Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2010 House Election Polls => Topic started by: Rowan on October 06, 2010, 08:14:28 AM



Title: VA-05: Penn Schoen Berland: Hurt(R) leads a close one
Post by: Rowan on October 06, 2010, 08:14:28 AM
VA-05

Hurt (R) 45%
Perriello (D) 44%

http://thehill.com/house-polls/thehill-anga-poll-week1/122857-district-by-district-virginia


Title: Re: VA-05: Penn Schoen Berland: Hurt(R) leads a close one
Post by: minionofmidas on October 06, 2010, 08:18:42 AM
Wtf? This is like totally different from all the other polls of this race.


Title: Re: VA-05: Penn Schoen Berland: Hurt(R) leads a close one
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 06, 2010, 08:20:29 AM
Wtf? This is like totally different from all the other polls of this race.

It's actually pretty similar to all the Dem partisan polls of the race, which have been a 1-2 point Hurt lead.


Title: Re: VA-05: Penn Schoen Berland: Hurt(R) leads a close one
Post by: Tender Branson on October 06, 2010, 08:37:48 AM
Wasn´t Penn Hillary Clinton´s pollster ?

And why does The Hill partner with a Democratic pollster ?


Title: Re: VA-05: Penn Schoen Berland: Hurt(R) leads a close one
Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on October 06, 2010, 12:45:45 PM
This pollster did work for Bloomberg when he was a Republican. They're most famous for working with Democrats though(Hillary).

There is something really wrong with Survey USA's polls in this race. They've been a huge outlier.


Title: Re: VA-05: Penn Schoen Berland: Hurt(R) leads a close one
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on October 06, 2010, 05:30:47 PM
Can we maybe merge all these Penn polls into one thread so they don't spam up the board?


Title: Re: VA-05: Penn Schoen Berland: Hurt(R) leads a close one
Post by: Rowan on October 06, 2010, 05:47:49 PM
Can we maybe merge all these Penn polls into one thread so they don't spam up the board?

I thought Sam wanted a separate thread for every public poll, which is why I did it this way.


Title: Re: VA-05: Penn Schoen Berland: Hurt(R) leads a close one
Post by: Associate Justice PiT on October 06, 2010, 09:08:10 PM
This pollster did work for Bloomberg when he was a Republican. They're most famous for working with Democrats though(Hillary).

There is something really wrong with Survey USA's polls in this race. They've been a huge outlier.

     What other polls have been disagreeing with Survey USA? Obviously internals don't count.


Title: Re: VA-05: Penn Schoen Berland: Hurt(R) leads a close one
Post by: minionofmidas on October 07, 2010, 03:27:24 AM
This is the only non-SUSA non-campaign poll of the race... but the sole released R campaign poll is also showing a competitive race.
Yeah. Figure that one out. I don't claim to be able to.


Title: Re: VA-05: Penn Schoen Berland: Hurt(R) leads a close one
Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on October 07, 2010, 01:50:38 PM
This pollster did work for Bloomberg when he was a Republican. They're most famous for working with Democrats though(Hillary).

There is something really wrong with Survey USA's polls in this race. They've been a huge outlier.

     What other polls have been disagreeing with Survey USA? Obviously internals don't count.
The Republican released poll showed it much closer than SUSA did.


Title: Re: VA-05: Penn Schoen Berland: Hurt(R) leads a close one
Post by: Associate Justice PiT on October 07, 2010, 08:13:53 PM
This pollster did work for Bloomberg when he was a Republican. They're most famous for working with Democrats though(Hillary).

There is something really wrong with Survey USA's polls in this race. They've been a huge outlier.

     What other polls have been disagreeing with Survey USA? Obviously internals don't count.
The Republican released poll showed it much closer than SUSA did.

     Which would suggest that SUSA is wrong, but it is also plausible that they showed it closer than it was in order to make a fundraising pitch. Perhaps the truth is between this & the Survey USA polls, say Hurt leading by 12% or so.