Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor (user search)
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  Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor  (Read 10869 times)
Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,084
United States
« on: November 14, 2015, 10:21:51 PM »
Worst case scenario for Democrats:

Edwards 51.47
Vitter 48.53
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,084
United States
« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2015, 12:16:04 AM »
Quote from: JMT on November 16, 2015, 12:05:40 AM
My Prediction:
Edwards: 52.1%
Vitter: 47.9

However, considering the strong Republican tilt of Louisiana in most statewide races, I am not as certain as other Atlas users that Edwards will win. While I expect Edwards to win, I would not be surprised if Vitter pulls out a narrow victory. 




The fact a Democrat leads in Obama-era Louisiana at all emphasizes that Vitter is in big trouble. A Vitter win would not be shocking, but I would be slightly surprised.
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