The NY-26 Election. Have fun but keep your shirt on. (user search)
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  The NY-26 Election. Have fun but keep your shirt on. (search mode)
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Author Topic: The NY-26 Election. Have fun but keep your shirt on.  (Read 49963 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,206
India


« on: February 09, 2011, 03:55:48 PM »
Women? A Republican? I'm not buying it for a minute.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #1 on: February 09, 2011, 04:46:24 PM »
Quote from: Verily on February 09, 2011, 04:42:08 PM
Maybe, maybe not. Lee's seat is pretty much impossible to eliminate by redistricting, unique among the NY GOP seats.
Technically, I suppose you could keep Slaughter's current monstrosity intact and put Lee's home suburb in it. But I fail to see any reason why anyone should do so, besides spite.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #2 on: February 09, 2011, 05:14:12 PM »
Quote from: Lunar on February 09, 2011, 05:03:56 PM
What do you think of this proposal?

"Reed takes south of 90; Buerkle gets n of 90 along lakeshore Slaughter gets Monroe "
From Syracuse all the way to Buffalo? Ugh.Certainly. If Lee resigns or does not run again, but the logical district is drawn anyways, he's somebody who could run.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #3 on: February 10, 2011, 12:38:44 AM »
That was disappointingly quick.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #4 on: March 31, 2011, 04:49:35 AM »
Quote from: ag on March 29, 2011, 05:26:56 PM
I don't know about the Upstate, but on Long Island the two county clerks are, if not household names, still reasonably known by the populace.
Long Island's counties are twice the size of congressional districts, so, yeah. Obviously not comparable.

Things would have to get down the sh!tter pretty badly for Corwin for this to get seriously competitive, and Hochul's name rec or lack of it and Davis' natural constituency or lack of it to matter.
Obviously, given the past record of by-elections in New York state, you can't rule anything out, but, yeah.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #5 on: April 29, 2011, 09:25:05 AM »
That's... high.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #6 on: April 29, 2011, 10:22:41 AM »
When's the election?
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #7 on: April 29, 2011, 10:26:55 AM »
Plenty of time for the race to move into genuine three-way tossup territory then, leading to Corwin tanking and finally dropping out to ensure Davis' victory? Tongue
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2011, 10:18:11 AM »
Very funny - but you have an interesting definition of "subtle". Tongue
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #9 on: May 07, 2011, 03:42:24 AM »
Blast from the past, Kev.

Davis' high support may just be indicative of low turnout, no?
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