By the year 2100, Which Country Will be the World's Number 1 Superpower? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 28, 2024, 07:58:58 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  International General Discussion (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  By the year 2100, Which Country Will be the World's Number 1 Superpower? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which country do you think will be (or remain) the world's number 1 superpower by the end of this century?
#1
United States
 
#2
China
 
#3
India
 
#4
European Union
 
#5
other (please elaborate)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 68

Author Topic: By the year 2100, Which Country Will be the World's Number 1 Superpower?  (Read 2885 times)
Seneca
Rookie
**
Posts: 245


« on: January 19, 2016, 11:37:18 PM »

We're going to be the world's leading superpower for a lot longer than anyone thinks.  I don't think China any longer has a chance of catching up to the United States as a world superpower, since it appears to be turning into a giant version of 1990s-era Japan.  Once you slip into that trap, it is awfully difficult to get out of it, especially given adverse demographics compounded by China's self-inflicted one-child policy.

But unlike Japan, China has a substantially larger population and substantially smaller GDP per capita than the US.  China's so far behind the US in GDP per capita, that even in a pessimistic scenario, it still grows faster than the US, doesn't it?  So it keeps closing the gap on the US, it's just that it'll take a lot longer to reach parity than previously thought possible.


I don't see where China will get the hydrocarbons to continue growing arithmetically for 84 more years. At some point, the world will hit hard limits to growth. To answer the question in the OP, I expect no one political entity will be able to exert global hegemony in 2100; the most powerful states will be regional hegemons.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 12 queries.