Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)

[Asian Nazi]

I'm predicting a Sanders upset.  His supporters seem more motivated than Clinton's.

Based on what?

Actual polling suggests otherwise

[Asian Nazi]

I'm predicting a Sanders upset.  His supporters seem more motivated than Clinton's.

Based on what?

Actual polling suggests otherwise

Personal experience with supporters of both candidates.

lolk

[Asian Nazi]

Oh boy. If this is an indication of how salty people will be tonight, then it should be a good night.

It's going to be glorious.  Too bad Atlas will crash at like 3 pm lol

[Asian Nazi]

Bernie Sanders precinct captain door knocks & finds voter who supported Sanders has switched to Trump.

https://twitter.com/SamanthaJoRoth/status/694215539711815680

Hoping this trend manifests across the entire state!

FF!

[Asian Nazi]

Looking good for Hillary Clinton!  

[Asian Nazi]

Sanders is doing pretty well, much better than I expected.  Don't think he'll be able to catch Clinton without some massive unprecedented surge with the final 2/3 of the vote though.

[Asian Nazi]

The thing is this is close enough for the media to spin this as a "ZOMG Sanders almost won he's gaining on Clinton she's collapsing!!!111!!"

Well duh the media wants a contest.  Whether he actually manages to catch her in Iowa or not, he's done well enough where it'll seem like a two-way race until Super Tuesday.

[Asian Nazi]

Sanders won a greater share of under 30 voters (84%) than Obama did in 2008 (81%)

Okay, I'm not gonna lie, that's pretty f**king impressive.  

[Asian Nazi]

Just because Sanders still unlikely to win the nomination doesn't mean that this isn't a HUGE coup for him.  Obviously an outright victory would've been even bigger, but a tie keeps the money/media attention flowing and this will only be exacerbated when he (in all likelihood) wins NH.  Sanders' campaign, and the amount of influence he'll have on the nomination process, are directly proportional to the amount of buzz and resources to generate along the way.  He did exactly what he needed to do to keep young voters enthused and turning out in the run-up to Super Tuesday.

[Asian Nazi]

Yep.  This is a switch from several months ago, when Sanders was getting more support among upper income whites.  In the entrance poll tonight, he won lower income voters while Clinton won upper income voters.

But the generational gap seems to have surpassed anything else.  Sanders seems to have maxed out with under-30's.  If he's going to win, he has to start improving his numbers with older voters.

[Asian Nazi]

The under 30s may be maxed out margin wise but not turnout wise. I think turning more of them out is easier than convincing voters already intending to vote Clinton.

This is fair and I can agree. 

[Asian Nazi]

Anybody have the numbers for the black majority precincts?  Same for Hispanic ones if they exist.