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May 19, 2024, 01:02:25 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 01:02:19 PM 
Started by Burke Bro - Last post by emailking
He could serve a third term, but not be elected a third time.

There is a theory he (or Obama, Clinton, GW Bush) could be elected VP and have a sock puppet at the top of the ticket who immediately resigns.

For what it's worth, Clinton at least has said he thinks this scenario is Unconstitutional.

 2 
 on: Today at 01:01:52 PM 
Started by Frodo - Last post by Frodo
It is actually rather reasonable if you care about conservation and feeding low-income Americans:

House unveils $1.5 trillion farm bill after long delay
The legislation is one of the few must-pass bills left for Congress this year

Quote
In addition to major boosts in critical farm safety net program funding to support farmers reeling from grueling inflation, Thompson’s bill doubles key trade promotion to develop and support new markets for farmers to sell their products abroad. It also increases funding for specialty crop programs, expands access to programs that lower energy costs for farmers and rural small businesses and improves tracking of farmland purchases by entities from China and other adversary countries.

The House bill also includes two of the major provisions that have drawn staunch opposition from senior Democrats. One would limit future updates to the Thrifty Food Plan, which serves as the basis for calculating benefits from the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, the nation’s largest anti-hunger program for low-income Americans. That could prevent a future Democratic administration from increasing SNAP benefits by as little as 23 cents per day in the years 2027 or 2032, according to estimates from the Congressional Budget Office. It also could stop a future GOP president from dramatically rolling back President Joe Biden’s major expansion of SNAP. Food benefits would still increase based on inflation, and nutrition programs would still make up more than 80 percent of the total farm bill spending under the policy.

The House farm bill would actually expand immediate access to SNAP and other anti-hunger efforts like strained food banks and nutrition improvements for seniors. In a major move, the legislation gets rid of the current lifetime ban on low-income Americans with a previous felony drug conviction from receiving SNAP benefits.



 3 
 on: Today at 01:01:11 PM 
Started by iceman - Last post by ProgressiveModerate
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=588777.0

Made a thread about this pretty recently; overall consensus seemed to be Trump.

Of the 3 South Florida Cuban seats, it's the one where shifts have been the least problematic for Democrats, largely because of the district having higher college attainment and containing most of downtown Miami. This district has actually swung left since 2008 Pres when it voted for McCain by 3. Still the heavy Hispanic population has caused problems for Democrats in recent cycles here.

 4 
 on: Today at 01:00:25 PM 
Started by Burke Bro - Last post by emailking
I think he's probably not being fully serious there. However, if he wins, as the term wears on I'm sure he will begin looking at ways he can run again or somehow stay in office anyway.

 5 
 on: Today at 12:59:38 PM 
Started by EJ24 - Last post by Steve from Lambeth
My pizza. I got one when the 2022 results were coming in and I didn't finish it for days!

 6 
 on: Today at 12:58:40 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by heatcharger


Analysts are starting to talk about Minnesota like a battleground state. Was Biden’s primary performance a sign of things to come?

 7 
 on: Today at 12:57:43 PM 
Started by Woody - Last post by ProgressiveModerate
It's interesting just how much influence these people put on polls.

I have no idea if Biden will win GA or not, but it's another case of every actual election since 2018 has shown GA to be moving leftward. The only thing that says it's not are polls and crosstabs (usually of black voters specifically since Biden is usually holding his own with white voters more often than not in GA polls)

Exactly. I think another fallacy is if people see a poll that shows GA blacks like 60 Biden - 10 Trump, they assume the "undecides" will ultimately break even.

I think low black turnout is a much bigger threat to Biden's prospects in GA than black voters swinging noticeably to the right.

The fact that Biden is holding firm with white voters in GA means he needs a big swing from voters of color to win Georgia by as much as some of these polls predict.

 8 
 on: Today at 12:56:40 PM 
Started by wbrocks67 - Last post by Arizona Iced Tea
His outfit gives me Gryffindor vibes for some reason. "Yer a wizard Joey"

 9 
 on: Today at 12:54:43 PM 
Started by NewYorkExpress - Last post by Santander
On the day, Arsenal pushed Man City only on paper. Man City never looked in doubt, while Arsenal labored to a win thanks to a dubious goal from a terrible error from Young.

 10 
 on: Today at 12:54:31 PM 
Started by Burke Bro - Last post by Duke of York
And if he wins and it’s likely he does Republicans will nominate him for a third term.

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