MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[ApatheticAustrian]

trendlines are clear, Mt is comparably small - where shall all those quist voters come from?

[The_Doctor]

TD, it looks like the short term trends will make 2020 have just as strong of a rural GOP vs. urban Democratic divide as 2016 right?

Yes. Most likely, yes. Assuming Pence is the nominee.

[peterthlee]

Gianforte has 64% in SANDERS County! Loving the irony!

Hillary lost every Clinton County in the Democratic primary and all but one in the general election.

Yeah, this. Yet, she still managed to win the popular vote in both scenarios.
(Remember this race is determined by only one parameter - the statewide popular vote)

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Greg Gianforte
Rep.
92,865   48.1%   

Rob Quist
Dem.
89,086   46.1   

Mark Wicks
Lib.
11,218   5.8   
25% reporting (167 of 681 precincts)

Quist keeps on falling.

[Suburbia]

It's not surprising.

[Angrie]

Wibaux county is 100% in. Gianforte is at 79% there, was 70% for him in 2016. It is a very small 1 precinct rural county.

[Adam Griffin]

Greg Gianforte (Republican)    48.3%   96,507
Rob Quist (Democratic)    46.0%   91,828
Mark Wicks (Libertarian)    5.7%   11,443

[Hindsight was 2020]

I seriously would love to know how in the Trumpers world "deplorables" was more dividing an divisive then cheering on Greg an his actions here like Rush is doing

[Brittain33]

trendlines are clear, Mt is comparably small - where shall all those quist voters come from?

While the numbers look like Quist loses, the answer to your question is that we are looking at early votes and haven't seen much election day voting.

[Suburbia]

I would have voted for Quist, I like him, he's personable, but he can try again in 2018 or 2020.

[Beet]

LOL someone is triggered, my posts are getting deleted.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Greg Gianforte (Republican)    48.6%   98,430
Rob Quist (Democratic)    45.7%   92,578
Mark Wicks (Libertarian)    5.7%   11,631

[NeederNodder]

It's saddening that Quist is over performing Clinton but can't repeat the same magic similar to Bullock.

[MAINEiac4434]

Takeaways:

1) Republicans stayed loyal

2) Quist was a poor candidate with too many skeletons in his closet who ran a bad campaign according to MT Treasurer, whom I trust. These things made him unlike Bullock, Tester and Schweitzer

3) Early vote screwed Quist

[ApatheticAustrian]

It's not surprising.

not surprising, just disgusting. this man clearly lacks the temperament for this job.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Can we not with the posts about how awful Montana's voters are for voting for the violent thug? Nearly three quarters of them voted before it happened.

Gianforte has a history of violence.

Most of the posts are referencing yesterday's incidents. Many of his voters very well may have still voted for him but the posts about the audacity of the voters when most of them voted well before the incident does not make sense.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Looks like Gianforte might get 50%+

[Kamala]

What is Schweitzer up to these days?

[7,052,770]

Right, six months of hearing "Boinie woulda won!" is getting so annoying. All the Bernie people I know voted for Clinton. Going further to the left would not have picked up anything. Emmanuel Macron, a 3rd way Clintonite centrist, won in a landslide. Whereas the Muslim-loving Corbyn is going down. But please, tell me more about how if Clinton had just been more pure she would have done better, and she lost because of her own faults rather than being pushed too far left by Sanders.

Wait, I thought you retroactively switched to Bernie after Hillary's loss?

[Brittain33]

2) Quist was a poor candidate with too many skeletons in his closet who ran a bad campaign according to MT Treasurer, whom I trust. These things made him unlike Bullock, Tester and Schweitzer

Looks like Quist was a Francine Busby caliber candidate.

[Chief Justice Keef]

A reminder that the DCCC spent a tenth on this race what they've spent in GA-6 so far.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

A reminder that the DCCC spent a tenth on this race what they've spent in GA-6 so far.

Maybe cause they knew it really wasn't winnable?

[The_Doctor]

We're calling this race before the Election Day vote is in?

[Ronnie]

Takeaways:

1) Republicans stayed loyal

2) Quist was a poor candidate with too many skeletons in his closet who ran a bad campaign according to MT Treasurer, whom I trust. These things made him unlike Bullock, Tester and Schweitzer

3) Early vote screwed Quist

4) Montana is a red state, and we should probably just expect that a Republican wins unless there's a popular Democratic incumbent, or polling evidence to the contrary.

[This account no longer in use.]

LOL someone is triggered, my posts are getting deleted.

Honestly, that's probably good for the quality of this forum. You always predict the very worst to happen to yourself and your party, pretend it never happened when you're wrong, and on the occasions that you're right obsessively demand apologies from people who call you out for your behavior and claim you're one of the smartest posters here. It gets very tiring to deal with very quickly.