Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread

[argentarius]

37% for me is the magic number. It is completely over, no matter what goes on in SC the media won't give enough momentum if a not Romney wins.

[argentarius]

37% for me is the magic number. It is completely over, no matter what goes on in SC the media won't give enough momentum if a not Romney wins.

Meh, not sure. 38%, yes. 37%...not so sure about.

Well it was the magic number in NH for me too, it's just that in the last GE in Ireland and Britain the leading party got an unconvincing victory with 36%, and that I got the feeling in both of those that 37% would have made a significant difference.

[argentarius]

37% for me is the magic number. It is completely over, no matter what goes on in SC the media won't give enough momentum if a not Romney wins.

Meh, not sure. 38%, yes. 37%...not so sure about.

Well it was the magic number in NH for me too, it's just that in the last GE in Ireland and Britain the leading party got an unconvincing victory with 36%, and that I got the feeling in both of those that 37% would have made a significant difference.

The idea that Fine Gael's victory was "unconvincing" is one I haven't heard before.

In fairness there was a lot of hype about an overall majority, and the fact that FG couldn't get above what FF got for an age said to me that the people don't trust FG. And similarly with Romney getting up to 37 I finally get the feeling republicans are comfortable with him as the nominee. I guess I'm the only one who sees it this way.

[argentarius]

5 days in this race is longer than an eternity for a momentum shift to happen. Infact, there could be 2 momentum shifts.

[argentarius]

Gingrich is collapsing but Romney's not gaining any of it:

Gingrich 28% (-4)
Romney 26%
Santorum 15% (+2)
Paul 14% (+1)
Other 2%

I think that was just a very good sample for Newt rolling off.

[argentarius]

There's a very decent chance Romney could hit 50 by the thirteenth.