2016 Congressional Primaries

[windjammer]

Copeland is going to win lol

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Barksdale back ahead.

Only 1% in, but in district 9 Doug Collins leads Paul Broun 59-22.

Texas polls closing shortly.

[Vosem]

First two precincts, in both races, have Arrington and Gonzalez leading 51-49. Strongly pulling for Arrington over Robertson, of course.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Doug Collins leading Paul Broun 61-22 with 4% in.

[Vosem]

So-called frontrunner, St. Sen. Mike Crane, has fallen behind a some dude into fourth place in GA-3. Tiny-village mayor and wealthy dentist (future lionkiller?) Drew Ferguson and businessman Jim Pace seem very likely to go to a runoff (Ferguson leads Crane 35-22, with the unheralded Chip Flanagan at 15 and Crane at 14).

Republican incumbents facing primary challenges: Loudermilk at 61, Collins at 62, Graves at 77, Scott at 81, Allen at 82. There may be a solid floor of about 15%ish (a little more, perhaps) that will vote against the Republican incumbent in a primary, for any challenger, no matter what.

In Texas, Gonzalez leads Palacios 51-49 in district 15, with 0.7% in. With 2.5% in in district 19, Robertson leads Arrington 50-50, or by 10 votes (out of 1,134 counted so far).

[Vosem]

Karnes County is coming in >70% for Gonzalez, who now leads 60-40. Meanwhile, Arrington has narrowed Robertson's lead to 7 votes, from 10.

[bumpercrop]

Fulton County coming in. Barksdale leading Copeland 60%-36% there with 6% in. If this holds, Barksdale will win easily.

Barksdale actually ran ads in the Atlanta media market so that's probably what that's about...

[Vosem]

Crane has recovered nicely as his home base has come in. He's now down 30-23 to Ferguson, with Pace at 21. With 8% in, Robertson leads 52-48. More than half of his lead comes from a >60% performance in Howard County. Still none of Lubbock itself in yet.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Austin Scott is the projected winner for GA-8 R. Doug Collins is the projected winner for GA-9 R. Rick Allen is the projected winner for GA-12 R. Tom Graves is the projected winner for GA-14 R.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Barksdale up 51.3%-43.8% with 30% of the vote in.

[Pandaguineapig]

Arrington up 10% with 1/3 in, don't know if any of Lubbock is in yet

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Barksdale up 52.1-43.4 with 48% in. Greg Duke is the projected winner for GA-2 R.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tricia McCracken is the projected winner for GA-13 D. Barksdale up 53.1%-42.5% with 59% in.

Jodey Arrington is the projected winner for TX-19 R.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

With 79% in for GA-3 R, Crane has taken the lead over Ferguson. Pace a strong third.

[Vosem]

Jodey Arrington is the projected winner for TX-19 R.

Fantastic news! Glen Robertson was a populistic Trump-type. Good to see Republicans across the nation continuing to reject that brand of politics.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Barry Loudermilk is the projected winner for GA-11 R.

[Miles]

We've called a runoff for CD3 at DDHQ (Crane/Ferguson).

[Vosem]

With 84% in, Crane takes the lead in GA-3 (the presumed frontrunner, he had been down in fourth place behind a some dude early in the count). Currently, the numbers are Crane 27, Ferguson 26, Pace 24, with two to advance to a runoff. Very close.

No incumbent was held under 60, or below a 35-point margin over their nearest challenger. Georgia isn't fertile ground for primary challenges, at least at the moment. Isakson won 77-12-11, but it seems Bacallao (in third place) may have carried Fayette County; it's also possible the AP is in error here.

With 72% in statewide for the Democratic Senate nomination, Barksdale leads Copeland 53-42. Still unclear if Barksdale can pull this off without a runoff; this'll also be a fascinating map to look at.

With 37% in TX-15, Vicente Gonzalez is leading Sonny Palacios 72-28 (!) even though this began as a seemingly very narrow race. Apparently Guadalupe County (presumably Palacios' base, since he only lost there 52-48 even as no other county gave less than 2/3 of the vote to Gonzalez) was the first to count, giving us the illusion of a close race here. Gonzalez should be getting the checkmark any minute now.

[bumpercrop]

With 84% in, Crane takes the lead in GA-3 (the presumed frontrunner, he had been down in fourth place behind a some dude early in the count). Currently, the numbers are Crane 27, Ferguson 26, Pace 24, with two to advance to a runoff. Very close.

No incumbent was held under 60, or below a 35-point margin over their nearest challenger. Georgia isn't fertile ground for primary challenges, at least at the moment. Isakson won 77-12-11, but it seems Bacallao (in third place) may have carried Fayette County; it's also possible the AP is in error here.

With 72% in statewide for the Democratic Senate nomination, Barksdale leads Copeland 53-42. Still unclear if Barksdale can pull this off without a runoff; this'll also be a fascinating map to look at.

With 37% in TX-15, Vicente Gonzalez is leading Sonny Palacios 72-28 (!) even though this began as a seemingly very narrow race. Apparently Guadalupe County (presumably Palacios' base, since he only lost there 52-48 even as no other county gave less than 2/3 of the vote to Gonzalez) was the first to count, giving us the illusion of a close race here. Gonzalez should be getting the checkmark any minute now.

A lot of Metro Atlanta isn't in yet. Expect Barksdale's lead to increase slightly.

I will have a map once all counties are at 100%.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Vincente Gonzalez is the projected winner for TX-15 D.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Barksdale now rounds up to 54% with a quarter of the vote left to go.

[Maxwell]

RIP Paul Broun's career. Dude got savaged.

[Miles]

RIP Paul Broun's career. Dude got savaged.

Actually, he only got 19% in the district when he ran for Senate, so getting 22% is actually an improvement.

[Maxwell]

RIP Paul Broun's career. Dude got savaged.

Actually, he only got 19% in the district when he ran for Senate, so getting 22% is actually an improvement.

I mean, maybe from that perspective, but his Senate campaign was a total disaster so I imagined he could only go up from there.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

482 precincts to go and Copeland still hasn't started surging upward. Barksdale appears secure.