Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)  (Read 68992 times)
Boston Bread
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E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« on: June 07, 2016, 01:43:47 PM »
Might as well join in:

CA: 52-47 Clinton
MT: 59-39 Sanders
NJ: 58-42 Clinton
NM: 53-47 Clinton
ND: 65-33 Sanders
SD: 54-46 Sanders
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2016, 05:29:24 PM »
A Bernie upset would be amazing, but still expecting a Clinton win in CA.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2016, 07:10:20 PM »
Quote from: Progressive on June 07, 2016, 07:09:26 PM
Hillary winning in largely white, rural Warren Co. Good sign for her in NJ?
Could be the early vote. Clinton was >60% in the first rural IN results.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #3 on: June 07, 2016, 08:11:21 PM »
Quote from: etr906 on June 07, 2016, 08:10:03 PM
Clinton's slight lead is mostly due to early voting. I imagine Sanders will go up soon.
I'm not sure if it is, looking at high levels of %reporting in some rural areas. Looking bad in SD.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2016, 08:13:18 PM »
Quote from: IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi on June 07, 2016, 08:12:26 PM
Bernie capped at 50.8 now in SD. This is close to being called for Clinton.
Almost 100000 votes were cast in 08 - right now under 10000 are in. I don't get how you can say Bernie is capped at only 51.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2016, 08:15:48 PM »
It's a pretty clean east-west split. IA, NE or MO were uglier than this, county wise.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2016, 08:17:30 PM »
The NM counties reporting so far also went for Obama in 08, so I'm guessing they're the whiter parts of the state. (Obama did better with whites than nonwhites in NM I think)
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #7 on: June 07, 2016, 08:28:22 PM »
Bernie has taken the lead in Sioux Falls! There is hope yet.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #8 on: June 07, 2016, 08:30:04 PM »
What is with data disappearing? Santa Fe now gone.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2016, 09:03:42 PM »
On the bright side, Sanders has overperformed Obama in both Dakotas.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #10 on: June 07, 2016, 09:08:13 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on June 07, 2016, 09:07:02 PM
Quote from: xingkerui on June 07, 2016, 09:05:27 PM
If Clinton really only does win NM by 6-7 points (which is possible, due to Sanders winning some counties), that might spell trouble for her in CA.

True, true. I think one of the big themes we're seeing tonight (and that we have been seeing in states like Oregon over the past few weeks) is that the race thing really isn't as relevant in most states as some people are making it out to be.
Race is extremely relevant in black-heavy states like NJ, but the hispanic, asian, and native American votes are heavily fragmented.
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Boston Bread
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #11 on: June 07, 2016, 09:11:43 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on June 07, 2016, 09:10:30 PM
I don't understand ...
How can Sanders win N.D. by such a huge margin, but yet Hillary is currently leading in S.D. ?
Strange.
What am I missing ?
SD hates good maps. Horrible State.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #12 on: June 07, 2016, 09:20:28 PM »
The contrast along the TX-NM border is gonna be crazy.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2016, 09:23:40 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on June 07, 2016, 09:23:00 PM
Sioux Falls flipping is really bad news though.
4.88% with 61% in
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #14 on: June 07, 2016, 09:25:18 PM »
SD NOW WITHIN 3 PTS
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2016, 09:29:06 PM »
All the uncounted SD counties are in the west, so hopefully it helps Sanders some.
Also Lyman has tied.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #16 on: June 07, 2016, 09:30:49 PM »
Quote from: IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi on June 07, 2016, 09:30:15 PM
Rapid city is done though. That's as close as he'll come.
He'll come closer if he wins the native rez areas left in the west.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2016, 09:32:41 PM »
The wealthy white area of Los Alamos have joined the Obama 08 -> Clinton 16 counties.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #18 on: June 07, 2016, 09:35:01 PM »
Quote from: cinyc on June 07, 2016, 09:33:15 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on June 07, 2016, 09:29:27 PM
I knew something was wrong with Pennington. Glad that got fixed.

It's still not totally fixed.  Only 16/47 precincts are fully reporting, not 46/47.
Sanders could net 400 votes from this!
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #19 on: June 07, 2016, 09:54:59 PM »
Socorro just ruined the horizontal "Bernie belt" in NM.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #20 on: June 07, 2016, 10:04:40 PM »
Sioux Falls is done. It'll be tough for Bernie to climb out of it.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #21 on: June 07, 2016, 10:13:42 PM »
Looks like the remainder of Pennington isn't coming in strong enough. Would call SD now.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #22 on: June 07, 2016, 10:27:00 PM »
Shasta results disappeared?
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #23 on: June 07, 2016, 10:48:51 PM »
Is a D vs D senate runoff in CA a foregone conclusion now?
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #24 on: June 07, 2016, 11:07:52 PM »
Someone ought to make sure jfern is ok...
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