Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on September 20, 2010, 07:19:55 AM



Title: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: Tender Branson on September 20, 2010, 07:19:55 AM
New Poll: New York Governor by Rasmussen on 2010-09-16 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2010/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3620100916016)

Summary: D: 54%, R: 38%, I: 2%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_york/toplines/toplines_new_york_governor_september_16_2010)



Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: Meeker on September 20, 2010, 08:10:08 AM
Post-primary Rasmussen bounceTM


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: Lief 🗽 on September 20, 2010, 08:55:27 AM
Wonder why they didn't include Lazio in the poll.


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: Oakvale on September 20, 2010, 09:16:00 AM
Angry voters!!!!!1


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: Hash on September 20, 2010, 10:17:20 AM
haha, sure Scott.


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: tpfkaw on September 20, 2010, 10:33:28 AM
Hmm . . . this might mean Gillibrand's in trouble.

Quick poll: Do people here think Ras will show Cuomo or Schumer with the larger lead?


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: CatoMinor on September 20, 2010, 10:40:55 AM
Hmm . . . this might mean Gillibrand's in trouble.

Quick poll: Do people here think Ras will show Cuomo or Schumer with the larger lead?
Schumer.

I think if you take Paladino's numbers in this poll and give 1/3 to Cuomo and 1/3 to Lazio, then it would be accurate.


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: tpfkaw on September 20, 2010, 10:43:21 AM
Nate Silver did point out that gubernatorial elections especially tend to regress towards the mean as the election gets nearer, so it could just be that.


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: SvenssonRS on September 20, 2010, 12:00:18 PM
@Democrats: Stop blaming this all on Rasmussen. I know it's a biased pollster, but I doubt any polling is going to be particularly helpful in a state like New York. A sample of 500 won't exactly reflect the 19,541,453 people who live in the state.


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on September 20, 2010, 12:27:52 PM
@Democrats: Stop blaming this all on Rasmussen. I know it's a biased pollster, but I doubt any polling is going to be particularly helpful in a state like New York. A sample of 500 won't exactly reflect the 19,541,453 people who live in the state.

::)

Please take a polling class if you are in school. By this logic all national polls should be thrown out.


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: Alcon on September 20, 2010, 12:42:58 PM
@Democrats: Stop blaming this all on Rasmussen. I know it's a biased pollster, but I doubt any polling is going to be particularly helpful in a state like New York. A sample of 500 won't exactly reflect the 19,541,453 people who live in the state.

Once you reach 500 respondents, it doesn't really matter that much if it's 10,000 or 20 million.


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: SvenssonRS on September 20, 2010, 12:50:38 PM
@Democrats: Stop blaming this all on Rasmussen. I know it's a biased pollster, but I doubt any polling is going to be particularly helpful in a state like New York. A sample of 500 won't exactly reflect the 19,541,453 people who live in the state.

::)

Please take a polling class if you are in school. By this logic all national polls should be thrown out.

Unless it's of a smaller region? Yes, those are exactly my thoughts. I'd like to remind you of Rick Lazio, btw. Ahead in the polls consistently until the primary, at which point he lost by 30%. Oh, and I'd also like to name Joe Miller. I suppose the polls were accurate there, eh?

It's called logic. I know that concept it behind you, but at least try.


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: DrScholl on September 20, 2010, 12:58:20 PM
Cuomo's in good shape here, Paladino gained a little ground, but certainly not anything significant.


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: cinyc on September 20, 2010, 01:07:28 PM
Hmm . . . this might mean Gillibrand's in trouble.

Quick poll: Do people here think Ras will show Cuomo or Schumer with the larger lead?

Schumer.  Because Cuomo is technically in a 3-way race.


Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: Eraserhead on September 20, 2010, 01:45:48 PM
This is probably the high water mark for Paladino... and it's not that high to begin with. Calm down, folks.

Also Obama is at 58% in NY according to this poll. Pretty damn high all things considered.




Title: Re: NY: Rasmussen: Paladino gaining ground against Cuomo
Post by: CatoMinor on September 20, 2010, 04:10:03 PM
Why was Lazio exluded from the poll?