Jill Stein recount requests

[jimrtex]

Can there be recounts in PA , WI, and MI? Is it too late? Or is Jill Stein just doing a meaningless PE stunt

Originally it was $2 or $3 million, then it basically doubled to pay for lawyers. The lawyers get paid no matter what. It sounds like Ben Carson's fund raising.

[jimrtex]

How could you possibly believe she isn't? 

besides the fact that jill literally seems to hate HRC ......i don't think there is any doubt that team hillary would have officially fought for this re-counts if they would have any merit.

Maybe the Clinton campaign was flipping Stein votes?

They knew they were losing the upper Midwest. Losing Iowa by 9+, Ohio by 8, Missouri and Indiana by 19. They almost lost Minnesota, where in Anoka County, Hillary Clinton had the worst performance for a Democrat since Al Smith.

But maybe the could hold on, if Stein didn't spoil the election.

Remember that the folks pushing for this first went to the Clinton campaign. If they mentioned certain anomalies in states where the Clinton campaign had been flipping Stein votes, there would be alarmed looks in the eyes of Clinton aides, particularly after the activists mentioned that people could go to jail.

If the Clinton aides had suggested, "nothing to see here, run along" and if Clinton herself had thrown something at them, they might have put two-and-two together, and went to Stein.

They've been totally secretive about what they see as discrepancies. But this could be part of a strategy of getting Clinton supporters to pay for the recount. In any event they get a mailing list of a key demographic for the Green Party - left-wing delusionals.

[jimrtex]

Any update on this? Most recent data?

Going off of Wisconsin's latest spreadsheet from today, and not including Milwaukee County which is being done differently than the others, then with about 30% of the state recounted, Trump has gained 245 votes, Clinton has gained 398 votes, Johnson 68, Stein 46; Clinton has netted 153 votes so far, which is better than she was on pace for before, but she's still very, very far from anything substantive changing.

Mostly they are onesies and twosies.

Dane is +25 for Clinton, but that includes +18 from one ward in the city of Monona. Madison is not recounted yet. Drop out Monona, and it is conceivable that Trump is increasing his vote share.

Iowa County. The Village of Avoca was 108T:105C. The recount shows 215T:375C. The total vote for all candidates is 634 votes, in a village with a 637 residents.

Looking at the alphabetically adjacent villages:
Arena: 2012: 120R:313O; 2016: 150T:223O
Barneveld: 2012: 181R:426O; 2016: 215T:375O

So Trump gained some, and Clinton lost more.

But I just noticed that the Avoca "recount" matches the Barneveld original count. So they entered the Barneveld recount on the Avova recount row.

Manitowoc/Town of Centerville. A note says that a bag with 24 ballots was not counted on election day. But the town was 70% Trump, and it appears that the bag was 24-0 Clinton. It sounds like something like the Maine recount.

Milwaukee

The city of Milwaukee is recounting their absentees separately from election day ballots, and Clinton is down about 15,000 votes.

The city of St.Francis shows a change from:

Trump 3634: Clinton 3576 (original)
Trump 2002: Clinton 2676 (recount)
Trump 1632: Clinton 900 (loss)

The lost votes are 65% Trump. I suspect they may originally have run absentee ballots through the scanners twice. The recount looks more like Johnson Feingold and 2012

Johnson 2202: Feingold 2657
Romney 2296: Obama 2977

And the trend looks similar to Cudahy. A city tucked in between the airport and a city named after a meatpacker is likely not the leafiest of suburbs.

So this may be the first real change, about +732 to Clinton.
Sauk. The December 2 report showed the Town of Woodland almost disappearing. But it appears that the recount for the Village of Cazenovia was entered on the wrong line. Only a tiny bit of the village is in Sauk County (7 total votes), with most in Richland County.

The December 3 report corrects this.
Walworth.

Town of La Grange: Gain of +63 Trump, +81 Clinton, +10 Johnson provides a better match to the senate race, both for candidates and votes cast.
Washburn.

Town of Bashaw +31 Trump due to error in original certification.

[jimrtex]

Fourth Day:

Mostly they are onesies and twosies.

Dane is +28 for Clinton, but that includes +18 from one ward in the city of Monona. Madison is not recounted/reported yet. Drop out Monona, and it is conceivable that Trump is increasing his vote share. Monona provided an explanation that they had found 12 unopened ballots in an envelope.

In the 2000 recount in Florida, the inept Gore campaign concentrated on counties that favored Gore such as Palm Beach, based on the theory that hanging chads were somewhat random. There would be more hanging Gore chads where there were more Gore votes. Only later did they latch on to Butterfly Ballot, etc. Had they gone with a statewide recount, they might have won. So far Dane appears to be favorable to Clinton, but Washington is favorable to Trump.
Fond du Lac reported that they were missing 13 absentee envelopes. In a process described as a "draw-down" both candidates lost votes. Under some election laws, if you have more ballots in a ballot box than you had voters, you randomly select ballots to be removed from the count.
Iowa County. The recount for the Village of Barneveld had been entered in the spreadsheet row for the Village of Avoca, giving the appearance of a large shift to Clinton. This has been corrected.
Manitowoc/Town of Centerville. A note says that a bag with 24 ballots was not counted on election day. But the town was 70% Trump, and it appears that the bag was 24-0 Clinton. It sounds like something like the Maine recount.
Milwaukee

The city of Milwaukee is recounting their absentees separately from election day ballots, and Clinton is down about 15,000 votes.

The city of St.Francis shows a change from:

Trump 3634: Clinton 3576 (original)
Trump 2002: Clinton 2676 (recount)
Trump 1632: Clinton 900 (loss)

The lost votes are 65% Trump. I suspect they may originally have run absentee ballots through the scanners twice. The recount looks more like Johnson Feingold and 2012

Johnson 2202: Feingold 2657
Romney 2296: Obama 2977

And the trend looks similar to Cudahy. A city tucked in between the airport and a city named after a meatpacker is likely not the leafiest of suburbs.

So this may be the first real change, about +732 to Clinton.
Ozaukee

The Village of Newburg reported a change from 1 Trump:8 Clinton to 30 Trump:8 Clinton. The recount result is consistent with the senate and 2012 results, so it appears that these were uncounted ballots.

A quirk of Wisconsin is that elections are conducted by towns, cities, and villages, and then canvassed by county. Most of Newburg is in Washington County, so it looks like they simply forgot to count/report many of the presidential votes in Ozaukee County. The total vote count in Ozaukee went from 16 to 45 votes. 633 votes were cast in Washington County.
Racine

The city of Racine reported 13 missed ballots because of incorrect marking device. This appears to be a report for a single precinct, that went from 507 Clinton:24 Trump, to 520 Clinton: 24 Trump (i.e a ward that was reported as 95.5% Clinton, was actually 95.6% Clinton).

This is possibly a more general problem, as Clinton has picked up 33 votes in 7 wards recounted. But the lowest-numbered wards also appear to be the most inner city.
Walworth.

Town of La Grange: Gain of +63 Trump, +81 Clinton, +10 Johnson provides a better match to the senate race, both for candidates and votes cast.
Washburn.

Town of Bashaw +31 Trump due to error in original certification.
Washington

Lot's of small changes add up to +18 Trump. Very few recounts are in from Waukesha, so there may be a similar pattern there.

Summary: The big change so far is for St.Francis. Because it is is Milwaukee County, it may have been missed by the media.

[jimrtex]

Regarding the St. Francis results.

It appears that in the original count, the results for St. Francis were switched with those from South Milwaukee. South Milwaukee is right above St. Francis in the spreadsheet. You can see that the new recount results from St. Francis match exactly the original results from South Milwaukee. So overall, the vote totals should remain roughly the same when South Milwaukee reports their recount results.

Yes.  The Day 5 spreadsheet moved the St.Francis votes to South Milwaukee.

[jimrtex]

After the 5th Day:

The recount votes for South Milwaukee had been placed in rows corresponding to St.Francis, which gave the appearance of a big drop in St. Francis votes. That has been corrected.

There is a note about Hales Corner in Milwaukee County being checked. It showed a drop of 255 votes in one of three precincts. The original counts better match the senate results and the 2012 presidential results.

The original results showed 38, 17, and 28 fewer votes in the presidential race than the senate race (i.e there were deliberate undervotes or write-ins for president). The tentative recount would make the difference 38, 16, and 483. So clearly the recount is wrong.

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 30 counties by 222 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 27 counties by 200 votes.

There were confirmed errors in the certified results from Village of Newburg, Ozaukee; and Town of Bashaw, Washburn, the corrected versions increased Trump's margin by 60+.

There were a dozen uncounted votes in City of Monona, Dane; and about 13-40 wrong marker votes in City of Racine, Racine that were generally favorable to Clinton.

Nothing is reported from Green Bay, Madison, La Crosse, Sheboygan, and Wausau. They may be recounting and going to report everything at once. Eau Claire and Kenosha have limited reporting.

It is conceivable that there will be marker problems similar to Racine in other locations. This may favor Clinton, since they may not be able to follow instructions.

Milwaukee is counting election-day votes separately from absentee ballots. So far 31.9% of Trump votes and 42.2% of Clinton votes have been recovered. The difference is probably due to the recounted wards being lower-numbered, more inner city, and more Clinton. The recounted wards were originally 86% Clinton (two-way), the un-recounted wards were only 74% Clinton.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 200 statewide.

[jimrtex]

After the 6th Day:

Recount from Village of Hales Corner, Milwaukee have been corrected.

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 28 counties by 280 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 31 counties by 284 votes. 12 counties have no net change.

There were confirmed errors in the certified results from Village of Newburg, Ozaukee; and Town of Bashaw, Washburn, the corrected versions increased Trump's margin by 60+.

There were a dozen uncounted votes in City of Monona, Dane; and about 13-40 wrong marker votes in City of Racine, Racine that were generally favorable to Clinton.

Nothing reported from Bayfield and Rusk counties. Votes are beginning to trickle in from some larger cities:

(note, the following are from the predominant county)

Green Bay 12/47 wards, +3 Clinton
Chippewa Falls no report
Madison 2/138 wards, No change
Eau Claire 11/64 wards, +8 Clinton
Kenosha 21/92 wards, +3 Clinton
La Crosse, 18/34, No net change.
Wausau, no report
Franklin, no report
Greenfield, no report
Wauwatosa, no report
West Allis, no report
Appleton, complete, +11 Trump
Racine, 25/36, +60 Clinton (apparently due to incorrect markers)
Beloit, no report
Janesville, no report
Sheboygan 26/32, +9 Clinton
Muskego, no report
New Berlin, no report
Waukesha, no report
Menomonee Falls (village), no report

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties

Adams, +8 Trump (includes confirmed correction +8 Trump in Town of Springville)
Ashland, 0 (Ashland reported no changes)
Barron, +2 Clinton
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Florence, +2 Trump
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Langlade, +52 Trump (includes confirmed correction of +40 Trump in Town of Rolling)
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Ozaukee, +32 Trump (includes confirmed correction of +29 Trump in Village of Newburg)
Polk, 0 (this is somewhat indicative of the entire process. The net of zero, includes changes to 11 of 37 precincts).
Price, +1 Clinton
Sauk, +9 Trump
Shawano, 0 (this is likely in error, previously Shawano had reported 10 changes, now there are none).
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Walworth, +8 Trump (including confirmed correction of +3 Clinton in Town of Whitewater)
Washburn, +34 Trump (including confirmed correction of +32 Trump in Town of Bashaw).

Other confirmed errors,

Dane, City of Monona (+18 Clinton)
Dane, City of Fitchburg (+6 Clinton)
Eau Claire, Town of Brunswick (+3 Clinton)
Eau Claire, Town of Seymour (+3 Clinton)
Eau Claire, City of Eau Claire (+3 Clinton)
Oddly all three corrections in the county were 7 Clinton, 4 Trump, +3 Clinton
Manitowoc, Town of Centerville (+25 Clinton)
Sheboygan, City of Plymouth (+5 Trump)
Vernon, City of Viroqua (+13 Clinton)

There were also three draw-downs for irregular absentee ballots. Since the ballots were pulled and counted, it can't be determined which they were, so they eliminate ballots by lot. This may have a bias, if absentee ballots without proper witnessing are more likely to be Democratic.

214 of 325 wards of the City of Milwaukee have been recounted. The recount is now more balanced.
Clinton received 82.1% of the original vote in the recounted wards, and 77.5% in the non-recounted wards. In the recounted wards, Trump has recovered 82.3% of his vote, compared to 72.0% for Clinton. There appears to have been a larger share of the Clinton vote cast absentee.

This may reflect the the reason Clinton lost Wisconsin - election day enthusiasm. Someone who always votes may have become accustomed to voting absentee since they became older, or more infirm, or unable to drive. Absentee voting requires some preparation.

Election day voting requires some activity to get to the polling place. Some voters just won't get around to voting. They will have told a pollster that they were likely to vote, but went out to dinner after work, and forgot to vote. They will report to the census (1) that they voted; (2) had a sick relative; (3) were out of town; (4) didn't like the candidates; or (5) the dog ate my driver's license, shoes, pants, or car. A voter who is enthusiastic for his candidate will walk uphill 10 miles both ways in the snow, even if the polling place is 1/4 mile away and it is sunny.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 200 statewide.

[jimrtex]

After the 7th Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 32 counties by 289 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 30 counties by 379 votes. 9 counties have no change, including three counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel.

There were confirmed errors in the certified results from Village of Newburg, Ozaukee; Town of Bashaw, Washburn, the corrected versions increased Trump's margin by 60+; 28 votes were changed in the Town of Springville, Adams, with a net increase of +8 for Trump (and +9 for Johnson); error in election night addition results in +40 in Town of Rolling, Langlade; +6 Trump in Shawano, Belle Plaine.

There were a 12 uncounted votes in City of Monona, Dane; and 23 in the City of Fitchburg, Dane, for a net gain of +24 for Clinton. Overall, Clinton is up +75 in Dane, with very little of Madison counted.

Errors in Eau Claire County, in the towns of Brunswick and Seymour, City of Eau Claire, Ward 30 are net +9 for Clinton. Curiously, all three precinct changes were +7 Clinton, +4 Trump.

Manitowoc: +25 Clinton uncounted ballots in Town of Centerville; +26 Clinton (or -26 Trump) due to double counted ballots in Town of Kossuth. +46 Trump in City of Manitowoc due to 29 missed Trump votes by tabulator, and 17 Clinton votes that had a write-in overvote. You would think if that was a widespread practice, that it would show up elsewhere.

Marinette, City of Marinette. Scanners required a non-standard marker. Use of non-non-standard marker resulted in 294 missed votes. 9.5% of Clinton voters used the incorrect marker vs. 5.0% of Trump voters, resulting in +48 Clinton change. Marinette dropped from 59.9% Trump to 58.7% Trump.

Dozens of wrong marker votes in the City of Racine, that were generally favorable to Clinton. Apparently only the worst precincts are reported, but the Clinton is up +114 in the city. The Clinton increase was 0.72% vs. 0.24% for Trump (i.e. Clinton voters were three times as likely to use the wrong marker.

Sheboygan: 48 Uncounted ballots in two wards in City of Sheboygan +8 for Clinton; 17 double counted ballots in Town of Sheboygan +11 for Trump.

Vernon: City of Viroqua +13 Clinton due to 35 uncounted ballots. Village of Readstown -19 to Gary Johnson due to votes for Ron Johnson counted in the presidential race.

Nothing reported from Rusk county. Votes are beginning to trickle in from some larger cities:

(note, the following are from the predominant county)

Green Bay 29/47 wards, +5 Clinton
Village of Harrison, Calumet no report
Chippewa Falls no report
Madison 14/138 wards, +5 Clinton
Superior, 3/5 precincts, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire 25/64 wards, +12 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha 50/92 wards, +9 Clinton
La Crosse complete +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc 5/10 precincts, +41 Trump
Wausau, 19/37 wards, 0 net change.
Franklin, Milwaukee complete, +7 Clinton
Glendale, Milwaukee no report
Greenfield, Milwaukee no report
Wauwatosa, Milwaukee no report
West Allis, Milwaukee no report
Village of Whitefish Bay, Milwaukee no report
Appleton complete +11 Trump
Kaukauna, Outagamie no report
Town of Grand Chute, Outagamie no report
Village of Little Chute, Outagamie no report
Stevens Point, 11/15 precincts no report
Racine, 35/36 wards, +114 Clinton
Beloit no report
Janesville no report
Sheboygan complete, +16 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Brookfield 21/24, +6 Clinton
Muskego, no report
New Berlin, no report
Oconomowoc, no report
Pewaukee, no report
Waukesha, no report
Village of Menomonee Falls, no report
Neenah, no report
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump (includes confirmed correction +8 Trump in Town of Springville)
Ashland, 0 (Ashland reported no changes)
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Langlade, +52 Trump (includes confirmed correction of +40 Trump in Town of Rolling)
Marinette, +39 Clinton (mostly due to non-non-standard markers in City of Marinette.
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Ozaukee, +32 Trump (includes confirmed correction of +29 Trump in Village of Newburg)
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (this is somewhat indicative of the entire process. The net of zero, includes changes to 11 of 37 precincts).
Price, +1 Clinton
Sauk, +9 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump (this is a correction, due to election day results reported as recount).
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump (including confirmed correction of +3 Clinton in Town of Whitewater)
Washburn, +34 Trump (including confirmed correction of +32 Trump in Town of Bashaw).
Washington, +14 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton

317 of 325 wards of the City of Milwaukee have been recounted. The recount is now more balanced.
Clinton received 80.7% of the original vote in the recounted wards, and 80.7% in the non-recounted wards. In the recounted wards, Trump has recovered 83.0% of his vote, compared to 72.4% for Clinton. There appears to have been a larger share of the Clinton vote cast absentee.

This may reflect the the reason Clinton lost Wisconsin - election day enthusiasm. Someone who always votes may have become accustomed to voting absentee since they became older, or more infirm, or unable to drive. Absentee voting requires some preparation.

Election day voting requires some activity to get to the polling place. Some voters just won't get around to voting. They will have told a pollster that they were likely to vote, but went out to dinner after work, and forgot to vote. They will report to the census (1) that they voted; (2) had a sick relative; (3) were out of town; (4) didn't like the candidates; or (5) the dog ate my driver's license, shoes, pants, or car. A voter who is enthusiastic for his candidate will walk uphill 10 miles both ways in the snow, even if the polling place is 1/4 mile away and it is sunny.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 100 statewide.

[jimrtex]

After the 8th Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 33 counties by 324 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 30 counties by 384 votes. 9 counties have no change, including three counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel. +60 net Clinton. This excludes the City of Milwaukee.

(note, the following are from the predominant county)

Green Bay complete, +7 Clinton
Village of Harrison, Calumet, +5 Trump
Chippewa Falls 6/7 wards, +1 Trump
Madison 33/138 wards, +40 Clinton
Superior complete, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire 25/64 wards, +4 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha complete, +17 Clinton
La Crosse complete, +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc complete, +58 Trump
Wausau complete, +6 Trump
Franklin, Milwaukee complete, +7 Clinton
Glendale, Milwaukee no report
Greenfield, Milwaukee no report
Wauwatosa, Milwaukee complete, +5 Trump
West Allis, Milwaukee no report
Village of Whitefish Bay, Milwaukee no report
Appleton complete, +11 Trump
Kaukauna, Outagamie no report
Town of Grand Chute, Outagamie, 3/6 precincts, +1 Trump
Village of Little Chute, Outagamie no report
Stevens Point, 11/15 precincts, 0 change
Racine, 35/36 wards, +114 Clinton
Beloit no report
Janesville no report
Sheboygan complete, +16 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Brookfield complete, +11 Clinton
Muskego, complete, +1 Trump
New Berlin, complete, +7 Trump
Oconomowoc, complete, +3 Clinton
Pewaukee, complete, +4 Clinton
Waukesha, 2/49 wards, +1 Trump
Village of Menomonee Falls, no report
Neenah, complete, +1 Clinton
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump (includes confirmed correction +8 Trump in Town of Springville)
Ashland, 0 (Ashland reported no changes)
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Brown, +6 Clinton
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Grant, +4 Clinton
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Jefferson, +1 Clinton
Juneau, +7 Trump
Kenosha, +17 Clinton
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Lafayette, 0 (Lafayette reported no changes)
Langlade, +52 Trump (includes confirmed correction of +40 Trump in Town of Rolling)
Lincoln, 0 (cancelling errors in 11 of 37 precincts)
Manitowoc, +19 Trump
Marathon, +3 Clinton
Marinette, +39 Clinton (mostly due to non-non-standard markers in City of Marinette.
Marquette, +6 Clinton
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Oneida, +10 Trump
Ozaukee, +32 Trump (includes confirmed correction of +29 Trump in Village of Newburg)
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (this is somewhat indicative of the entire process. The net of zero, includes changes to 11 of 37 precincts).
Price, +1 Clinton
Richland, +2 Clinton
Rusk, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 33 precincts)
Sauk, +9 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Vilas, +3 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump
Washburn, +34 Trump (including confirmed correction of +32 Trump in Town of Bashaw).
Washington, +14 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton
Winnebago, +4 Trump
Wood, +4 Trump

317 of 325 wards of the City of Milwaukee have been recounted. The recount is now more balanced.
Clinton received 80.7% of the original vote in the recounted wards, and 80.7% in the non-recounted wards. In the recounted wards, Trump has recovered 83.0% of his vote, compared to 72.4% for Clinton. There appears to have been a larger share of the Clinton vote cast absentee.

This may reflect the the reason Clinton lost Wisconsin - election day enthusiasm. Someone who always votes may have become accustomed to voting absentee since they became older, or more infirm, or unable to drive. Absentee voting requires some preparation.

Election day voting requires some activity to get to the polling place. Some voters just won't get around to voting. They will have told a pollster that they were likely to vote, but went out to dinner after work, and forgot to vote. They will report to the census (1) that they voted; (2) had a sick relative; (3) were out of town; (4) didn't like the candidates; or (5) the dog ate my driver's license, shoes, pants, or car. A voter who is enthusiastic for his candidate will walk uphill 10 miles both ways in the snow, even if the polling place is 1/4 mile away and it is sunny.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 100 statewide.

[jimrtex]

After the 9th Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 36 counties by 356 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 29 counties by 405 votes. 7 counties have no change, including four counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel. +49 net Clinton. This excludes the City of Milwaukee.

(note, the following are from the predominant county) I have switched to a more consistent data set including cities, towns, and villages with more than 10,000 votes originally counted. If first inclusion in report, bolded, even if recount was finished days ago. Reports in red are updated.

DePere complete, +3 Clinton
Green Bay complete, +7 Clinton
Village of Howard complete, +2 Trump
Fitchburg complete, +16 Clinton
Madison 57/138 wards, +48 Clinton
Middleton complete, +3 Clinton
Sun Prairie complete, +17 Clinton
Superior complete, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire complete, +7 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha complete, +17 Clinton
Village of Pleasant Prairie complete, +1 Clinton
La Crosse complete, +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc complete, +58 Trump
Wausau complete, +6 Trump
Franklin complete, +7 Clinton
Greenfield complete, +6 Trump
Milwaukee, see below
Oak Creek complete, +3 Trump
South Milwaukee complete, +2 Clinton
Wauwatosa complete, +5 Trump
West Allis no report
Appleton complete, +11 Trump
Town of Grand Chute, 3/6 precincts, +1 Trump
Mequon complete, 0 net
Stevens Point, 11/15 precincts, 0 net
Racine, 35/36 wards, +114 Clinton
Village of Caledonia complete, +4 Clinton
Village of Mount Pleasant complete +7 Trump
Beloit complete, +4 Clinton
Janesville 18/33 wards, +1 Clinton
Sheboygan complete, +16 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Brookfield complete, +11 Clinton
Muskego complete, +1 Trump
New Berlin complete, +7 Trump
Waukesha, 35/49 wards, +2 Clinton
Village of Menomonee Falls, no report
Neenah complete, +1 Clinton
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump
Ashland, +3 Trump (correction of previous report).
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Brown, +6 Clinton
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Calumet, +23 Trump
Chippewa, +7 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Douglas, +10 Clinton
Dunn, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire, +23 Clinton
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Grant, +4 Clinton
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Jefferson, +1 Clinton
Juneau, +7 Trump
Kenosha, +17 Clinton
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Lafayette, 0 (Lafayette reported no changes)
Langlade, +52 Trump
Lincoln, 0 (cancelling errors in 8 of 27 precincts)
Manitowoc, +19 Trump
Marathon[/b], +3 Clinton
Marinette, +39 Clinton
Marquette, +4 Clinton
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Oneida, +10 Trump
Ozaukee, +32 Trump
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (this is somewhat indicative of the entire process. The net of zero, includes changes to 11 of 37 precincts).
Price, +1 Clinton
Richland, +2 Clinton
Rusk, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 33 precincts)
Sauk, +9 Trump
Sawyer, +1 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Trempeleau, +2 Trump
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Vilas, +3 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump
Washburn, +34 Trump
Washington, +14 Trump
Waupaca, +20 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton
Winnebago, +4 Trump
Wood, +4 Trump

Outstanding Counties:

Burnett, +1 Clinton
Clark, +12 Trump
Dane, +120 Clinton
Milwaukee (excluding city of), +6 Trump
Monroe, +3 Trump
Oconto, +9 Trump
Outagamie, +11 Trump
Portage, +4 Trump
Racine, +75 Clinton
Rock. +3 Trump
Waukesha, +11 Clinton

317 of 325 wards of the City of Milwaukee have been recounted. The recount is now more balanced.
Clinton received 80.7% of the original vote in the recounted wards, and 80.7% in the non-recounted wards. In the recounted wards, Trump has recovered 83.0% of his vote, compared to 72.4% for Clinton. There appears to have been a larger share of the Clinton vote cast absentee.

This may reflect the the reason Clinton lost Wisconsin - election day enthusiasm. Someone who always votes may have become accustomed to voting absentee since they became older, or more infirm, or unable to drive. Absentee voting requires some preparation.

Election day voting requires some activity to get to the polling place. Some voters just won't get around to voting. They will have told a pollster that they were likely to vote, but went out to dinner after work, and forgot to vote. They will report to the census (1) that they voted; (2) had a sick relative; (3) were out of town; (4) didn't like the candidates; or (5) the dog ate my driver's license, shoes, pants, or car. A voter who is enthusiastic for his candidate will walk uphill 10 miles both ways in the snow, even if the polling place is 1/4 mile away and it is sunny.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 100 statewide.

[jimrtex]

After the 10th Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 36 counties by 386 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 29 counties by 411 votes. 7 counties have no change, including four counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel. +25 net Clinton. This excludes the City of Milwaukee.

(note, the following are from the predominant county) I have switched to a more consistent data set including cities, towns, and villages with more than 10,000 votes originally counted. If first inclusion in report, bolded, even if recount was finished days ago. Reports in red are updated.

DePere complete, +3 Clinton
Green Bay complete, +7 Clinton
Village of Howard complete, +2 Trump
Fitchburg complete, +16 Clinton
Madison 84/138 wards, +67 Clinton
Middleton complete, +3 Clinton
Sun Prairie complete, +17 Clinton
Superior complete, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire[/b] complete, +7 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha complete, +17 Clinton
Village of Pleasant Prairie complete, +1 Clinton
La Crosse complete, +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc complete, +58 Trump
Wausau complete, +6 Trump
Franklin complete, +7 Clinton
Greenfield complete, +6 Trump
Milwaukee, see below
Oak Creek complete, +1 Clinton
South Milwaukee complete, +2 Clinton
Wauwatosa complete, +5 Trump
West Allis complete, +5 Clinton
Appleton complete, +11 Trump
Town of Grand Chute complete, +3 Trump
Mequon complete, 0 net
Stevens Point complete, 0 net
Racine, 35/36 wards, +113 Clinton
Village of Caledonia complete, +4 Clinton
Village of Mount Pleasant complete +7 Trump
Beloit complete, +4 Clinton
Janesville complete, +2 Trump
Sheboygan complete, +18 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Village of Germantown complete, +2 Trump
Brookfield complete, +6 Clinton
Muskego complete, +1 Trump
New Berlin complete, +7 Trump
Waukesha complete, +5 Trump
Village of Menomonee Falls complete, +2 Clinton
Neenah complete, +1 Clinton
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump
Ashland, +3 Trump
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Brown, +6 Clinton
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Burnett, +2 Clinton
Calumet, +23 Trump
Chippewa, +7 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Douglas, +10 Clinton
Dunn, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire, +23 Clinton
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Grant, +4 Clinton
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Jefferson, +1 Clinton
Juneau, +7 Trump
Kenosha, +17 Clinton
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Lafayette, 0 (Lafayette reported no changes)
Langlade, +52 Trump
Lincoln, 0 (cancelling errors in 8 of 27 precincts)
Manitowoc, +19 Trump
Marathon, +3 Clinton
Marinette, +39 Clinton
Marquette, +4 Clinton
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Oconto, +36 Trump
Oneida, +10 Trump
Outagamie, +15 Trump
Ozaukee, +32 Trump
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (this is somewhat indicative of the entire process. The net of zero, includes changes to 11 of 37 precincts).
Price, +1 Clinton
Richland, +2 Clinton
Rock, +6 Trump
Rusk, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 33 precincts)
Sauk, +9 Trump
Sawyer, +1 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Trempeleau, +2 Trump
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Vilas, +3 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump
Washburn, +34 Trump
Washington, +14 Trump
Waukesha, +2 Clinton
Waupaca, +9 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton
Winnebago, +4 Trump
Wood, +4 Trump

Outstanding Counties:

Clark, +12 Trump
Dane, +133 Clinton
Milwaukee (excluding city of), +1 Trump
Monroe, +3 Trump
Portage, +5 Trump
Racine, +75 Clinton

317 of 325 wards of the City of Milwaukee have been recounted. The recount is now more balanced.
Clinton received 80.7% of the original vote in the recounted wards, and 80.7% in the non-recounted wards. In the recounted wards, Trump has recovered 83.0% of his vote, compared to 72.4% for Clinton. There appears to have been a larger share of the Clinton vote cast absentee.

This may reflect the the reason Clinton lost Wisconsin - election day enthusiasm. Someone who always votes may have become accustomed to voting absentee since they became older, or more infirm, or unable to drive. Absentee voting requires some preparation.

Election day voting requires some activity to get to the polling place. Some voters just won't get around to voting. They will have told a pollster that they were likely to vote, but went out to dinner after work, and forgot to vote. They will report to the census (1) that they voted; (2) had a sick relative; (3) were out of town; (4) didn't like the candidates; or (5) the dog ate my driver's license, shoes, pants, or car. A voter who is enthusiastic for his candidate will walk uphill 10 miles both ways in the snow, even if the polling place is 1/4 mile away and it is sunny.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 100 statewide.

[jimrtex]

After the 11th Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 36 counties by 386 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 29 counties by 449 votes. 7 counties have no change, including four counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel. +63 net Clinton. This excludes the City of Milwaukee.

(note, the following are from the predominant county) I have switched to a more consistent data set including cities, towns, and villages with more than 10,000 votes originally counted. If first inclusion in report, bolded, even if recount was finished days ago. Reports in red are updated.

DePere complete, +3 Clinton
Green Bay complete, +7 Clinton
Village of Howard complete, +2 Trump
Fitchburg complete, +16 Clinton
Madison complete, +101 Clinton
Middleton complete, +3 Clinton
Sun Prairie complete, +17 Clinton
Superior complete, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire complete, +7 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha complete, +17 Clinton
Village of Pleasant Prairie complete, +1 Clinton
La Crosse complete, +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc complete, +58 Trump
Wausau complete, +6 Trump
Franklin complete, +7 Clinton
Greenfield complete, +6 Trump
Milwaukee, see below
Oak Creek complete, +1 Clinton
South Milwaukee complete, +2 Clinton
Wauwatosa complete, +5 Trump
West Allis complete, +5 Clinton
Appleton complete, +11 Trump
Town of Grand Chute complete, +3 Trump
Mequon complete, 0 net
Stevens Point complete, 0 net
Racine, 35/36 wards, +113 Clinton
Village of Caledonia complete, +4 Clinton
Village of Mount Pleasant complete +7 Trump
Beloit complete, +4 Clinton
Janesville complete, +2 Trump
Sheboygan complete, +18 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Village of Germantown complete, +2 Trump
Brookfield complete, +6 Clinton
Muskego complete, +1 Trump
New Berlin complete, +7 Trump
Waukesha complete, +5 Trump
Village of Menomonee Falls complete, +2 Clinton
Neenah complete, +1 Clinton
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump
Ashland, +3 Trump
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Brown, +6 Clinton
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Burnett, +2 Clinton
Calumet, +23 Trump
Chippewa, +7 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Douglas, +10 Clinton
Dunn, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire, +23 Clinton
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Grant, +4 Clinton
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Jefferson, +1 Clinton
Juneau, +7 Trump
Kenosha, +17 Clinton
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Lafayette, 0 (Lafayette reported no changes)
Langlade, +52 Trump
Lincoln, 0 (cancelling errors in 8 of 27 precincts)
Manitowoc, +19 Trump
Marathon, +3 Clinton
Marinette, +39 Clinton
Marquette, +4 Clinton
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Oconto, +36 Trump
Oneida, +10 Trump
Outagamie, +15 Trump
Ozaukee, +32 Trump
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (this is somewhat indicative of the entire process. The net of zero, includes changes to 11 of 37 precincts).
Price, +1 Clinton
Richland, +2 Clinton
Rock, +6 Trump
Rusk, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 33 precincts)
Sauk, +9 Trump
Sawyer, +1 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Trempeleau, +2 Trump
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Vilas, +3 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump
Washburn, +34 Trump
Washington, +14 Trump
Waukesha, +2 Clinton
Waupaca, +9 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton
Winnebago, +4 Trump
Wood, +4 Trump

Outstanding Counties:

Clark, +12 Trump
Dane, +171 Clinton
Milwaukee (excluding city of), +1 Trump
Monroe, +3 Trump
Portage, +5 Trump
Racine, +75 Clinton

Only Dane changed, as Madison finished its recount. In the others, there is a single or couple of towns or wards missing. With only one day remaining, it will be interesting if they had actually finished and not reported, or what.

Milwaukee Ward 34 shows a big jump for Trump, which matches the senate and 2012 results.

The original returns were Trump 8, Clinton 795. The recount (with absentee not included is Trump 198:Clinton 588. The Senate results were Johnson 291:Clinton 763; and 2012 results with 981 Obama, 314 Romney.

Summary: Trump up by about 100 statewide.
[/quote]

[jimrtex]

After the 12th (and Final) Day:

Overall:

Trump has increased his margin in 34 counties by 605 votes, and Clinton has increased her margin in 30 counties by 443 votes. 8 counties have no net change, including six counties that have completed their recount with multiple errors that cancel. +162 net Trump.

Completion of the recount of absentee votes in the City of Milwaukee confirm that Ward 34 was the worst error, with 254 Trump votes being reported as 8 votes on election night. In general it appears that Clinton benefited on small errors of one or two votes in a precinct, which might be due to irregularly or poorly marked ballots, while Trump seemed to gain more from larger changes due to uncounted or unreported ballots.

Cities, towns, and villages with more than 10,000 ballots cast on election night.

DePere complete, +3 Clinton
Green Bay complete, +7 Clinton
Village of Howard complete, +2 Trump
Fitchburg complete, +16 Clinton
Madison complete, +101 Clinton
Middleton complete, +3 Clinton
Sun Prairie complete, +17 Clinton
Superior complete, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire complete, +7 Clinton
Fond du Lac complete, +7 Clinton
Kenosha complete, +17 Clinton
Village of Pleasant Prairie complete, +1 Clinton
La Crosse complete, +4 Clinton.
Manitowoc complete, +58 Trump
Wausau complete, +6 Trump
Franklin complete, +7 Clinton
Greenfield complete, +6 Trump
Milwaukee complete, +221 Trump
Oak Creek complete, +1 Clinton
South Milwaukee complete, +2 Clinton
Wauwatosa complete, +5 Trump
West Allis complete, +5 Clinton
Appleton complete, +11 Trump
Town of Grand Chute complete, +3 Trump
Mequon complete, 0 net
Stevens Point complete, 0 net
Racine complete, +97 Clinton
Village of Caledonia complete, +4 Clinton
Village of Mount Pleasant complete +7 Trump
Beloit complete, +4 Clinton
Janesville complete, +2 Trump
Sheboygan complete, +18 Clinton
West Bend complete, +2 Clinton
Village of Germantown complete, +2 Trump
Brookfield complete, +6 Clinton
Muskego complete, +1 Trump
New Berlin complete, +7 Trump
Waukesha complete, +5 Trump
Village of Menomonee Falls complete, +2 Clinton
Neenah complete, +1 Clinton
Oshkosh, complete, +5 Trump

Note that within a particular city, most changes are either mostly +, indicating ballots that were interpreted as valid votes during the recount (perhaps missed by a scanner, but caught during a hand count); or mostly -, indicating ballots that could not be reproduced during the recount (perhaps spurious marks, or corrections that were counted as valid votes).

Completed Counties. Newly completed in bold.

Adams, +8 Trump
Ashland, +3 Trump
Barron, +2 Clinton
Bayfield, 0 (Cancelling errors in 7 of 29 precincts)
Brown, +6 Clinton
Buffalo, +4 Trump
Burnett, +2 Clinton
Calumet, +23 Trump
Chippewa, +7 Trump
Clark, +12 Trump
Columbia, +2 Trump
Crawford, +2 Clinton
Dane, +172 Clinton
Dodge, +8 Clinton
Door, +8 Trump
Douglas, +10 Clinton
Dunn, +10 Clinton
Eau Claire, +23 Clinton
Florence, +2 Trump
Fond du Lac, +18 Clinton
Forest, +4 Trump
Grant, +4 Clinton
Green, 0 (Green reported no changes)
Green Lake, +11 Trump
Iowa, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 29 precincts)
Iron, +11 Clinton
Jackson, +2 Trump
Jefferson, +1 Clinton
Juneau, +7 Trump
Kenosha, +17 Clinton
Kewaunee, +2 Clinton
LaCrosse, +11 Clinton
Lafayette, 0 (Lafayette reported no changes)
Langlade, +52 Trump
Lincoln, 0 (cancelling errors in 8 of 27 precincts)
Manitowoc, +19 Trump
Marathon, +3 Clinton
Marinette, +39 Clinton
Marquette, +4 Clinton
Menominee, +1 Clinton
Milwaukee, +228 Trump
Monroe, 0 (cancelling errors in 20 of 44 precincts)
Oconto, +36 Trump
Oneida, +10 Trump
Outagamie, +15 Trump
Ozaukee, +32 Trump
Pepin, +1 Trump
Pierce, +3 Clinton
Polk, 0 (includes cancelling changes in 11 of 37 precincts)
Portage +9 Clinton
Price, +1 Clinton
Racine, +59 Clinton
Richland, +2 Clinton
Rock, +6 Trump
Rusk, 0 (cancelling errors in 6 of 33 precincts)
Sauk, +9 Trump
Sawyer, +1 Trump
Shawano, +15 Trump
Sheboygan, +12 Trump
St.Croix, +1 Trump
Taylor, +5 Clinton
Trempeleau, +2 Trump
Vernon, +11 Clinton
Vilas, +3 Clinton
Walworth, +8 Trump
Washburn, +34 Trump
Washington, +14 Trump
Waukesha, +2 Clinton
Waupaca, +9 Trump
Waushara, +1 Clinton
Winnebago, +4 Trump
Wood, +4 Trump

[jimrtex]

In general it appears that Clinton benefited on small errors of one or two votes in a precinct, which might be due to irregularly or poorly marked ballots, while Trump seemed to gain more from larger changes due to uncounted or unreported ballots.

It turns out that this is not true. By scanning results from larger cities which had dozens of precincts, I came to the wrong conclusion. Within cities (of over 10,000 votes cast), Clinton did have an advantage:

Votes changed in precinct:

+1 Trump 339, Clinton 332; Cities Trump 127, Clinton 164.
+2 Trump 180, Clinton 236; Cities Trump 44, Clinton 120.
+3 Trump 150, Clinton 123; Cities Trump 21, Clinton 72.
+4 Trump 76, Clinton 72; Cities Trump 20, Clinton 36.
>=5 Trump 794, Clinton 688; Trump 371, Clinton 306 (includes +246 from one ward in Milwaukee)

So in cities, where there were more Clinton votes, it was more likely to find small numbers of uncounted ballots, which would probably be for Clinton. But there were about twice as many precincts outside the cities where Trump ballots might have been missed.

Clinton carried the cities of Green Bay, Kenosha, Marathon, Appleton, Racine, Sheboygan, and Oshkosh, while losing their respective counties of Brown, Kenosha, Wausau, Outagamie, Racine, Sheboygan, and Oshkosh.

Clinton won Madison 5:1 while carrying the remainder of Dane County 2:1. Clinton won the city of Milwaukee 4:1 while only winning the remainder of the county 5:4.

For subtractions, fewer subtractions is better for candidate.

-1 Trump 251, Clinton 272, Cities Trump 63, Clinton 84
-2 Trump 132, Clinton 146, Cities Trump 50, Clinton 50
-3 Trump 78, Clinton 84, Cities Trump 6, Clinton 33
-4 Trump 64 Clinton 56, Cities Trump 16, Clinton 16
<=-5 Trump 136, Clinton 181, Cities Trump 28, Clinton 91

Even in the cities these were somewhat favorable to Trump. With more votes for Clinton, it was more likely that they would be mistakenly counted as well.