Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2010 House Election Polls => Topic started by: JohnnyLongtorso on October 27, 2010, 07:24:08 AM



Title: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on October 27, 2010, 07:24:08 AM
http://thehill.com/house-polls/thehill-poll-week-4/125975-district-by-district

CO-03

Scott Tipton (R) - 47
John Salazar (D) - 43

FL-02

Steve Southerland (R) - 50
Allen Boyd (D) - 38

GA-08

Austin Scott (R) - 50
Jim Marshall (D) - 37

IN-09

Baron Hill (D) - 46
Todd Young (R) - 44

IA-03

Leonard Boswell (D) - 49
Brad Zaun (R) - 37

ND-AL

Earl Pomeroy (D) - 45
Rick Berg (R) - 44

PA-11

Lou Barletta (R) - 48
Paul Kanjorski (D) - 43

SC-05

Mick Mulvaney (R) - 49
John Spratt (D) - 39

SD-AL

Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D) - 45
Kristi Noem (R) - 42

TX-17

Bill Flores (R) - 52
Chet Edwards (D) - 40


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Eraserhead on October 27, 2010, 08:10:37 AM
This is going to be a disaster in the House.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Rowan on October 27, 2010, 08:41:35 AM
IA-03 surprises me.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 27, 2010, 08:42:52 AM
Eh, I won't really miss most of those people. The good guys (Boswell, Pomeroy, I guess Herseth-Sandlin) also seem to be hanging in there.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on October 27, 2010, 08:45:33 AM

Lousy GOP candidate.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on October 27, 2010, 12:10:41 PM
Eh, I won't really miss most of those people. The good guys (Boswell, Pomeroy, I guess Herseth-Sandlin) also seem to be hanging in there.

I'm glad that Boswell, Hill, and Pomeroy leading (especially Hill), but I'm really sad to see that Spratt is trailing (he's a really good Congressman and a real Democrat, despite his district).  I had been hoping that Spratt still had a chance, but (at least according to this poll) he seems to be a goner :(  I'm hoping the SC-5 result is an outlier and that Spratt narrowly wins (perhaps someone better acquainted with the district could inform me as to whether Spratt still has a chance).  Herseth-Sandlin is one of the more annoying blue-dogs and I feel rather apathetic about her fate this November (although I'd rather keep the seat than lose it, obviously).


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on October 27, 2010, 12:21:09 PM
Eh, I won't really miss most of those people. The good guys (Boswell, Pomeroy, I guess Herseth-Sandlin) also seem to be hanging in there.

I'm glad that Boswell, Hill, and Pomeroy leading (especially Hill), but I'm really sad to see that Spratt is trailing (he's a really good Congressman and a real Democrat, despite his district).  I had been hoping that Spratt still had a chance, but (at least according to this poll) he seems to be a goner :(  I'm hoping the SC-5 result is an outlier and that Spratt narrowly wins (perhaps someone better acquainted with the district could inform me as to whether Spratt still has a chance).  Herseth-Sandlin is one of the more annoying blue-dogs and I feel rather apathetic about her fate this November (although I'd rather keep the seat than lose it, obviously).
The reason Herseth-Sandlin winning is important is for her to replace Tim Johnson in the Senate. That is her purpose in life.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on October 27, 2010, 12:36:33 PM
Eh, I won't really miss most of those people. The good guys (Boswell, Pomeroy, I guess Herseth-Sandlin) also seem to be hanging in there.

I'm glad that Boswell, Hill, and Pomeroy leading (especially Hill), but I'm really sad to see that Spratt is trailing (he's a really good Congressman and a real Democrat, despite his district).  I had been hoping that Spratt still had a chance, but (at least according to this poll) he seems to be a goner :(  I'm hoping the SC-5 result is an outlier and that Spratt narrowly wins (perhaps someone better acquainted with the district could inform me as to whether Spratt still has a chance).  Herseth-Sandlin is one of the more annoying blue-dogs and I feel rather apathetic about her fate this November (although I'd rather keep the seat than lose it, obviously).
The reason Herseth-Sandlin winning is important is for her to replace Tim Johnson in the Senate. That is her purpose in life.

Fair enough


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Associate Justice PiT on October 27, 2010, 01:07:44 PM
     ND-AL & SD-AL surprise me. Those polls are showing the GOP doing worse than other recent polling of the races.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Miles on October 27, 2010, 01:09:26 PM
     ND-AL & SD-AL surprise me. Those polls are showing the GOP doing worse than other recent polling of the races.

I'm surprised Earl Pomery is ahead too.

Both Pomeroy and H-Sandlin are going against heavy GOP coattails in the Dakotas.

I'd give H-Sandlin better odds than Pomeroy.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on October 27, 2010, 01:22:50 PM
     ND-AL & SD-AL surprise me. Those polls are showing the GOP doing worse than other recent polling of the races.
The only polls I ever see of those races are Rasmussen so it's nice to get more polls of these districts.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 27, 2010, 01:23:49 PM
Eh, I won't really miss most of those people. The good guys (Boswell, Pomeroy, I guess Herseth-Sandlin) also seem to be hanging in there.

I'm glad that Boswell, Hill, and Pomeroy leading (especially Hill), but I'm really sad to see that Spratt is trailing (he's a really good Congressman and a real Democrat, despite his district).  I had been hoping that Spratt still had a chance, but (at least according to this poll) he seems to be a goner :(  I'm hoping the SC-5 result is an outlier and that Spratt narrowly wins (perhaps someone better acquainted with the district could inform me as to whether Spratt still has a chance).  Herseth-Sandlin is one of the more annoying blue-dogs and I feel rather apathetic about her fate this November (although I'd rather keep the seat than lose it, obviously).

Yeah, I didn't see Spratt's numbers. That sucks.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on October 27, 2010, 02:49:19 PM
My hope is that Spratt wins by about three votes. More likely is that he loses, obviously.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Brittain33 on October 27, 2010, 03:13:33 PM
Well, he wasn't going to stay in Washington forever, anyway.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: tpfkaw on October 27, 2010, 03:24:12 PM
2010 will be the final nail in the coffin in the very slow funeral of the (rural) Southern Democrat.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: rob in cal on October 27, 2010, 05:03:21 PM
The scary thing for Democrats about the demise of rural white southern Democrats is that those seats are so much tougher to win back.  Its one thing to lose a California 11, or a suburban Philly or outer Chicago area seat, those can be taken back in a solid Democrat year, but losing some of these southern seats is like losing forts deep in enemy territory.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: Vepres on October 27, 2010, 05:08:57 PM
The scary thing for Democrats about the demise of rural white southern Democrats is that those seats are so much tougher to win back.  Its one thing to lose a California 11, or a suburban Philly or outer Chicago area seat, those can be taken back in a solid Democrat year, but losing some of these southern seats is like losing forts deep in enemy territory.

Indeed, many won't be going Democratic again until there is another 2006.


Title: Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
Post by: timmer123 on October 29, 2010, 10:05:27 PM
Herseth Sandlin and Pomeroy will both lose.

You can cry about it later...