Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor (user search)
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  Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor  (Read 10879 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: November 14, 2015, 11:39:51 PM »

^ Two-thirds of Dardenne's voters would be too charitable, IMO. I'm not expecting any more than half.
Oh, come on. Dardenne and Edwards don't disagree on any major issues, and Dardenne is the type of guy who reinforces his positives in every action he takes. Even so, turnout against Vitter will be really high. It's not like Vitter is charismatic or a decent campaigner like Kentucky's Gov.-Elect Bevin is.

This post is a great example of the victor deciding history. Bevin was constantly pilloried during the race from all sides as a TERRIBLE campaigner.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: November 15, 2015, 04:07:42 PM »

^ Two-thirds of Dardenne's voters would be too charitable, IMO. I'm not expecting any more than half.
Oh, come on. Dardenne and Edwards don't disagree on any major issues, and Dardenne is the type of guy who reinforces his positives in every action he takes. Even so, turnout against Vitter will be really high. It's not like Vitter is charismatic or a decent campaigner like Kentucky's Gov.-Elect Bevin is.

This post is a great example of the victor deciding history. Bevin was constantly pilloried during the race from all sides as a TERRIBLE campaigner.

You know, one of the possibilities is that the folks who "pilloried" Bevin were wrong....

Or maybe Bevin won despite his campaigning skills, not because of them. It happens constantly.
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