Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)  (Read 69093 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,838
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« on: June 07, 2016, 04:39:40 PM »

There's a non-zero chance of a Clinton sweep. Really depends on how many Sanders supporters heard about Clinton clinching and how they react to that. Historically, Sanders should see a drop in support.

She's hopeless in North Dakota. Caucus with no absentees.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2016, 05:19:07 PM »

It's really a crime that we're not going to get a proper exit poll in California tonight.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2016, 08:16:10 PM »

Massive NM tightening. Clinton only up 52-48 in heavily hispanic state.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #3 on: June 07, 2016, 08:18:12 PM »

Clinton getting 24 delegates in NJ to Sanders's 12 so far.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2016, 08:20:20 PM »

Not a joke - Clinton up 68-25 in ND.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2016, 08:22:48 PM »

Clinton up 69 in ND with fifteen votes counted - four percent of the state total.

...I guess turnout was low.

state delegates, not raw votes.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2016, 08:25:52 PM »

Sanders up 60-31 in ND now.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #7 on: June 07, 2016, 08:30:29 PM »

Sanders leading in Sioux Falls. Keep an eye on SD.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #8 on: June 07, 2016, 08:35:31 PM »

Anybody else want to contest my call of Clinton for SD? Wink

Sioux Falls and Pierre is most of the state, and we have basically nothing. I still think it's up in the air.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2016, 08:40:22 PM »

Anybody else want to contest my call of Clinton for SD? Wink

Sioux Falls and Pierre is most of the state, and we have basically nothing. I still think it's up in the air.

46% of the vote is reporting, though. How is that "basically nothing"?

Statewide is 27%. (I stopped trusting AOS months ago and refuse to use them for anything if you're referring to that site)
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #10 on: June 07, 2016, 08:43:36 PM »

Hillary pulling away in SD. 54-46. It's over Bernie bros.

Yeah, more Sioux Falls came in and it's a tie. Now to wait on the networks to do it.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #11 on: June 07, 2016, 09:11:58 PM »

Clinton with a 49-45 lead in Montana!
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #12 on: June 07, 2016, 09:17:40 PM »

Clinton up 52-43 in Montana!
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2016, 09:28:38 PM »

SD: Clinton 51.4-48.6 with 70% in.
NM: Clinton 53.5-46.5 with 57% in.
MT: Clinton 51.5-43.1 with 12% in.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #14 on: June 07, 2016, 09:35:21 PM »

Clinton up 12 in MT with 20% in. She's got that one.

Wow, only ND for Sanders. That's a shocker.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2016, 09:52:26 PM »

15 full precincts in for MT, Clinton up 51-44. Maybe Bernie can catch up, we'll see.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #16 on: June 07, 2016, 09:58:52 PM »

Clinton lead in Montana down to 905 votes. Bernie may have this.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2016, 10:12:27 PM »

Basically everything Clinton is in SD. If Rapid City is big for Sanders, it might, might, might, be just enough.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #18 on: June 07, 2016, 10:14:41 PM »

Clinton still hanging on with 4% in for MT.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #19 on: June 07, 2016, 10:15:31 PM »

Clinton up 58-41 in CA. Not much in yet though.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #20 on: June 07, 2016, 11:46:17 PM »

WTF. Why are there always so many errors and changes on these election nights? The vote transferring and reporting process really needs to be cleaned up in some places.

It's mostly just NM that is constantly editing stuff that they reported earlier. That's why the network call took so long, Santa Fe's vote total was jumping around and they had to verify that it wasn't going to suddenly give Sanders a win.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #21 on: June 07, 2016, 11:47:48 PM »

California still counting. Clinton up 62.2-36.7 with 14% in. Sanders ahead 48.7-46.6 in Montana with 35% in.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #22 on: June 08, 2016, 12:18:16 AM »

24% in for CA, Clinton up 61.6-37.3. Sanders up 49.5-46.0 with 46% in for MT.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #23 on: June 08, 2016, 12:21:46 AM »

No exit poll. Yeah, the margin has been pretty steady throughout the count, but the networks aren't comfortable with assuming much when they have no metric to measure the remaining 75% of the vote by.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #24 on: June 08, 2016, 12:28:15 AM »

56% in for Montana, Sanders up 49.9-45.6.
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