Maine and Nebraska Results by Congressional District
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  Maine and Nebraska Results by Congressional District
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Author Topic: Maine and Nebraska Results by Congressional District  (Read 619 times)
Sorenroy
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« on: November 12, 2016, 12:08:05 PM »
« edited: November 14, 2016, 06:34:30 PM by Sorenroy »

Haven't seen this on the forum yet (or on the "Election Results" tab), so here they are! Courtesy of the Portland Press Herald (Maine, the SOS website does not have them yet) and the Nebraska Secretary of State (Nebraska). For some reason I am not seeing anyone besides Clinton, Johnson, Stein, and Trump listed even though I am fairly confident that write-ins were allowed in both states.


Maine (statewide)Sad
Clinton — 47.86% (354,873)
Trump — 45.15% (334,838)
Johnson — 5.09% (37,764)
Stein — 1.90% (14,075)
(total: 741,550, swing: 12.59%)

Maine (CD-1)Sad
Clinton — 53.95% (210,921)
Trump — 39.43% (154,173)
Johnson — 4.71% (18,429)
Stein — 1.90% (7,446)
(total: 390,969, swing: 6.88%)

Maine (CD-2)Sad
Trump — 51.53% (180,665)
Clinton — 41.06% (143,952)
Johnson — 5.52% (19,335)
Stein — 1.89% (6,629)
(total: 350,581, swing: 19.03%)



Nebraska (statewide)Sad
Trump — 60.33% (485,372)
Clinton — 33.96% (273,185)
Johnson — 4.67% (37,577)
Stein — 1.04% (8,337)
(total: 804,471, swing: 4.60%)

Nebraska (CD-1)Sad
Trump — 57.65% (157,571)
Clinton — 36.11% (98,694)
Johnson — 5.05% (13,791)
Stein — 1.20% (3,271)
(total: 273,327, swing: 4.89%)

Nebraska (CD-2)Sad
Trump — 48.82% (131,338)
Clinton — 45.44% (122,253)
Johnson — 4.60% (12,379)
Stein — 1.14% (3,056)
(total: 269,026, swing: -3.79%)

Nebraska (CD-3)Sad
Trump — 74.94% (197,411)
Clinton — 19.95% (52,562)
Johnson — 4.35% (11,447)
Stein — 0.76% (2,013)
(total: 263,433, swing: 12.37%)


Edited to include the Republican swing.
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EpicHistory
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« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2016, 03:31:40 PM »

So it would appear NE-02 and ME-02 are indeed about to be swapped between the parties.
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Axel Foley
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« Reply #2 on: November 12, 2016, 03:40:21 PM »

Could Clinton have won NE-2 without its recent rebuilding?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: November 12, 2016, 03:43:04 PM »
« Edited: November 12, 2016, 03:46:06 PM by Mr. Morden »

So Maine-2 is now more Republican than Texas?  (That is, the GOP-Dem %age margin is greater than in Texas.  The %age that actually went to the Republican candidate is lower though because of the high 3rd party vote in Maine.)
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AGA
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« Reply #4 on: November 12, 2016, 04:13:23 PM »

Wow, Trump won ME-02 by double digits. Only two of the ten polls on RCP showed him winning by at least that much.
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Axel Foley
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« Reply #5 on: November 12, 2016, 04:18:31 PM »

Wow, Trump won ME-02 by double digits. Only two of the ten polls on RCP showed him winning by at least that much.

And all dated in September, before debates and pussygrabbing. In the latest polls even GOP-friendly pollsters like Emerson suggested a pure toss-up with a slight Clinton lead. He won all counties but one in rural Maine.
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jfern
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« Reply #6 on: November 12, 2016, 05:44:52 PM »

Is that a record for Maine congressional divergence? They sure took a while to call those 2 electors considering that they weren't very close.
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Acestroke
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« Reply #7 on: November 12, 2016, 06:01:21 PM »

If Hillary won Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and NE-02 she would have won the presidency 270-268. And the reason would be that the Republicans in the Unicameral earlier this year were one vote short of going back to WTA.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #8 on: November 14, 2016, 06:35:14 PM »

Edited to include the Republican swing.

Interestingly, NE-2 joins the shortlist with AZ, CA, DC, GA, KS, MA, TX, UT, VA, and WA as states that swung Democratic.
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Ricky1121
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« Reply #9 on: November 14, 2016, 06:36:40 PM »

ME-02 more Republican than Texas....I think we might have to worry about Texas in the coming years...;-;
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #10 on: November 14, 2016, 06:58:03 PM »

ME-02 more Republican than Texas....I think we might have to worry about Texas in the coming years...;-;

Well, I wouldn't say that's the reason why you have to worry about Texas in the coming years, however don't get too cocky about Texas, since unlike the MidWest it is a state that is extremely fast growing and dynamic, and honestly that sounds like a lot of Dems on the forum "shocked, shocked I say to find that Trump won Wisconsin".....

Now ME-02 is still persuadable to a Dem that focuses on economic based issues, whereas I suspect the current direction Texas is going, the Republicans are losing out on Latinos permanently at the Federal level (Not statewide yet)....

Not sure if you had a chance to review the 2016 election returns from Harris and Fort Bend counties yet, not to mention massive swings in Bexar, and counties that run from Round Rock all the way to the exurbs South of SA....Huh?

Will these voters return to vote Republican in 2020 or are they a lost cause for the head of the ticket?Huh
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