How would the previous poster perform in a particular race?

[Bidenworth2020]

49-45
does well in mississippi valley, and des moines burbs, loses bad everywhere else

Me vs Shelley Moore Capito 2014

[At-Large Senator LouisvilleThunder]

Capito wins 68-32. You would be better at motivating the liberal base to turnout, but you'll turn off the moderates in coal country. Obama's extremely low approval rating in WV would be impossible for you to overcome--especially during a six-year itch midterm. The moderate Republican, Shelley Moore Capito was the perfect fit for the state at the time when people were angry about the rollout of Obamacare and scared of ISIS and Ebola.

Me vs. Mitch McConnell in 2008 and 2014

[This is Eharding, guys]

Double digit losses in both cases due to Eastern Kentucky revolting against the above poster's radicalism.

Me v. John McCain in the 2016 Senate race

[#gravelgang #lessiglad]

Better than Kirkpatrick, but still not enough to win. 42-44%.

Me, 2018 Illinois Democratic Gubernatorial Primary

[Bidenworth2020]

29% against durbin

Me, Colorado 2014 Senate Race, vs. Gardner

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

As a Democrat, I think you would narrowly beat out Cory 49-48. Your charisma and energy is enough to stave off the red wave here.

Me vs Pat Toomey in the 2016 Senate Race in Pennsylvania?

[Kamala]

Bagel 49 - Toomey 47

You'd have more crossover appeal than McGinty, and your moderate-ness won't affect black turnout in Philly thanks to Clinton being on the ballot.

Me vs Flake, 2018.

[The Govanah Jake]

2018 Arizona Senate Election
96% Reporting
Jeff Flake - 49.73% WINNER
Kamala - 48.19%

Kamala is able to muster up a good Coalition of Minority groups including Hispanics and Native Americans and also Disaffected and Liberal Whites to win 48% off the vote. However Flake is able to narrow out a Victory in the End overcoming polls showing him losing on average by 0.31% according to Realclearpolitics Average as of November 5th. He is able to win by a little more then 1.5% due to him picking up some ground in some the Rural belt county's running down the state but also more importantly holding Maricopa County by a little over 2%. He however loses Navajo and Yuma county's due to increased Minority turnout



Me V Dean Heller in 2018 Nevada Senate election

[Bidenworth2020]

wins washoe by 2 points and clarke by 12 points, 52-40. Overall, you win, 49.71- 46.89

[Lord Admirale]

Politicalmasta didn't name a race, so I guess I'll just request my race.

NJ Gubernatorial 2009, Me (D) vs. Chris Christie (R)

[Mr. Smith]

Christie still wins because Daggett's on your #$% for being so moderate. Probably the same numbers too.

Me vs Eric Holcomb, 2016 Indiana gubernatorial

[RFayette]

Loses 58-39, and guns and coal really hurt him.


WI-SEN, 2016

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Wins 51-47. Not too different as the senate race their last year was generic D vs generic R, and you are pretty much a generic R.

Me vs Martha Roby 2016 general congressional race in Al 2nd?

[Kamala]

Election night:
Martha Roby - 45.43%
Ryan Bagel XXIII - 45.38%
Becky Gerritson - 8.67%

With a margin of approximately 140 votes, Bagel is granted a recount. Three weeks later, after multiple recounts showing both candidates leading, the official tally of votes has Bagel defeating Roby by a margin of 79 votes, becoming the first new Democratic gain in the Deep South since Gwen Graham in 2014, and the first in Alabama since whenever.

Collin Peterson retires in 2018, and endorses me. How do I do against the Republican?

[Lord Admirale]

It will be a tight race as the district is overwhelmingly Republican, however if you campaign heavily alongside Peterson, you could squeak out a victory.

2018 NJ Senate Dem Primary: Me vs. Bob Menendez

[SATW]

If you run a Gottheimer-style campaign, you may actually beat Fighting Bob, like 51-49. Y

BTW - Love your sig. Gottheimer is great.


Me vs Ed Gilliespie, R-VA, in a GOP Primary

[TheSaint250]

I would support you and would hope you win, but I think Gillespie would have so much money behind him. Besides, you strike me as being a tiny bit more moderate than he.

I'd say 53-47 for Gillespie.

Me vs. Gwen Graham for governor (without Rick Scott being governor before)

[Xing]

Without Rick Scott's baggage, I'd say you win 50-48, assuming 2018 isn't a complete disaster for Republicans.

NV-SEN 2012 against Heller

[Mr. Smith]

You win by 52% minimum.

Me vs Loretta Sanchez, CA-SEN Primary, 2016

[TheLeftwardTide]

Even though you're not a very good fit for California, Loretta Sanchez is a clown. You manage to resonate with the poor and working-class into voting for you en masse, while getting enough Bay Area social liberals to hold their noses and vote for you to push you over the edge.
Let Dogs Survive: 52.4%
Loretta Sanchez: 47.6%

Me vs. Shelley Moore Capito (R-WV) in 2020, with Sanders defeating Trump in a landslide (nationally) up-ballot

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

You would lose 58-36, she is just too strong for a takedown. None the less, you would be a good candidate.

Me as a dem vs Preston Picus as an indy in the 2016 house race in CA 12th?

[Lord Admirale]

You defeat Picus by a 65-35 margin due to a D being next to your name and an I next to his.

Me vs. Kim Guadagno in 2017 NJ gubernatorial

[The Govanah Jake]

[The Govanah Jake]

Me vs Ted Cruz; 2018 Texas Senate Race

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Cruz 55-40.

MA-SEN 2012 vs. Brown