Colorado Poll- Tie (University of Denver, conducted October 29-31) (user search)
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  Colorado Poll- Tie (University of Denver, conducted October 29-31) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Colorado Poll- Tie (University of Denver, conducted October 29-31)  (Read 5092 times)
Fusionmunster
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Posts: 2,483


« on: November 02, 2016, 07:37:15 PM »

So, never released a poll before and openly admits under polling Latinos. Gonna just throw it in the average.
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Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,483


« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 09:11:23 PM »

Fact: This poll oversampled whites and undersampled latinos. I'm not going to unskew, but the latino voting percentage in Colorado is not going to see a sharp decline like this poll shows.
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Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,483


« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 09:32:58 PM »

Whether you believe the top numbers or not, the trend is unmistakable. Every state is moving away from Clinton.

Today RCP made seven changes in their state projection... all away from Hillary.

Trump still has an up hill battle, but now he has many more options open to him now. He has two must wins in the bag (IA/OH) and FL/NC early voting looks good for him (especially NC).

Those are his four must wins. He just needs one more state. Before, all other states seemed out of reach except NV (which would fall just short of 270). Now, he has many options. NV, NH, WI, MI, VA, CO, PA, and ME-1 are all in play.

RCP's map currently stands at 226C - 180T with 132EV tossups (does not include MI/WI either).

RCP no tossup is: 273C - 265T.

Clinton still has an advantage, but it's anyone's game. And given how early voting is looking for Hillary, I'd start to really worry if I was her. Remember, most polls project a 2012 like electorate. But most early voting looks closer to 2014.
Thank you for not being another one of those people that rant "trash poll"

We'll find out in a week.
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Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2016, 10:01:26 PM »

Note that Red Hacks is selective in what polls they like. The CO poll that was released today, Clinton+10, they love and don't criticise at all. Likewise, the FL poll that was released yesterday by Democratic firm without a track history, Clinton+8. But they always hate A+ polls and call them outliers like these A+ polls from SUSA and ABC. It's a manipulated hypocrisy.

Someones salty.
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Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 10:03:59 PM »

Note that Red Hacks is selective in what polls they like. The CO poll that was released today, Clinton+10, they love and don't criticise at all. Likewise, the FL poll that was released yesterday by Democratic firm without a track history, Clinton+8. But they always hate A+ polls and call them outliers like these A+ polls from SUSA and ABC. It's a manipulated hypocrisy.

Someones salty.

or SSPICY! Wink See what I did?

*clap*
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