Is Hillary over if Sanders wins North Carolina? (user search)
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  Is Hillary over if Sanders wins North Carolina? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is Hillary over if Sanders wins North Carolina?  (Read 3221 times)
psychprofessor
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Posts: 1,293


« on: March 14, 2016, 09:36:09 PM »
« edited: March 14, 2016, 09:42:07 PM by psychprofessor »

The early vote in NC is too Hillary favorable for an upset here.

Blacks account for 40% of the early vote; women account for 60%; voters aged 45 and above account for a whopping 75% and registered DEMS account for 81%. Overall, approximately 400k early DEM votes have been cast. In 2008 there were 1.5 million total votes cast. I doubt we see that total again, so roughly 1/4 to 1/3 of all total votes have already been cast.

Oh, and PPP suggests the early vote is 68/29 Clinton.
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psychprofessor
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Posts: 1,293


« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2016, 09:49:45 PM »

Eh, I'd be impressed if Sanders can even break 40%.  There's no chance of an upset here.

I think the race is somewhere between an 18-22 point Clinton win and she nets approximately 20 delegates here.
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