Well? What do you think the vote breakdown would look like? I'm going to give my best guess, attempting to adjust for social and economic changes made by a decade of alternative legislation at literally every level of government.
Gender IdentityMen: Probably a narrow plurality for the
Federalists, I'd wager. Sexual politics seem to be less of an issue in Atlasia than in the United States, though the overwhelming support of the Federalists for anti-abortion politics and other traditionally "male" positions on social issues would probably give them a relative advantage here.
Women: Labor, given the party's record on abortion rights and introducing paid parental leave.
Transgender/Genderqueer: A relatively strong demographic for
Labor, given that Labor was responsible for the Transgender Rights Act. There would probably be a significant minority however that would support the
Radical Gays.
Age18-29:
Labor/
Radical Gay/
Democratic-Republican30-44:
Labor/
Federalist/
Progressive Union45-64: Federalist/
Labor65 and older: Federalist/
LaborRaceWhite:
Federalist plurality, for reasons similar to those stated above. White working class voters are probably more likely here to vote for the left-wing party than in the United States because of a less overt racial politics.
African-Atlasians: Labor, although the Federalists probably can expect to do a lot better than the Republicans with this demographic
Latino: Labor, though much more of a swing demographic than in the United States.
Asian-Atlasians: Probably more of a swing demographic here than in the United States. Lean
Labor.
EducationNo high school education: Strongly
LaborHigh school only: LaborSome college: Swing demographic
College graduate: Federalist/
Progressive UnionPostgraduate: LaborIncomeLess than $50K: Labor$50-100K: Federalist/
Progressive Union$100K+: Federalist/
Democratic-RepublicanReligionProtestant: FederalistCatholic: LaborOther: LaborNone: LaborUnion membershipUnion members: Overwhelmingly
Labor, though Federalists like President Duke can probably expect probably 15-20% of the labor union vote owing to his support of labor-related legislative efforts