New poll hype thread (user search)
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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 93545 times)
Gass3268
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« on: August 30, 2016, 08:27:21 AM »
« edited: October 02, 2016, 10:41:20 AM by Likely Voter »
Figured we should have a running thread were we can discuss polls before they are published.

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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: August 30, 2016, 08:31:24 AM »

They did not provide any hints.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: August 30, 2016, 08:32:25 AM »
If anyone else knows of any future poll releases for today or this week, post it here.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: August 30, 2016, 10:10:41 AM »
Quote from: psychprofessor on August 30, 2016, 09:55:17 AM
Monmouth is live callers - Clinton +10; McGinty +5

Not only that but they are pretty much 50-50 landlines to cell phones.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: August 30, 2016, 10:16:26 AM »
Is Trump over 40% in the 4-way question?

I'm gonna say no.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: August 30, 2016, 12:02:28 PM »
Past polls have been released just a few minutes after 2pm ET. So we should get the results in about a hour.

Or now Tongue
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: August 30, 2016, 02:24:07 PM »
Quote from: Likely Voter on August 30, 2016, 01:56:49 PM
If this is to be a megathread to hype upcoming polls please stick to that and not replicate discussion of released polls which have their own sub and posts

That was my goal with its creation.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: September 08, 2016, 01:06:38 PM »
They better not have polled over the weekend.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: September 08, 2016, 02:51:03 PM »
Quote from: heatcharger on September 08, 2016, 02:42:16 PM
Marist better have a lot of polls up its sleeve because they haven't released anything in almost a month.

I think I saw on Twitter from Mark Murray that they are going out into the field this weekend.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2016, 06:03:24 PM »
« Edited: September 18, 2016, 06:07:24 PM by Assemblyman Gass3268 »
Quote from: Classic Conservative on September 18, 2016, 04:36:02 PM
It's a voter file poll too. So it's different than media polls.

Yeah, I'm interested to see how the results of this looks. This might be the right way to do it in the future. Also, there is a Spanish speaking option in case anyone is curious.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2016, 06:17:21 PM »
Information on PPP's NC poll:

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My guess this means they had some contract work to do over the weekend.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: September 19, 2016, 01:26:17 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 19, 2016, 01:20:13 PM
I don't get accolades for getting Florida right? Sad

Anyway, this could just mean that the numbers for Hillary this week are a bit better. I wouldn't assume that they're back to where they were in August.

I'd be okay with late August! Cheesy
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: September 20, 2016, 04:19:46 PM »
Monmouth didn't poll Iowa and Nevada again. There director said that he can tell by the data that they are gathering that the trends have shifted towards Clinton nationally since last week.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: September 21, 2016, 11:30:25 AM »
New NBC/Wall Street Journal National Poll at 5pm.

Fox is also releasing state polls in Nevada, North Carolina, and Ohio at 6pm.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: September 21, 2016, 11:38:16 AM »
Monmouth is also doing New Hampshire, that should be out soon, they usually drop theirs around 1pm.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2016, 12:34:34 PM »
YouGov has tended to be a few points more Democratic:

MO - Trump +4
VA - Clinton +9
CO - Clinton +7

MO - Kander + 1
CO - Bennett +14
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: September 25, 2016, 07:29:13 PM »

I'm guessing every major national poll will start up after the debate tomorrow.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: September 26, 2016, 09:03:13 AM »
Monmouth is releasing a new National poll later today.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: September 27, 2016, 07:26:32 PM »
Quote from: lok1999 on September 27, 2016, 07:22:13 PM
Quote from: Arch on September 27, 2016, 07:12:58 PM
So, around when should we expect to see post-debate polls?
In a few days most likely

I imagine a lot of the Sunday shows are going to air them.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: September 28, 2016, 07:39:15 PM »
Quote from: Heisenberg on September 28, 2016, 07:02:28 PM
Predictions:
CO: Clinton +4, Bennet +10
FL: Clinton +1, El Marco +5
PA: Clinton +6, McGinty +2 (AG tied if polled)
VA: Clinton +6, (Comstock up 3 against Scott if polled)
NC: Tie, Burr +2, Cooper +4, (Forest +2, Stein +1, Folwell +1 if polled)

I hope the races I included in parentheses are polled.


This feels more like 6 than a 7. Tongue
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Gass3268
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« Reply #20 on: September 28, 2016, 07:42:51 PM »
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on September 28, 2016, 07:41:37 PM
CO: Clinton +6
FL: Clinton +2
PA: Clinton +7
VA: Clinton +9
NC: Clinton +2

Now that is a 7
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Gass3268
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« Reply #21 on: September 29, 2016, 09:33:05 PM »
New WBUR poll of NH tomorrow morning.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: October 01, 2016, 05:02:31 PM »
I imagine Morning Call will have another PA poll out later tonight.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #23 on: October 01, 2016, 08:46:37 PM »
FYI

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Gass3268
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« Reply #24 on: October 01, 2016, 11:15:54 PM »
Quote from: Arch on October 01, 2016, 11:13:43 PM
Welp. It's midnight and nothing yet.

I'm wondering if they are waiting because of the NYT tax story.
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