Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 29, 2010, 06:44:30 PM



Title: CA: Ipsos: Brown the favorite over Whittman
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 29, 2010, 06:44:30 PM
New Poll: California Governor by Ipsos on 2010-6-39 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2010/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=602010639077)

Summary: D: 45%, R: 39%, I: 3%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE65S4TY20100629?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews)



Title: Re: CA: Ipsos: Brown the favorite over Whittman
Post by: Eraserhead on June 30, 2010, 03:11:53 AM
Apparently people didn't care much about the whole Nazi comment drama...


Title: Re: CA: Ipsos: Brown the favorite over Whittman
Post by: Torie on June 30, 2010, 03:27:02 PM
The candidate whom BRTD affectionately calls "the b*itch" is going to thump Brown. And don't bother arguing with me about it. The odds of my changing my mind are about as likely as Twin City exurbs with +20% GOP pvi's becoming BRTD's favorite places.


Title: Re: CA: Ipsos: Brown the favorite over Whittman
Post by: Sbane on June 30, 2010, 04:39:57 PM
The candidate whom BRTD affectionately calls "the b*itch" is going to thump Brown. And don't bother arguing with me about it. The odds of my changing my mind are about as likely as Twin City exurbs with +20% GOP pvi's becoming BRTD's favorite places.

What is the definition of "thump" here? She may win a close race but not a blowout.


Title: Re: CA: Ipsos: Brown the favorite over Whittman
Post by: Beet on June 30, 2010, 04:48:21 PM
I will be supporting Brown even though I'm not living in CA.

That said, the Brown campaign must recognize that the winds are extremely economic conservative right now, voters want serious reforms on issues such as pensions and spending.


Title: Re: CA: Ipsos: Brown the favorite over Whittman
Post by: Torie on June 30, 2010, 10:46:28 PM
The candidate whom BRTD affectionately calls "the b*itch" is going to thump Brown. And don't bother arguing with me about it. The odds of my changing my mind are about as likely as Twin City exurbs with +20% GOP pvi's becoming BRTD's favorite places.

What is the definition of "thump" here? She may win a close race but not a blowout.

An 6% margin, 53-47.


Title: Re: CA: Ipsos: Brown the favorite over Whittman
Post by: Sbane on July 01, 2010, 01:17:28 AM
The candidate whom BRTD affectionately calls "the b*itch" is going to thump Brown. And don't bother arguing with me about it. The odds of my changing my mind are about as likely as Twin City exurbs with +20% GOP pvi's becoming BRTD's favorite places.

What is the definition of "thump" here? She may win a close race but not a blowout.

An 6% margin, 53-47.

I think Brown's floor is about 46 which would mean that after factoring in third party votes, Whitman should get about 49. That's about the best she can do unless Brown makes a lot of stupid gaffes (he'll make gaffes for sure but half the time that helps him). How well the two campaigns target Latino voters could be key. And right now Whitman is winning that battle.


Title: Re: CA: Ipsos: Brown the favorite over Whittman
Post by: Citizen (The) Doctor on July 02, 2010, 10:35:30 AM
Well, I'm just hoping Brown will start actively campaigning soon.  He can't rely on Whitman to self-destruct with the huge amount of money she's spending (though she's well on the way there).


Title: Re: CA: Ipsos: Brown the favorite over Whittman
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on July 05, 2010, 01:20:37 PM
Well, I'm just hoping Brown will start actively campaigning soon.  He can't rely on Whitman to self-destruct with the huge amount of money she's spending (though she's well on the way there).

I'm not sure that spending a ton of money in July will accomplish much.