Title: NKPatel's 2010 US Senate Predictions with recent news from CT,ND. Post by: nkpatel1279 on January 06, 2010, 10:36:33 AM The Democrats are favored to win the January 19 2010 Special Election in MA to suceed Ted Kennedy (Martha Coakley-D) defeats (Scott Brown-R) by a 57-42 percent margin. Looking at November 2010. The following Democratic Held US Senate Seats are safe. 42 Democratic US Senators are not up for re-election.
43)HI(Inouye-D) 44)IN(Bayh-D) 45)MD(Mikulski-D) 46)NY-A(Schumer-D) 47)OR(Wyden-D) 48)VT(Leahy-D) 49)WA(Murray-D) 50)WI(Feingold-D) The following Democratic Held US Senate Seats are Competive but Democratic Favored. 51)CA(Boxer-D) trounces Fiorina-R. 60-40 margin. 52)CT(OPEN-Dodd-D)- Bluemanthal-D trounces Simmons-R 60-40 margin. 53)NY-B(Gillibrand-D) trounces whoever the GOP nominates- 60-40 margin. The following Democratic Held US Senate Seats are Competive but Democratic Lean. 54)IL(OPEN-Burris-D)- Giannoulias-D defeats Kirk-R 55-45 margin. 55)NV(Reid-D)- Reid-D defeats Lowden-R 55-45 margin. 56)PA(Specter-D) defeats Toomey-R 55-45 margin. AR(Lincoln-D),CO(Bennett-D),DE(OPEN-Kaufman-D),and ND(OPEN-Dorgan-D) are in the Tossup- Lean Republican Takeover collumn. Looking at the Republican Seats. The Following Republican US Senate Seats are Safe. 22 Republicans are not up for re-election. 23)AL(Shelby-R) 24)AK(Murkowski-R) 25)AZ(McCain-R) 26)GA(Isakson-R) 27)ID(Crapo-R) 28)IA(Grassley-R) 29)KS(OPEN-Brownback-R)- Jerry Moran-R or Todd Tiahrt-R is Strongly favored to win the 2010 US Senate Race. 30)OK(Coburn-R) 31)SC(DeMint-R) 32)SD(Thune-R) 33)UT(Bennett-R) The following Republican Held US Senate Seats are competitive but Republican Favored. 34)FL(OPEN-LeMeuix-R)- if Crist-R is the GOP nominee. IF Rubio is the nominee- FL moves to the Tossup collumn. 35)LA(Vitter-R)- is favored to defeat Charlie Melancon-R 60-40 margin. The following Republican Held US Senate Seats are Competive but Republican Lean. 36)KY(OPEN-Bunning-R)- Greyson-R or Paul-R is favored to hold on to the KY US Senate Seat. 37)NC(Burr-R)- favored to win re-election over Elaine Marshall-D MO(OPEN-Bond-R),NH(OPEN-Gregg-R),and OH(OPEN-Voinovich-R)- are in the Tossup- Lean Democratic Takeover Collumn. Looking at the US Senate Seats in the Tossup- Lean Takeover Collumn. Republicans are favored to pick up ND(OPEN-Dorgan-D)- Hoeven-R is favored to defeat Pomeroy-D by a 55-45 percent margin or a Generic Democratic by a 60-40 percent margin. 38R Democrats are favored to pick up MO(OPEN-Bond-R)- Carnahan-D is favored to defeat Blunt-R by a 52-47 percent margin. 57D. The pure Tossup races are AR(Lincoln-D),CO(Bennett-D),DE(OPEN-Kaufman-D), NH(OPEN-Gregg-R),and OH(OPEN-Voinovich-R). Democrats need to win 3 of those pure tossup races to maintain their 60 seat majority. Democrats narrowly win AR(Lincoln-D), DE(OPEN-Kaufman-D)- Beau Biden-D narrowly defeats Mike Castle-R. 59D. Republicans narrowly win CO(Bennett-D) narrowly loses to Norton-R. and NH(OPEN-Gregg-R)-Ayotte-R narrowly defeats Hodes-D. 40R. OH(OPEN-Voinovich-R) will be a pure Tossup. Democrats will lose between 0-2 seats. Democrats pick up MO and possibly OH. But lose ND and CO. and possibly AR. Title: Re: NKPatel's 2010 US Senate Predictions with recent news from CT,ND. Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on January 06, 2010, 11:18:56 AM All I want to know is why do you have NV as Reid winning, he is trailing in every single poll taken. I hope he wins, but he may bear the baggage of his son losing in a split vote to Goodman in the NV gubernatorial contest.
Title: Re: NKPatel's 2010 US Senate Predictions with recent news from CT,ND. Post by: nkpatel1279 on January 06, 2010, 11:39:42 AM All I want to know is why do you have NV as Reid winning, he is trailing in every single poll taken. I hope he wins, but he may bear the baggage of his son losing in a split vote to Goodman in the NV gubernatorial contest. |