at the end of the day even 1 count will give him the moniker of "Convicted Felon"

Rosen at 48 is eye popping.  She only needs around that to win, lol.

It's wild that she's doing so well while Masto took forever to get even beyond 45. I think a lot of it right now is due to Brown being an unknown, while Laxalt was obv much more known. Masto and Rosen seem on the same level in terms of how well they're known to voters.

Nope.

Wouldn't change a single vote.

Pretty sure it would halt in its tracks any "momentum" with black voters

Have to move quick though - all of 72 hours to get them lined up, along with over 100 others…

Those of us who have followed many General Elections will be aware that controversies about candidates typically come in two distinct waves. The first is about the process itself, and is invariably dominated by news of disputes, deselections and alleged stitch-ups from Labour. The second is about lunatics who have somehow managed to slip through the net: if it ever gets going in a big way (i.e. beyond 'candidate in Hopeless Seat West said X'), then the Conservatives typically dominate this phase.

I'll be voting against this, I think it's very worthwhile to keep things accessible to anyone who doesn't have a phone/want to have their phone with them when going out. Or just if their battery has died or something.

They copied my idea!  I've been doing this to my HOA president's house for years.