Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2010 Elections => Topic started by: Harry Hayfield on November 04, 2009, 07:26:14 PM



Title: 2010 Congressional Swingometer
Post by: Harry Hayfield on November 04, 2009, 07:26:14 PM
As I think everyone is beginning to realise, 2010 will see the first UK / US double header since 1992 (when a UK election and a US election are held in the same year) and as such it will not be long before we Brits have these devices coming out of our ears

()

I would like to know if there is anyone who is slightly more expert at online graphics who could create a similar graphic for the US elections if I was to supply them with a spreadsheet ranking the 2008 results by swing needed to gain?


Title: Re: 2010 Congressional Swingometer
Post by: Padfoot on November 04, 2009, 11:33:34 PM
What is that thing?  A Parliament election roulette game?


Title: Re: 2010 Congressional Swingometer
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on November 05, 2009, 01:13:07 AM
It's not really possible, because neither party contests every seat.

What is that thing?  A Parliament election roulette game?

Swingometer.

So, basically, yes.


Title: Re: 2010 Congressional Swingometer
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on November 05, 2009, 01:42:52 AM
Seats uncontested by Democrats:

AL-1
AL-6
AR-3
CA-19
CA-22
KY-5
LA-5
TX-1
TX-2
TX-5
TX-11
TX-14
TX-21
WI-5
Total: 14

Seats uncontested by Republicans:

AL-7
AR-1
AR-2
AR-4
CA-18
CA-28
CA-30
CA-31
CA-32
CA-37
CA-38
FL-3
FL-17
FL-20
GA-4
GA-5
IL-17
LA-3
MA-2
MA-3
MA-5
MA-8
MA-9
MA-10
MI-14
MO-1
NJ-10
NY-6
NY-9
OR-1
OR-4
PA-14
TN-6
TN-8
TN-9
TX-9
TX-16
VT-AL
VA-3
VA-9
WV-1
WI-4
Total: 42


Title: Re: 2010 Congressional Swingometer
Post by: Harry Hayfield on November 05, 2009, 05:36:04 AM
Seats uncontested by Democrats:

AL-1
AL-6
AR-3
CA-19
CA-22
KY-5
LA-5
TX-1
TX-2
TX-5
TX-11
TX-14
TX-21
WI-5
Total: 14

Seats uncontested by Republicans:

AL-7
AR-1
AR-2
AR-4
CA-18
CA-28
CA-30
CA-31
CA-32
CA-37
CA-38
FL-3
FL-17
FL-20
GA-4
GA-5
IL-17
LA-3
MA-2
MA-3
MA-5
MA-8
MA-9
MA-10
MI-14
MO-1
NJ-10
NY-6
NY-9
OR-1
OR-4
PA-14
TN-6
TN-8
TN-9
TX-9
TX-16
VT-AL
VA-3
VA-9
WV-1
WI-4
Total: 42

Which would simply mean that on the 50% side for the Dem would be those 14 and on the 50% side for the GOP would be those 42.


Title: Re: 2010 Congressional Swingometer
Post by: muon2 on November 09, 2009, 06:05:29 PM
Seats uncontested by Democrats:

AL-1
AL-6
AR-3
CA-19
CA-22
KY-5
LA-5
TX-1
TX-2
TX-5
TX-11
TX-14
TX-21
WI-5
Total: 14

Seats uncontested by Republicans:

AL-7
AR-1
AR-2
AR-4
CA-18
CA-28
CA-30
CA-31
CA-32
CA-37
CA-38
FL-3
FL-17
FL-20
GA-4
GA-5
IL-17
LA-3
MA-2
MA-3
MA-5
MA-8
MA-9
MA-10
MI-14
MO-1
NJ-10
NY-6
NY-9
OR-1
OR-4
PA-14
TN-6
TN-8
TN-9
TX-9
TX-16
VT-AL
VA-3
VA-9
WV-1
WI-4
Total: 42

If this refers to the 2010 elections then IL-17 is being contested. OTOH IL-1 and IL-4 are not being contested by any Rep.


Title: Re: 2010 Congressional Swingometer
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on November 09, 2009, 07:54:55 PM
Seats uncontested by Democrats:

AL-1
AL-6
AR-3
CA-19
CA-22
KY-5
LA-5
TX-1
TX-2
TX-5
TX-11
TX-14
TX-21
WI-5
Total: 14

Seats uncontested by Republicans:

AL-7
AR-1
AR-2
AR-4
CA-18
CA-28
CA-30
CA-31
CA-32
CA-37
CA-38
FL-3
FL-17
FL-20
GA-4
GA-5
IL-17
LA-3
MA-2
MA-3
MA-5
MA-8
MA-9
MA-10
MI-14
MO-1
NJ-10
NY-6
NY-9
OR-1
OR-4
PA-14
TN-6
TN-8
TN-9
TX-9
TX-16
VT-AL
VA-3
VA-9
WV-1
WI-4
Total: 42

If this refers to the 2010 elections then IL-17 is being contested. OTOH IL-1 and IL-4 are not being contested by any Rep.

These are from 2008.