Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog

[MT Treasurer]

Sabato moves this race from Safe Republican to Likely Republican

[MT Treasurer]

First numbers in:

Angelle (R): 18.45%  (2124 votes)
Dardenne (R): 13.89% (1599 votes)
Vitter (R): 20.5% (2361 votes)

Edwards (D): 42.71% (4918 votes)

Dominating.

Secretary of State:

"Tom" Schedler (R)   61.46%   6802
"Chris" Tyson (D)   38.54%   426

[MT Treasurer]

Election coverage on FOX 8 News (livestream):

http://www.fox8live.com/category/291835/live-stream

[MT Treasurer]

Vitter now leads Angelle by 4. Angelle really should have dropped out and endorsed Dardenne.

[MT Treasurer]

FOX 8 projects Edwards will make the runoff.

85/3945 precincts now in and Vitter still leads by 4.

[MT Treasurer]

493/3945 precincts in.

Edwards: 39%
Vitter: 23%
Angelle: 21%
Dardenne: 15%

Come on, Angelle!

[MT Treasurer]

AP projects Tom Schedler (R) as winner in the Secretary of State race. He currently leads 65-35.

[MT Treasurer]

Vitter just up by 1 now!!

John Bel Edwards (D)   39.16%   171032
Scott A. Angelle (R)   21.14%   92318
"Jay" Dardenne (R)   14.39%   62826
David Vitter (R)    22.25%   97186

[MT Treasurer]

Edwards really not doing well at all in Orleans County... I suspect he'll do much better there in the runoff.

[MT Treasurer]

David Vitter really is a disgrace to the Republican Party. #ProLifersForBelEdwards

^^

Republicans have no one to blame but themselves here - once again. I just hope that this moron Vitter won't run for reelection to the Senate, otherwise Republicans can kiss this Senate seat (and probably the majority) goodbye (assuming Vitter survives the jungle primary, which is certainly possible).

Senate races are FAR more partisan than gubernatorial races. Barring a Mitch Landrieu candidacy, no Democrat will defeat an incumbent republican senator in LA, period.

Yeah, that's why Heidi Heitkamp, Jon Tester, Susan Collins, Mark Kirk and Joe Manchin all lost their respective races in a landslide, right? Not to mention that Landrieu will likely run for Senate in 2016. Vitter is unpopular as hell, a state that rejects him by 10 points or more won't turn around and reelect him to the Senate a year later. John Kennedy would be a much better bet for the GOP here, but then again so would any Republican.

Only one of those five democrats defeated an incumbent Senator (Tester). And MT is pretty universally considered less Republican than LA, so not the greatest example.

I know that MT is a purple state, but my point is that Vitter won't have an incumbency advantage and just because a state votes solidly Republican/Democratic for president, that doesn't mean that a good candidate can't win a Senate race there under the right circumstances. Scott Brown is the best example. Voters are much easier to fool convince than you think.  

[MT Treasurer]

If Vitter wins, this would probably be the biggest polling failure of the last decade at least.

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Get ready for history to be made!

You really think he will lose?

[MT Treasurer]

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Edwards won by 12 or more points.

[MT Treasurer]

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Edwards won by 12 or more points.

Are you a contrarian?

I'm still sticking with my 52-48 Edwards prediction, just saying that it wouldn't surprise me at all.
I also think Nungesser will win 55-45.

OK, but are you? I'm a little bit of a contrarian myself.

Sure. I predicted a Bevin win last month, I'm convinced that NH is a deep blue state and that PA will be more Republican than VA in 2016. Sounds quite contrarian, doesn't it?

I maintain my 55-45 Vitter win prediction and will continue to do so even after the election is over (any Edwards victory will be tantamount to voter fraud).

Stop trolling, please.

[MT Treasurer]

Early vote:

62/38 Edwards
50/50 Holden

right now.

[MT Treasurer]

Acadia Parish in 2014: 74-26 Cassidy
right now: 50-50 Vitter

LOL

[MT Treasurer]

Vitter isn't going to win if he's trailing by 16 while Nungesser is up 14.

[MT Treasurer]

FOX8 Livestream:

http://www.fox8live.com/story/27276645/watch-live-at-7pm-louisiana-election-results

[MT Treasurer]

Nungesser wins. Called by FOX 8 10 minutes ago.

[MT Treasurer]

Lol nothing in from New Orleans yet. Calling this for Edwards now.

[MT Treasurer]

John Kennedy (R) will probably run for Senate and win.

[MT Treasurer]

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Edwards won by 12 or more points.

Called it.