VA-Q: Perriello, Gillespie lead primaries, Dems lead GE (user search)
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  VA-Q: Perriello, Gillespie lead primaries, Dems lead GE (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-Q: Perriello, Gillespie lead primaries, Dems lead GE  (Read 1677 times)
mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« on: April 11, 2017, 12:49:44 PM »

Remember when people said this was a toss up, lol!

Likely D

Yeah, polls have never overestimated Democratic support in Virginia before.
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mencken
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,222
« Reply #1 on: April 15, 2017, 09:40:12 AM »

The end result for the general election will probably be much closer than this, but good on Perriello for taking the lead in the primary.

Agreed, Republicans close hard in this state, but it's essentially impossible for Republicans win this state with Fairfax County going at least 60% Democratic.

Yeah, undecideds will still probably break towards Republicans as usual. However, it's a mistake to think Gillespie will replicate his 2014 performance in NOVA. That race was an anomaly in my opinion, and the political climate is much different now.

The question now is whether the Democrat will have strong enough coattails to significantly narrow the Republican majority in the State House.

Remember when people said this was a toss up, lol!

Likely D

Yeah, polls have never overestimated Democratic support in Virginia before.

Lol:

RCP Averages: McAullife 46.3% Warner 48.5%
Final Results: McAullife 48.0% Warner 49.2%

Hardly looks like overestimating Democratic support to me. Undecideds broke towards Republicans like they always do.

So this is actually good news for Republicans since the Democrats are at 44-46%?
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