Will polls immediately show Perry doing better against Obama than Romney?

[Jacobtm]

When new polls come out, will a majority show Perry matching up against Obama better than Romney is?

[Penelope]

No.

He'll be getting somewhere in between Bachmann and Romney.

[Eraserhead]

I doubt any serious polls will ever show that.

[anvi]

Perry had been doing just ever so slightly better than Bachmann against Obama in state-by-state polls before tonight, so I wouldn't expect anything to change much in the near future; he doesn't have Romney's name-rec yet.

[Mr. Morden]

No, but it wouldn't surprise me if Perry quickly catches up in national primary polls, given how close he already is:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html

Especially given this endorsement:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=139500.0

[The Vorlon]

This far out, polls of Obama versus (fill in the blank) are as much name recognition as they are an actual test ballot.

In a Presidential year if there is an incumbent on the ballot, the first test is a referendum of the sitting president.  In some cases, re-election is pretty much a done deal (Think Reagan in 84, Clinton in 96) - In other cases, the game is still up for grabs.

Until the name recognition gap fades, Obama's number means more than any particular opponents total....

The general rule of thumb is if Obama is over or under 50%.

Over 50%, he will likely get re-elected,
45 (ish) % it will be a tactical race where the best campaign wins (Think Bush / Kerry in 2004)
Under 40% - He's toast....