Official US 2010 Census Results

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These people really like talking.

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So, the Kerry states+Ohio can no longer win for the Democrats.

Virginia and Colorado are more relevant as true swing states these days, while Ohio seems to have drifted right. Also New Mexico is lean Dem even with a tied pv in 2012.

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Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.

Yes, the Black parts of Oakland County will likely end up in one of the VRA districts.

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Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.

Yes, the Black parts of Oakland County will likely end up in one of the VRA districts.

This may be true, but Detroit is nearly all black unlike other big cities that have smaller majorites. Won't be that hard to keep to majority black districts if that what Michigan chooses to do.

But Detroit's population is only worth about a CD now. And except for Oakland County, there are very few Blacks outside of Detroit. Maybe that changed in the last 10 years but I doubt it.

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640,000... To keep two black majority districts, you'd need to pull in another 70k blacks from somewhere, and even then you'd need to find a way to split the black population very evenly to get two barely majority black districts. Doesn't really sound doable at all, IMO.  

There are 737,943 blacks in Wayne County and 164,078 in Oakland County (including about 31,000 in Pontiac), plus another almost 58,000 African-Americans in the city of Flint.  If the legislature wants to draw a second black majority district in Southeast Michigan, it probably would be able to - though it would likely have to split Detroit and look very ugly.

The numbers might be a bit lower after taking into account Hispanic status.

If they can make two AA districts within Wayne and south Oakland County, it won't look that bad. If they need to go to Flint (which if they need to do, I bet they give up on the second district), it gets ugly.

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Some interesting figures in there.

NJ's Gold Coast is booming. Hoboken, Jersey City and West New York all grew well above the national growth rate and made it onto the >2.5% growth rate list (4.1% in Hoboken, 3.5% in WNY and 2.8% in JC, to 1.7% nationally--though that's actually a considerable slowdown in Hoboken compared to 2000-2010, but JC has already added more people than it did 2000-2010). Presumably Weehawken would also be on there if it had more than 50,000 people.

Some of the very-fast-percent-growers are interesting, too. Irvine, California is near the top despite being pretty heavily built up already. Rapid growth in the city proper of Denver is a bit surprising, too. And San Francisco made it onto the percentage growth list.

Nearly every large city is growing somewhat, even "sick man" cities like Philadelphia, Chicago, Baltimore and Newark that have seen declines within the past few decades. There are only six declining cities with a population >200,000 that I see (Detroit, Cleveland, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Toledo and Rochester).

Ok, I know this post is from many months ago....but in any case..Irvine actually has a good chunk of land to grow on. There are a lot of strawberry fields on the east side of town and the north edge of town next to the mountains has some space as well. I would not be surprised if Irvine kept growing for another decade or more. Also, townhomes and courtyard style homes are becoming more popular, as the city is very expensive to live in due to excellent schools. This will cause an increase in population density.