The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[Tender Branson]

Also, good to see that the new voter-ID law runs smoothly:

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Hopefully all states implement a voter-ID law in the future.

[Morning in Atlas]

One spot called for Chabot.

[Miles]

One spot called for Chabot.

If Gooch gets second place....

[cinyc]

Holmes County, Mississippi reported.  Cochran won it 58.4%-41.1%.  But there were only 625 votes cast in the Republican primary.  The statewide margin remains the same.

Only some precincts in Hinds (4 precincts), Jefferson (2) and Rankin (8) remain outstanding.

[JerryArkansas]

Even though Republicans don't deserve the district, I am hoping Gooch gets second.  I would laugh my ass of so hard.

[Tender Branson]

The precincts that are left should cancel each other out, so McDaniel won't go above 50%.

Run-off.

[Miles]

^ Yep. 'Waiting for AOS to weigh in on MS-Sen, but at RRH, they say its mathematically impossible for either to win outright.

[IceSpear]

Joe Baca continues to haunt the Democratic Party.

[Morning in Atlas]

Thad's said to be devastated by the runoff, that he refused to concede the election to McDaniel. Reports are that Thad cried for 3 hours nonstop and refused to speak to the crowd at the Hotel Marriott in Jackson.

[Miles]

Thad's said to be devastated by the narrow loss, that he refused to concede the election to McDaniel. Reports are that Thad cried for 3 hours nonstop and refused to speak to the crowd at the Hotel Marriott in Jackson.

Good Lord. I knew I he wasn't speaking, but wow.


Also, CA-17 officially Honda/Khanna (idk why it took this long to make that call).

CA-21 called for Renteria; the DCCC gets its pick.

[Tender Branson]

From the primary turnout numbers on the R and D sides, I'm not really confident that Childers could come even close to a win in the GE, even with McDaniel as the R nominee ...

[Morning in Atlas]

Alright, time to be serious again.

It's a dogfight between Bussell and Corbett for the second spot. I'm praying Corbett wins -- Swalwell's religion-baiting was absolutely despicable, and I'm ashamed to have ever supported him.

[IceSpear]

From the primary turnout numbers on the R and D sides, I'm not really confident that Childers could come even close to a win in the GE, even with McDaniel as the R nominee ...

There was a hotly contested primary on the R side and nothing on the D side.

Missouri 2012:
Claire McCaskill - 289,481
All Republicans - 603,120

Indiana 2012:
Joe Donnelly - 207,715
All Republicans - 661,606

[Tender Branson]

From the primary turnout numbers on the R and D sides, I'm not really confident that Childers could come even close to a win in the GE, even with McDaniel as the R nominee ...

There was a hotly contested primary on the R side and nothing on the D side.

Missouri 2012:
Claire McCaskill - 289,481
All Republicans - 603,120

Indiana 2012:
Joe Donnelly - 207,715
All Republicans - 661,606

Of course, but the turnout in midterms is quite a bit lower than in GE and it's also not guaranteed that McDaniel will have an Akin-like quote ...

[Tender Branson]

A little more of Rankin just came in:

McDaniel down to 49.57%

[IceSpear]

From the primary turnout numbers on the R and D sides, I'm not really confident that Childers could come even close to a win in the GE, even with McDaniel as the R nominee ...

There was a hotly contested primary on the R side and nothing on the D side.

Missouri 2012:
Claire McCaskill - 289,481
All Republicans - 603,120

Indiana 2012:
Joe Donnelly - 207,715
All Republicans - 661,606

Of course, but the turnout in midterms is quite a bit lower than in GE and it's also not guaranteed that McDaniel will have an Akin-like quote ...

I agree with you that midterm turnout dropoff will hurt Childers significantly. I'm just saying that the primary turnout means close to nothing due to the presence of an extremely competitive Republican primary as opposed to an already decided Democratic one.

[IceSpear]

Also, to any people who know Mississippi: What the hell happened in Wilkinson County? It's the only county Childers lost, and not only that, he's in last place there. And the guy in last place overall leads there. WTF?

[cinyc]

5 more Rankin County precincts reported, casting 2,115 Republican votes.  Cochran won the precincts 55.3%-43.7%, putting him back in the lead in Rankin County by .4%.  Cochran picked up a (rounded) tenth in the statewide tally.  It's now 49.6%-48.9% McDaniel. 

It's now almost mathematically impossible for McDaniel to avoid a runoff, assuming there are less than 2,650 votes outstanding.

Rankin has 3 precincts, Hinds 4 and Jefferson 2 precincts outstanding.  The Jefferson precincts are tiny.  The makeup of Hinds' precincts is unknown and variable.  Based on 2012 turnout, Rankin probably has about 2,000 votes left to count.

[Miles]

Also, to any people who know Mississippi: What the hell happened in Wilkinson County? It's the only county Childers lost, and not only that, he's in last place there. And the guy in last place overall leads there. WTF?

Its cast very few votes (216 total) and is on the opposite side of the state from his MS-01 base.

[Tender Branson]

Also, to any people who know Mississippi: What the hell happened in Wilkinson County? It's the only county Childers lost, and not only that, he's in last place there. And the guy in last place overall leads there. WTF?

Maybe the home county of this guy ?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Alright, time to be serious again.

It's a dogfight between Bussell and Corbett for the second spot. I'm praying Corbett wins -- Swalwell's religion-baiting was absolutely despicable, and I'm ashamed to have ever supported him.

It's amazing that we have a bay area "Democrat" who is so blatantly bigoted. As for second place, that looks close enough it might not be called for a couple of days.

[Miles]

Also, to any people who know Mississippi: What the hell happened in Wilkinson County? It's the only county Childers lost, and not only that, he's in last place there. And the guy in last place overall leads there. WTF?

Maybe the home county of this guy ?

The guy in first place is also from MS-01 and the guy in 2nd place a black R-turned-D from MS-02. Odd.

[cinyc]

Also, to any people who know Mississippi: What the hell happened in Wilkinson County? It's the only county Childers lost, and not only that, he's in last place there. And the guy in last place overall leads there. WTF?

Good catch.  There has to be an error there.  The third Republican, who is receiving 1.6% of the vote statewide, supposedly received 25% of the vote in Wilkinson County.  Also, turnout in the Republican primary is supposedly running 50% of 2012, which is unheard of in most other counties, where turnout equals or exceeds 2012.

Luckily, the county is tiny (286 Republican voters in 2012) and the error won't affect the totals much.

[moderatevoter]

Cochran seems to be back up by a very slim margin (less than 100 votes).

[cinyc]

Cochran seems to be back up by a very slim margin (less than 100 votes).

Where?  In Rankin County?  Not statewide.