New Tradesports rankings

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Huckabee's in single digits for the first time since the beginning of the month.  McCain is the main beneficiary.  Edwards is on fire on the Dem side, with Clinton also gaining and Obama crashing.  he might be in teens by the end of the day (year), which is where he started December.  his December graph looks an awful lot like a perfect parabola.

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McCain > Romney on RepNom (22.5 v 22.1)

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crazy fluidity on the GOP side.  if Romney wins the caucuses we'll probably have our third different favorite in 24 hours...

currently

Giuliani 27.8
McCain 27.5
Romney 21.0
Huckabee 11.1
Paul 7.0
Thompson 3.0

Clinton 63.0
Obama 29.0
Edwards 6.8
Gore 1.8

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IEM closing prices last night....

Romney 28.1
McCain 28.0
Giuliani 21.1
Huckabee 12.6
Rest of Field 6.0
Thompson 3.0

Clinton 59.0
Obama 28.4
Edwards 11.3
Rest of Field 1.8

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an insane swing today.  Clinton down 8.7 and Obama up 8.0.  currently

Clinton 56.2
Obama 34.0
Edwards 6.4
Gore 1.4

Obama is also at 78.9 to win Iowa, for whatever reason.

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IEM prices at the close of yesterday

Clinton 50.8
Obama 47.3
Edwards 4.0
Rest of Field 1.1

McCain 33.2
Giuliani 22.8
Huckabee 22.0
Romney 13.0
Rest of Field 4.9
Thompson 3.8

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IEM closing prices last night

Clinton 51.0
Obama 46.5
Edwards 3.3
Rest of Field 0.8

McCain 34.1
Giuliani 23.1
Romney 16.0
Huckabee 15.2
Rest of Field 4.4
Thompson 3.0

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IEM closing prices 01/05

Obama 53.2
Clinton 42.5
Edwards 4.0
Rest of Field 1.0

McCain 37.3
Giuliani 28.1
Huckabee 14.3
Romney 14.1
Thompson 2.6
Rest of Field 2.0

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Obama Intrade stock on fire...

Obama 60.5
Clinton 38.9
Edwards 2.5
Gore 1.0
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

McCain 34.8
Giuliani 29.2
Romney 15.8 [but bid/ask significantly lower]
Huckabee 14.8
Paul 3.4
Thompson 2.5
Gingrich 0.4
Rice 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
Hunter 0.1



3 candidates not in the race lead Hunter.

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hah, good find.  his sucking up to Obama last night spurred the thought in my head, at least.  but I can't see the Dems retreading a loser.

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IEM closing prices last night...

Obama 66.4
Clinton 32.0
Edwards 3.1
Rest of Field 0.4

McCain 35.1
Giuliani 26.6
Romney 18.0
Huckabee 15.4
Rest of Field 2.8
Thompson 2.4

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last night's IEM closing prices..

Obama 70.1
Clinton 23.1
Edwards 5.0
Rest of Field 2.0

McCain 42.5
Giuliani 24.4
Huckabee 16.8
Romney 15.9
Rest of Field 3.0
Thompson 2.3

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moving by the minute but currently...

Clinton 50.0
Obama 48.1
Edwards 1.1
Gore 0.6

in NH market...

Clinton 55.0
Obama 49.0

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Seriously.  Clinton under 30 is a terrific bargain.

After she loses NH, it'll fall under 20.  Personally, I would be waiting for somewhere around 15 to start buying again.

Now might be a good point to repeat that Clinton under thirty was a terrific bargain. 

You did nail that one.    But it was even a better bargain in the low 20s a few hours ago.

buying Clinton at 1% or shorting Obama at 99% in NH earlier in the day also was a good move, apparently.

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Gore went up on Intrade.

IEM closing prices last night:

Clinton 55.3 (+32.2)
Obama 39.5 (-30.6)
Edwards 3.6 (-1.4)
Rest of Field 0.5 (-1.5)

McCain 38.0 (-4.5)
Giuliani 23.6 (-0.8 )
Huckabee 17.0 (+0.2)
Romney 16.5 (+0.6)
Rest of Field 1.7 (-1.3)
Thompson 1.4 (-0.9)

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Iowa Electronic Markets

Clinton 57.5 (+2.2)
Obama 39.0 (-0.5)
Edwards 2.5 (-1.1)
Rest of Field 0.6 (+0.1)

McCain 38.0 (0)
Giuliani 26.4 (+2.8 )
Huckabee 20.6 (+3.6)
Romney 19.0 (+3.5)
Thompson 2.0 (+0.6)
Rest of Field 2.0 (+0.3)

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McCain on fire.  45.9 on Intrade.  highest since mid-January of 2007.

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if Thompson had a) got in by July, b) run a competent campaign, and c) cared, he would be a top contender and Huckabee would never have been a factor.

Giuliani below 20.  McCain approaching a coin flip.  Romney in single digits (for the first time since mid-March 2006.) 

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Romney > Huckabee on last transaction

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IEM

Clinton 53.8
Obama 43.5
Edwards 2.1
Rest of Field 0.7

McCain 45.2
Huckabee 17.0
Giuliani 16.7
Romney 15.5
Thompson 2.8
Rest of Field 1.7

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if Romney wins tomorrow it becomes a real possibility.

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Mitt motherg Romney.

he's at 82% to win MI

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Romney at 90.0 to win Michigan

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Romney at 90.0 to win Michigan

Thank you, Inks, for letting us know.

not sure I understand.  but I'm sure it's just another of your 9380938 underhanded shots from the sidelines recently so I'll let it go.

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IEM numbers...

Clinton 55.0
Obama 42.0
Edwards 2.6
Rest of Field 0.7

McCain 38.8
Romney 21.0
Giuliani 18.8
Huckabee 16.0
Thompson 3.0
Rest of Field 2.3

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Romney > Giuliani.