Predict AR & KY (user search)
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Author Topic: Predict AR & KY  (Read 8877 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,959


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« on: May 22, 2012, 08:11:47 PM »

Where are you getting these results? I'd like to see bandit pop in here and explain how Kentucky's beloved Obama is doing so poorly to this uncommitted guy.

Uh, Obama is beating "uncommitted" handily.
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,959


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2012, 10:20:10 PM »

Let's see how Bandit tries to spin this...

Didn't I already explain it here?
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,959


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2012, 10:26:16 PM »

Beating "uncommitted" with under 60% of the vote is absolutely terrible and embarassing, especially for an incumbent President.

1) Hardly anyone voted.

2) "Uncommitted" is better than the clowns who ran against Obama in other states.

3) Obama did much better than he did in the 2008 primary.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,959


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2012, 10:33:19 PM »


That makes uncommitted so popular. For an identified politician to have a 45% approval rating these days is incredibly high.

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In November, Romney can forget Elliott County and Jefferson too, so let's get that cleared up right now.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,959


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #4 on: May 22, 2012, 11:33:13 PM »

For the record, Obama handily won Campbell County in today's primary.
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,959


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #5 on: May 22, 2012, 11:49:24 PM »

Ok, so that's the Cincy suburbs.  And the margin I see there is 22%...slightly ahead of the statewide margin, but really only by a little bit.  It's interesting, though, because that suggests that he was well ahead in major cities (or heavily black areas, I suspect), on par in suburbs, and behind in rural areas.

Campbell County is also 97% white.

On the other hand, "uncommitted" won some rural precincts in Campbell County (which probably all have about 3 Democrats each).
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,959


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #6 on: May 23, 2012, 12:36:56 AM »

Here's another factor we haven't even considered yet: A small number of these "uncommitted" voters (especially in urban areas) are folks who think Obama isn't liberal enough.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,959


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #7 on: May 23, 2012, 12:46:24 AM »

Here's another factor we haven't even considered yet: A small number of these "uncommitted" voters (especially in urban areas) are folks who think Obama isn't liberal enough.

A negligible amount if any at all. At least in Kentucky.

Oh, it exists. Trust me on that.
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,959


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #8 on: May 23, 2012, 05:11:00 PM »

“I believe that marriage is the union between a man and a woman. Now, for me as a Christian…it is also a sacred union. God’s in the mix.” - Barack Obama, 2008.


Either he is no longer a Christian, or he has decided to rewrite the teachings of Christianity, or God has been tossed out of the mix. I wonder which answer Obama prefers.

Uh, a personal belief isn't the same as a political stance.
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