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Author Topic: Flo's and ElectionGuy's Maps  (Read 16543 times)
TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« on: January 18, 2014, 10:06:38 PM »
« edited: January 18, 2014, 10:09:02 PM by Lt. Governor TJ »

Here's Ohio:


1 (blue-Cincinnati): McCain 51.6%-Obama 47.3% Safe R
2 (green-Southern Ohio): McCain 58.3%-Obama 39.9% Safe R
3 (purple-Columbus): Obama 59.9-McCain 38.8% Safe D
4 (red-Dayton): McCain 54.0%-Obama 44.4% Safe R
5 (gold-Cleveland): Obama 72.1%-McCain 26.8% Apocalyptically Safe D
6 (dark slate-Southeast Ohio): McCain 51.7%-Obama 46.2% Likely R
7 (gray-Canton): McCain 50.4%-Obama 48.0% Likely R
8 (lime green-North Central Ohio): McCain 50.0%-Obama 48.2% Likely R
9 (cyan-Toledo): Obama 49.4%-McCain 48.8% Lean R
10 (maroon-Akron/Youngstown): Obama 58.4%-McCain 39.8% Safe D

Zoom-In on NEOH:
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2014, 01:23:41 AM »

Hmm... this will be a fun race to see whose side can gerrymander themselves to the majority. Wink

Yeah I was wondering when this thread would get to that point. If Miles and I can make enough maps, we might end up with a very Republican Midwest and a very Democratic south. Truthfully, I'd probably take that in real life too Tongue
Logged
TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #2 on: January 19, 2014, 01:59:52 AM »

Wisconsin:



1 (blue-Janesville/Waukesha): McCain 52.1%-Obama 47.5% Safe R
2 (orange-NW Wisconsin): Obama 53.6%-McCain 44.6% Lean R
3 (purple-Madison/Driftless Area): Obama 67.3-McCain 31.3% Safe D
4 (gold-Milwaukee): Obama 70.7%-McCain 28.0% Safe D
5 (red-Mid Wisonsin): McCain 50.8%-Obama 47.8% Safe R
6 (green-Green Bay): Obama 51.9%-McCain 46.6% Likely R

Yes, I always make Green Bay in a green-colored district.

The only really competitive one here is the orange one, which I think Romney probably carried. The '08 numbers in Wisconsin are especially misleading in the north.
Logged
TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #3 on: January 19, 2014, 02:41:58 PM »

Michigan:


Detroit Metro:


1 (blue- Northern Michigan): Obama 50.1%-McCain 48.2% Lean R
2 (orange-Southwest Michigan): Obama 52.1%-McCain 46.3% Lean R
3 (purple-Lansing): Obama 50.7%-McCain 47.6% Lean R
4 (red-Thumb): Obama 49.8%-McCain 48.4% Lean R
5 (gold-Flint/Pontiac/Saginaw): Obama 66.2%-McCain 32.2% Safe D
6 (lime green-Southern Michigan): Obama 50.0%-McCain 48.3% Lean R
7 (black-Detroit/Ann Arbor): Obama 84.2%-McCain 14.9% Safe D, 50.6% VAP Black

Just like the real Michigan, there are no safe Republican seats, but they're favored in 5/7.
Logged
TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #4 on: January 19, 2014, 03:38:01 PM »

Minnesota:


Minneapolis-St. Paul:


1 (blue-Duluth): McCain 48.9%-Obama 48.8% Lean R
2 (green-Minneapolis Suburbs): McCain 49.4%-Obama 48.9% Likely R
3 (purple-St. Cloud): McCain 49.0%-Obama 48.6% Lean R
4 (red-Rochester): McCain 49.3%-Obama 48.7% Likely R
5 (gold-Minneapolis): Obama 70.8%-McCain 27.3% Safe D
6 (lime-Southwestern Minnesota): McCain 49.6%-Obama 47.8% Likely R
7 (black-St. Paul): Obama 64.4%-McCain 33.6% Safe D
Logged
TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #5 on: January 19, 2014, 04:46:41 PM »

Indiana:



This one actually doesn't look that ridiculous.

1 (blue-Gary): Obama 66.2%-McCain 32.9% Safe D
2 (green-Ft. Wayne): McCain 55.7%-Obama 43.3% Safe R
3 (purple-Northern Indiana): McCain 55.3%-Obama 43.6% Safe R
4 (red-Terra Haute): McCain 53.8%-Obama 45.1%  Safe R
5 (gold-Indianapolis): Obama 66.1%-McCain 33.1% Safe D
6 (teal-Anderson/Muncie): McCain 53.4-Obama 45.4% Safe R
7 (gray-SE Indiana): McCain 53.7%-Obama 45.2% Safe R
8 (black-Evansville): McCain 53.8%-Obama 45.0% Likely R
Logged
TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #6 on: February 01, 2014, 11:31:04 PM »

Wisconsin:

If the last one made Gass vomit, I can only imagine what this one will make him do Tongue


Milwaukee area shot:



1 (blue-Beloit): Obama 50.0%-McCain 48.6%, Likely R
2 (peach-Watertown): McCain 49.8%-Obama 48.9%, Likely R
3 (purple-Madison): Obama 74.0%-McCain 26.4%, Safe D
4 (red-Waukesha): McCain 49.4%-Obama 49.2%, Likely R
5 (gold-Milwaukee): Obama 83.5%-McCain 15.5% Safe D
6 (crimson-Appleton): Obama 51.8%-McCain 46.5% Lean R
7 (lime-Sheboygan): McCain 50.9%-Obama 47.8% Likely R
8 (olive-Racine): Obama 52.0%-McCain 46.6% Lean R
9 (sky-Northern WI): Obama 52.6%-McCain 45.8% Lean R
10 (orange-Superior): Obama 53.2-McCain 45.0% Lean R
11 (green-Green Bay): Obama 54.1%-McCain 44.4%, Lean R
12 (black-Eau Claire): Obama 60.2%-McCain 38.0% Likely D

This is 9-3 on paper (note the McCain numbers in Northern WI are very misleading; the Green Bay seat was carried by Romney). But it's really hard to make them safe with a 9-3 map Wink
Logged
TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #7 on: February 02, 2014, 01:42:06 AM »

Ohio:

Cleveland Area:


1 (blue-Cincinnati West): McCain 52.7%-Obama 46.3% Likely R
2 (green-Cincinnati East): McCain 52.6%-Obama 46.2% Likely R
3 (purple-Cincinnati North): McCain 52.1%-Obama 46.7% Likely R
4 (red-Dayton): McCain 51.6%-Obama 46.8% Likely R
5 (gold-Columbus): Obama 76.3%-McCain 22.5% Safe D
6 (teal-Beavercreek): McCain 56.2%-Obama 42.4% Safe R
7 (gray-Portsmouth): McCain 53.3%-Obama 44.5% Safe R
8 (light brown-Springfield): McCain 60.1%-Obama 38.5% Safe R
9 (cyan-Lima): McCain 60.4%-Obama 37.7% Safe R
10 (red-Columbus SW): McCain 51.8%-Obama 46.5% Likely R
11 (chartruse-Columbus North): McCain 53.3%- Obama 45.1% Safe R
12 (blue-Steubenville): McCain 51.6%-Obama 46.3% Likely R
13 (maroon-Marietta): McCain 53.6%-Obama 44.2% Safe R
14 (sea green-Newark): McCain 54.4%-Obama 44.1% Safe R
15 (orange-Wooster): McCain 52.2-Obama 45.6% Likely R
16 (lime-Bowling Green): McCain 51.4%-Obama 47.0% Likely R
17 (navy-Cleveland West): Obama 67.7%-McCain 30.8% Safe D
18 (yellow-Cleveland East): Obama 85.8%-McCain 13.5% Safe D
19 (olive-Mansfield): McCain 50.8%-Obama 47.1% Likely R
20 (green-Elyria): McCain 49.3%-Obama 49.2% Likely R
21 (brown-Mentor): McCain 49.6-Obama 48.9% Likely R
22 (tan-Cuyahoga Valley): McCain 51.3%-Obama 47.4% Likely R
23 (sky-Toledo): Obama 69.5%-McCain 28.9% Safe D
24 (purple-Youngstown): Obama 63.0%-McCain 34.9% Safe D
25 (black-Akron): Obama 66.0%-McCain 32.4% Safe D

19-6 Republican
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #8 on: February 02, 2014, 02:19:21 AM »

Indiana:



1 (blue-Gary): Obama 76.3%-McCain 22.9% Safe D
2 (green-Elkhart): McCain 52.4%-Obama 47.6%Likely R
3 (purple-Valparaiso): McCain 46.6%-Obama 46.3% Lean R
4 (red-Ft. Wayne): McCain 53.2-Obama 46.0% Likely R
5 (gold-Indianapolis): Obama 78.9%-McCain 20.5% Safe D
6 (aqua-Lafayette): McCain 50.9%-Obama 47.9% Likely R
7 (gray-Warsaw): McCain 59.4%-Obama 39.3% Safe R
8 (green-Indianapolis North): McCain 55.7%-Obama 43.6% Safe R
9 (cyan-Muncie): McCain 53.5%-Obama 45.0% Likely R
10 (crimson-Indianapolis South): McCain 53.8%-Obama 45.1% Likely R
11 (chartruse-Bloomington): McCain 51.6%-Obama 47.4% Likely R
12 (blue-Terre Haute): McCain 53.4%-Obama 45.2% Likely R
13 (maroon-New Albany): McCain 54.1%-Obama 44.6% Safe R
14 (tan-Evansville): McCain 52.7%-Obama 46.2% Likely R

12-2 Republican
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #9 on: February 02, 2014, 10:00:25 PM »

Michigan:


Detroit Area:


1 (blue-UP): Obama 50.3%-McCain 47.9% Lean R
2 (green-Howell): McCain 50.7%-Obama 47.5% Likely R
3 (purple-Traverse City): McCain 49.4%-Obama 48.9% Likely R
4 (red-Midland): Obama 50.4%-McCain 47.8% Lean R
5 (gold-Flint): Obama 71.3%-McCain 27.2% Safe D
6 (teal-Thumb): McCain 49.5%-Obama 48.5% Likely R
7 (gray-Muskegon): McCain 49.6%-Obama 48.9% Likely R
8 (yellow-Grand Rapids): McCain 49.3%-Obama 49.0% Likely R
9 (cyan-Allegan): McCain 51.4%-Obama 46.9% Safe R
10 (slate-St. Joseph): Obama 50.2%-McCain 48.2% Lean R
11 (chartruse-Lansing): Obama 67.6%-McCain 30.8% Safe D
12 (khaki-Jackson): Obama 50.4%-McCain 48.0% Lean R
13 (crimson-Livonia): Obama 49.7%-McCain 48.8% Lean R
14 (tan-Waterford): McCain 51.4%-Obama 47.0% Safe R
15 (orange-Sterling Heights): Obama 50.5%-McCain 47.8% Lean R
16 (lime-Macomb): Obama 50.3%-McCain 48.0% Lean R
17 (indigo-Pontiac): Obama 71.4%-McCain 27.3% Safe D
18 (yellow): Detroit East): Obama 81.6%-McCain 71.1%, 51.1% VAP Black Safe D
19 (olive-Monroe): Obama 51.6%-McCain 47.6% Lean R
20 (navy-Ann Arbor): Obama 71.2%-McCain 26.2% Safe D
21 (brown-Detroit West): Obama 79.1%-McCain 19.7%, 51.9% VAP Black Safe D
22 (black-Detroit Center): Obama 84.0%-McCain 15.0%, 50.1% VAP Black Safe D

15-7 Republican
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #10 on: February 03, 2014, 12:39:28 AM »

I'll continue my series of ruthless Republican gerrymanders with Illinois Evil

Illinois:


Chicago Area:


1 (blue-South CHI Suburbs): Obama 83.4%-McCain 15.9% VRA Black Safe D
2 (green-SW Chicago Suburbs): McCain 51.0%-Obama 47.8% Lean R
3 (purple-Far South Chicago): Obama 86.7%-McCain 12.7% VRA Black Safe D
4 (red-South Chicago): Obama 95.1%-McCain 4.4% VRA Black Safe D
5 (gold- SW Chicago): Obama 77.6%-McCain 21.3% VRA Hispanic Safe D
6 (teal- West Chicago): Obama 87.0%-McCain 12.3% VRA Black Safe D
7 (lime-Eastern DuPage):Obama 53.4%-McCain 45.2% Lean R
8 (khaki- NW Chicago): Obama 85.4%-McCain 13.3% VRA Hispanic Safe D
9 (cyan - North Chicago): Obama 79.1%-McCain 19.6% Safe D
10 (maroon-NW CHI Suburbs): Obama 64.4%-McCain 34.2% Safe D
11 (chartruse-North CHI Suburbs): Obama 53.9%-McCain 39.0% Lean R
12 (navy-Far North Chicago): Obama 78.6%-McCain 20.2% Safe D
13 (crimson-Eastern Lake Cty): Obama 68.6%-McCain 30.5% Safe D
14 (olive-Western Lake Cty): Obama 51.7%-McCain 47.1% Lean R
15 (orange-Joliet/Aurora/Elgin): Obama 68.8%-McCain 30.0% Safe D
16 (green-Belvidere): Obama 52.7%-McCain 45.7% Lean R
17 (midnight-Western DuPage): Obama 53.3%-McCain 45.4% Lean R
18 (yellow-Western Kane): Obama 52.0%-McCain 46.7% Lean R
19 (olive-Will Cty): Obama 52.4%-McCain 46.3% Lean R
20 (peach-Peoria East): Obama 49.4%-McCain 48.9% Lean R
21 (maroon-Galesburg): Obama 54.0%-McCain 44.4% Lean R
22 (purple-Decatur): Obama 49.9%-McCain 48.4% Lean R
23 (sky-Rockford): Obama 53.1%-McCain 45.1% Lean R
24 (red-Quincy): McCain 50.3%-Obama 48.0% Lean R
25 (orange-E. St. Louis): McCain 49.3%-Obama 49.1% Lean R
26 (blue-Edwardsville): McCain 49.6%-Obama 48.7% Lean R
27 (aqua-Cairo): McCain 49.4%-Obama 48.8% Lean R
28 (black-Everywhere): Obama 61.3%-McCain 37.0% Safe D

16-12 Republican
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