dudeabides
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,375
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« on: July 20, 2015, 10:00:33 PM » |
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It would have clearly been a Romney Vs. Huckabee race. Huckabee would have won Iowa, and Santorum would have been forced out. Then, Mitt Romney would have won New Hampshire, but then Huckabee would have won South Carolina, with Newt Gingrich ending his campaign after a disappointing second place finish.
Michigan, Romney's native state, wasn't exactly great for Romney in 2012 - he won the primary there 41% to Rick Santorum's 37%. Newt Gingrich had 6%. Huckabee would have won Santorum's supporters plus a majority of Gingrich's voters, he could have won a narrow victory in Michigan.
Huckabee would have won the south, plus with a united conservative electorate behind him, he would have a great chance at winning the nomination by securing victories in midwestern states, like Ohio, that Romney won.
Would he have been the nominee? Probably not. Romney still would have won delegate rich states like California, New York, and Florida. But, Huckabee would have won more than 13 states, the number of states that went for Gingrich or Santorum.
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