Worst case scenario for her, I still see her holding 201 EVs. There are enough progressives in the northeast and on the west coast to allow her to hold those areas minus NH. For Illinois, the Chicago suburbs would swing to the GOP, making the state closer to a Kerry-level victory here. Michigan would be fairly close but like Illinois, its metro area is full of liberal-enough Dem-ticket voters to hold the state.
Minnesota would be a big loss for the Dems, but I believe there are enough moderates that have been voting Democrat for a long time in the MPLS burbs and northeastern part of the state that a too-liberal candidate could send them jumping the fence.
