Battleground Georgia: Democrats see 2014 flip (user search)
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  Battleground Georgia: Democrats see 2014 flip (search mode)
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Author Topic: Battleground Georgia: Democrats see 2014 flip  (Read 3771 times)
Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
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« on: July 23, 2014, 08:47:44 PM »

By this logic, New Jersey should be considered a dark (atlas) blue state because of Christie's margins.
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Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
Jr. Member
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Posts: 817
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« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2014, 10:44:22 PM »

Georgia is so inelastic that once Democrats break through in multiple races, it's a signaling point that the demographics are reaching critical mass. Nunn and Carter are helping us cheat by moving it up a cycle so to speak, but the argument by and large still stands.

After that happens, the Republicans will have at most one cycle to reclaim any territory before they lose it forever. In other words, if Nunn/Carter win in '14, Republicans can fight hard to keep Georgia's EVs for the Republicans - and the Senate seat - in '16, but '18 would likely be a clean-sweep of all statewide offices for Democrats (save for the very most popular incumbents). It also won't help that every statewide officer will be finishing their second term, a common retirement point, in '18 (except State School Superintendent).

In the example above, though, I think a Dem win in the Gov/Sen races in '14 is a lot harder than a win in '16; that case may be the actual end of Republican dominance in the state if we succeed in Nov.

Democrats' wet dream since 1992.
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