Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RI on October 22, 2010, 01:35:57 PM



Title: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: RI on October 22, 2010, 01:35:57 PM
Hickenlooper (D): 44%
Tancredo (AC): 43%
Maes (R): 9%
Other candidate: 2%
Undecided: 2%

Link (http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/Magellan-Colorado-Governor-Survey-Release-1022101.pdf)


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies (R): Tancredo within one
Post by: AmericanPatriot83 on October 22, 2010, 01:39:27 PM
AWESOME! I can't wait for the election!


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies (R): Tancredo within one
Post by: Associate Justice PiT on October 22, 2010, 01:43:34 PM
     I guess this is not an internal, eh? Let's see if this is confirmed.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies (R): Tancredo within one
Post by: RI on October 22, 2010, 01:45:53 PM
I don't know if I should input it or not. Their last one for this race wasn't.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies (R): Tancredo within one
Post by: Associate Justice PiT on October 22, 2010, 01:49:39 PM
     It says that they themselves commissioned the poll, so I guess it's alright.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies (R): Tancredo within one
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 22, 2010, 02:00:28 PM
If this is true then Colorado is a joke state.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies (R): Tancredo within one
Post by: tpfkaw on October 22, 2010, 02:18:26 PM
Tancredo must be running an incredible campaign.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies (R): Tancredo within one
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on October 22, 2010, 02:20:31 PM
I'm curious if the possibility of Tancredo being elected Governor energizes Hispanics, thus boosting Bennett.


More like Maes running a Paladino-like campaign.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies (R): Tancredo within one
Post by: tpfkaw on October 22, 2010, 02:22:42 PM

That alone does not bring Tancredo to being tied with Hickenlooper.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: SvenssonRS on October 22, 2010, 02:51:15 PM
Okay, wow, I didn't actually think Tancredo had any serious chance. Him winning would both suck and be massively hilarious at the same time.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies (R): Tancredo within one
Post by: Marokai Backbeat on October 22, 2010, 02:58:58 PM
If this is true then Colorado is a joke state.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 22, 2010, 03:02:03 PM
Hilarious, if true!

If this is true then Colorado is a joke state.

But the even bigger joke would be Hickenlooper.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Marokai Backbeat on October 22, 2010, 03:09:31 PM
Hilarious, if true!

If this is true then Colorado is a joke state.

But the even bigger joke would be Hickenlooper.

How, exactly? It's not Hick's fault if people won't see reason.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: SvenssonRS on October 22, 2010, 03:12:50 PM
Hilarious, if true!

If this is true then Colorado is a joke state.

But the even bigger joke would be Hickenlooper.

How, exactly? It's not Hick's fault if people won't see reason.

He would be, however, entirely accountable to the fact that he somehow couldn't out-campaign Tom Tancredo. In a race that he was meant to have had in the bag.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: cinyc on October 22, 2010, 03:18:14 PM
Hilarious, if true!

If this is true then Colorado is a joke state.

But the even bigger joke would be Hickenlooper.

How, exactly? It's not Hick's fault if people won't see reason.

Hickenlooper hates rural Coloradans.  He thinks they are backwards thinking rubes (http://www.nationalreview.com/battle10/250684/hickenlooper-bombshell-backwards-thinking-rural-western-areas-michael-sandoval) who are not cosmopolitan enough to not attack gays.  Typcial snooty, I-know-better-than-you contempt for the electorate from a so-called "progressive" politician.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 22, 2010, 04:02:28 PM
Hilarious, if true!

If this is true then Colorado is a joke state.

But the even bigger joke would be Hickenlooper.

How, exactly? It's not Hick's fault if people won't see reason.

He must be running a terrible campaign if this guy is even close. In fact, take out Maes and Tancredo would be up comfortably.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Lunar on October 22, 2010, 04:14:34 PM
()


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Rowan on October 22, 2010, 04:17:02 PM
If it's not an internal poll then it's fine. There's really no difference between them and say, PPP, just on the other side.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Lunar on October 22, 2010, 04:30:08 PM
If it's not an internal poll then it's fine. There's really no difference between them and say, PPP, just on the other side.

Good to know that it's a 1 point race in Illinois then!


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Rowan on October 22, 2010, 04:32:54 PM
If it's not an internal poll then it's fine. There's really no difference between them and say, PPP, just on the other side.

Good to know that it's a 1 point race in Illinois then!

It might be.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 22, 2010, 04:33:37 PM

Yeah but Maes is polling at 9% so what's your point?  ;)


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Oakvale on October 22, 2010, 04:34:36 PM
Horrible state.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: TheDeadFlagBlues on October 22, 2010, 05:00:07 PM
Magellan always shows numbers more favorable towards Republicans/conservatives.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Umengus on October 22, 2010, 05:13:51 PM
Magellan always shows numbers more favorable towards Republicans/conservatives.

In a year favorable towards republicans/conservatives, it's not a bad choice. cfr PPP in 2008.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies (R): Tancredo within one
Post by: California8429 on October 22, 2010, 05:17:20 PM

No. He's just in the press all the time from his comments, mainly ripping apart Maes. Large hunk of his support are reluctant supporters due to Maes' failures. It's just that hickenlooper really isn't popular outside of Denver and the plains especially don't want him. Our ballots have not been marked in this race alone (for candidates that is) and will probably be marked at the last possible moment.

I hate Tancredo and he has zero integrity in my mind... But I don't like Hickenlooper's lies either and the devastation he'd bring


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Vepres on October 22, 2010, 05:20:45 PM
People are voting against Democrats, not for Tancredo. Recognize the difference.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Marokai Backbeat on October 22, 2010, 05:21:46 PM
People are voting against Democrats, not for Tancredo. Recognize the difference.

That doesn't make it any less stupid.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Vepres on October 22, 2010, 06:04:16 PM
BTW, I don't know why you're all panicking, not a single poll has shown Tancredo ahead, ever.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: feeblepizza on October 22, 2010, 06:14:28 PM
AWESOME!!!!!!!! ONE POINT UNTIL VICTORY!!!!!!!!!!!


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Hash on October 22, 2010, 06:34:37 PM
Ugh. Tancredo makes Medici look like a tolerant open progressive.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: TheDeadFlagBlues on October 22, 2010, 07:02:44 PM
BTW, I don't know why you're all panicking, not a single poll has shown Tancredo ahead, ever.
And this poll comes from one of the most Republican-leaning pollsters out there.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on October 22, 2010, 08:37:34 PM
PPP tweet about their poll in the field in Colorado:
Also Colorado Gov really is starting to look pretty competitive.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: they don't love you like i love you on October 22, 2010, 09:20:57 PM
Even if Tancredo isn't really a Republican, he obviously is getting his votes from Republicans and would benefit from a GOP-leaning sample if this is a biased pollster giving such samples.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Vepres on October 22, 2010, 10:47:59 PM
BTW, I don't know why you're all panicking, not a single poll has shown Tancredo ahead, ever.
And this poll comes from one of the most Republican-leaning pollsters out there.

Indeed. Nate Silver still has an 80% chance for a Hickenlooper victory, and RCP has the Hickster up by about 6 points, which is very good this late in the cycle.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: ?????????? on October 22, 2010, 10:57:45 PM
Great news!


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Eraserhead on October 22, 2010, 11:13:03 PM
If I live in CO and I'm brown, I'm packing just to be on the safe side.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Vepres on October 22, 2010, 11:14:13 PM
If I live in CO and I'm brown, I'm packing just to be on the safe side.

Nah, some will think he's a fellow brown given his name :P

BTW, while Hickenlooper won't run any negative ads on principle, expect a flood of third party money from the left attacking Tancredo. It won't be hard to beat him down.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Lunar on October 22, 2010, 11:47:27 PM
If I live in CO and I'm brown, I'm packing just to be on the safe side.

Nah, some will think he's a fellow brown given his name :P

BTW, while Hickenlooper won't run any negative ads on principle, expect a flood of third party money from the left attacking Tancredo. It won't be hard to beat him down.

I think Colorado may have more stringent restrictions on such outside money for its statewide offices than other states


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: cinyc on October 22, 2010, 11:57:53 PM
If I live in CO and I'm brown, I'm packing just to be on the safe side.

Nah, some will think he's a fellow brown given his name :P

BTW, while Hickenlooper won't run any negative ads on principle, expect a flood of third party money from the left attacking Tancredo. It won't be hard to beat him down.

I think Colorado may have more stringent restrictions on such outside money for its statewide offices than other states

Colorado has strict personal donor limits - something like $400.  On the other hand, rich Colorado Democrats have been more than willing and able to get together in smoky back rooms and spend millions through 527s to put Democrats in power, especially in the state legislature.  Rich Colorado Republicans haven't played the game as well in recent previous cycles.  

Money will always find a way into political campaigns - which is another reason campaign finance reform is always a complete failure (even setting aside First Amendment concerns).  Instead of candidates and parties calling the shots in Colorado, rich folks in a smoky back room do.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Phony Moderate on October 23, 2010, 03:54:47 AM
Errrr....deary me.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Niemeyerite on October 23, 2010, 06:56:46 AM
Vepres, who could have imagined that you were going to vote for a democrat in the gubernatorial election in 2010?? jhahahaha


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 23, 2010, 07:02:03 AM
I think Colorado is moving in a republican direction, the senate race is definately is and so is the governor's race, I think the GOP wins both the governors race and senate races.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on October 23, 2010, 08:10:31 AM
Remember, Colorado is fast becoming a vote-by-mail state, so even if Tancredo barely pulls ahead next week, it might be too late for him.


Title: Re: CO: Magellan Strategies: Tancredo within one
Post by: tpfkaw on October 23, 2010, 09:10:23 AM
Hickenlooper might break his "no negative ads" pledge at this point.