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Election Archive => 2010 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Torie on November 01, 2010, 10:03:05 am



Title: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Torie on November 01, 2010, 10:03:05 am
The poll is here (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/west_virginia/election_2010_west_virginia_senate_special_election).

So, I have to change my prediction on this race to Dem. Raese may still win it, but the odds are low. So assuming Rossi really wins in Washington, it appears that the GOP takeover of the Senate was stopped in the hollows of the WV hills - quite an oddity for a state that holds Obama in such low esteem.


Title: WV: Rasmussen: Manchin (D) by 4
Post by: Tender Branson on November 01, 2010, 10:04:42 am
New Poll: West Virginia Senator (Special) by Rasmussen on 2010-10-31 (http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2010/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=54120101031016)

Summary: D: 50%, R: 46%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/west_virginia/questions/questions_west_virginia_special_senate_election_october_31_2010)



Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Sam Spade on November 01, 2010, 10:06:01 am
It would be amusing if Manchin won 52-48 in this year.


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey on November 01, 2010, 10:06:48 am
The poll is here (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/west_virginia/election_2010_west_virginia_senate_special_election).

So, I have to change my prediction on this race to Dem. Raese may still win it, but the odds are low. So assuming Rossi really wins in Washington, it appears that the GOP takeover of the Senate was stopped in the hollows of the WV hills - quite an oddity for a state that holds Obama in such low esteem.

It's really Raese's fault for his hick ad controversy. He had it in the bag but fumbled it.


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on November 01, 2010, 10:08:30 am
It's really Raese's fault for his hick ad controversy. He had it in the bag but fumbled it.

To be fair, that's not so much Raese's fault so much as it is the folks who were hiring for the ad, but ... yeah.


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Meeker on November 01, 2010, 10:10:06 am
The poll is here (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/west_virginia/election_2010_west_virginia_senate_special_election).

So, I have to change my prediction on this race to Dem. Raese may still win it, but the odds are low. So assuming Rossi really wins in Washington, it appears that the GOP takeover of the Senate was stopped in the hollows of the WV hills - quite an oddity for a state that holds Obama in such low esteem.

Well, it was also stopped two months ago in the quiet state of Delaware.


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Torie on November 01, 2010, 10:40:39 am
It's really Raese's fault for his hick ad controversy. He had it in the bag but fumbled it.

To be fair, that's not so much Raese's fault so much as it is the folks who were hiring for the ad, but ... yeah.

I doubt if the hick thing had much to do with it. The mansion ads and the minimum wage thing, I think are what eroded Raese at the margins. That is what Manchin's attack ads were about. Plus Manchin went heavily blue dog.


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: mypalfish on November 01, 2010, 11:31:19 am
As usual, the GOP bungles races late in the game and makes what should have been a great night just pretty good.

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.

There are no races where the GOP candidate surprises with a win due to a late surge.  Some wave...

What a bunch of overblown bunk.


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on November 01, 2010, 11:32:53 am
As usual, the GOP bungles races late in the game and makes what should have been a great night just pretty good.

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.

There are no races where the GOP candidate surprises with a win due to a late surge.  Some wave...

What a bunch of overblown bunk.

Stop trolling.


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Torie on November 01, 2010, 11:34:31 am

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.


And there you have it!  :P  You know, the borders of the US expand beyond WV. Just a thought.


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Torie on November 01, 2010, 11:35:23 am
As usual, the GOP bungles races late in the game and makes what should have been a great night just pretty good.

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.

There are no races where the GOP candidate surprises with a win due to a late surge.  Some wave...

What a bunch of overblown bunk.

Stop trolling.

Nah, the post is almost good enough for the Comedy Goldmine actually. :)


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Sbane on November 01, 2010, 12:51:11 pm
As usual, the GOP bungles races late in the game and makes what should have been a great night just pretty good.

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.

There are no races where the GOP candidate surprises with a win due to a late surge.  Some wave...

What a bunch of overblown bunk.

The Republicans might just win a senate race in Washington and almost win against a governor with 70% approval ratings. How would that  not be a wave? Stop embarrassing yourself.

The only state that looks odd to me is Colorado. If the Republicans are winning the generic ballot by 10 points, they should be carrying Colorado regardless of candidate. That may happen in the end but it's very, very close.


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: SvenssonRS on November 01, 2010, 01:19:20 pm
As usual, the GOP bungles races late in the game and makes what should have been a great night just pretty good.

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.

There are no races where the GOP candidate surprises with a win due to a late surge.  Some wave...

What a bunch of overblown bunk.

Oh, Christ, we've got another sg. I'm going to have a headache for a long time if tomorrow night is anything less than perfect, I think...


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Fmr. Pres. Duke on November 01, 2010, 02:10:44 pm
I don't know what to make of this. Obama is so unpopular in WV so I'm having a hard time believing Manchin will win.


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 01, 2010, 02:49:53 pm
There are good reasons to remain at least a little bit wary of assuming much about this race until the results start coming through, but these numbers certainly seem reasonable.


Title: Re: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%
Post by: Sbane on November 01, 2010, 05:00:07 pm
There are good reasons to remain at least a little bit wary of assuming much about this race until the results start coming through, but these numbers certainly seem reasonable.

I still think this race is going to break one way. I think it will be towards the Democrat, but I wouldn't be surprised if Raese wins.