This implicitly assumes that voters do not tend to become more Pub friendly as they age. When was the last POTUS election where young voters voted more Pub than older ones? If there were no evolving of voters over time, by now that nation would be 70% Dem or something, no?
"If You Are Not a Liberal at 25, You Have No Heart. If You Are Not a Conservative at 35 You Have No Brain"
Winston Churchill
I think that, other than the Boomers, most generations stay fairly similar in terms of voting habit. Gen X'ers were more conservative at age 20 and 30 then 20 or 30 year old Millennials are now.
"Fairly similar" is not the same thing as "totally similar."
Yes, but it's nothing huge like a 10 point difference. If Millennials are, say, 60-40 Democrat now, they'd be closer to 55-45 or 53-47 when they're 65+.
Political party loyalty is something I believe they've linked to being something that sticks with you from when you're younger.
Gore also beat Bush in 65+ in 2000. Ford won younger voters in 1976. New Deal kids were New Deal olds. Boomers were rebels against that kind of government and supported the Republicans.
Betting that older people are naturally Republican is a loser strategy.
What will change for the Republicans, is that if Hillary is elected, and maybe re-elected, and hell, maybe even her successor elected, after 16-20 years of rule, the Democrats will be see as unhip and old. The young people will be Republicans again. That's not happening yet because the Republican Party is still outwardly projecting Old People for Old Values.
