Marco Rubio's blowing it... for 2020 and 2024 (user search)
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  Marco Rubio's blowing it... for 2020 and 2024 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Marco Rubio's blowing it... for 2020 and 2024  (Read 4479 times)
politicallpd
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« on: February 07, 2016, 06:18:26 PM »
« edited: February 07, 2016, 06:21:55 PM by politicallpd »

Here's my operating theory, and maybe it's just wishful thinking.

It's widely assumed that should Rubio lose the nomination in 2016, he would return to Florida to run for Governor in 2018, setting him up for another run in 2020 or 2024 depending on the popularity of the incumbent.

That won't happen. Maybe he'll win the governorship, but he'll never be President. Rubio's approval/disapproval ratings nationwide have fallen from +10 to -6, and the trend-line is negative. In his home state of Florida, a recent CBS poll asked whether certain candidates were "consistent" in their views. Rubio polled the lowest at 54-46. Mind you, this is among a Republican primary electorate.

Two years is a long time. When/if Rubio runs in 4 or 8 years, he'll no longer be seen as "new" or "fresh"-- his one advantage. If Rubio leaves voters with a sour taste in his mouth in 2016, time will march on-- without him.
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politicallpd
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Posts: 45


« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2016, 05:56:48 AM »

People say that Rubio will run for Governor of Florida if he doesn't become the monimee.  Of course, the question is whether or not Rubio could be elected Governor of Florida.  He'd be running for an office after leaving an office to run for President from and lose.  Could he win a Republican primary?  There are other Republicans who want to be Governor, most notably FL Attorney General Pam Bondi, who has won statewide twice.  Why should she step aside for Rubio, especially when she's term limited?  Why would Republican voters view Rubio as someone deserving?  How would Rubio be viewed by independents after running a failed Presidential campaign?  And how would Florida's GOP (and the national GOP, for that matter) would view Rubio if, after giving up his seat for a failed Presidential run, Democrat Patrick Murphy wins Rubio's Senate seat? 

If Rubio fails to become the nominee, he needs to immediately get some kind of high-profile Cabinet level position.  Even Ambassador to the UN would suffice.  If it's Trump that gets elected and Trump shuts out Rubio, he should try to become RNC Chairman.  Short of that, he'll become a has-been. 


Remember that Bill Nelson's seat is going to be in election in 2018... Rubio can broke a deal to get free-run in gubernatorial race.

But why would Florida be inclined to give him another go in the Senate? He's already said he doesn't want to be there, and disrespected the office by not showing up.
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