Vosem
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Posts: 15,636
Political Matrix E: 8.13, S: -6.09
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« on: July 16, 2014, 09:12:40 PM » |
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FF. Most opinions I've heard here in Ohio are along the lines of 'he's a good guy in a tough spot', but nationally it's clear he's being turned into a boogeyman. I'm confident that he'll be reelected in 2015, but at the same time I can't possibly see how he lasts the decade. And I don't know what happens if/when his own caucus forces him out, since I don't think Ryan would be receptive to a draft, I don't know whether McCarthy could unite the caucus or who else could emerge to beat him. The problem is, so long as the Republican majority is narrow (17 seats right now, for instance) the 17 most right-wing members (or most left-wing, or most anything) can and are willing to hold the Speaker hostage to score political points. Boehner has to deal with this, but it won't go away after he's done.
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