Talk Elections

Since I finished my "2000 Timeline" a while ago (which can be found here: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=97263.0), I figured I would give another one a shot. Here it is.


Chapter I: This Town Ain't Big Enough for the Two of Us

“I am reminding you of the American Dream. Yes, the concept that serves as a cornerstone of our great nation; the concept that compels millions of people across the globe to study in our schools, to pursue a career in our cities, and to invest in America. Do we still have the same confidence in the American Dream that we once had, though, or has it fallen by the wayside?” – Democratic nominee Lloyd Bentsen, Democratic National Convention, July 1988.

“And this has been called the American Century, because in it we were the dominant force for good in the world. We saved Europe, cured polio, we went to the moon, and lit the world with our culture. And now we are on the verge of a new century, and what country's name will it bear? I say it will be another American century.” - Vice President George Bush, Republican National Convention, August 1988.

“Vote Texan!” - Billboard outside San Antonio, September 1988

Dukakis had dropped out. With the Massachusetts Governor out of the race, Texas Senator Lloyd Bentsen was the nominee. For Bentsen, the conclusion of the primaries came as a relief. Dukakis had been a viable candidate, as had Gephardt and Hart, but Bentsen knew he was the man to take down Vice President Bush in the battle for the White House. At a speech in Austin, Texas, where his entire campaign began, Bentsen announced to his supporters, "There is no doubt that we have a long road ahead of us in the upcoming months, but we will make it to Pennsylvania Avenue. We will fight and we will win."


On the opposing side of the isle was Vice President Bush. Bush represented the success of the Reagan years and many Americans believed that Bush would continue that success if he was elected President. Bush utilized his experience and Reagan's popularity in an effort to gain support among independents.


Bush campaigned heavily on his promise that he would not implement any new taxes. He also openly supported gun rights, abortion, and many other cornerstone issues of the GOP. Bentsen, on the other hand, spoke out against the enormous debt that the country had accumulated during the Reagan years. "Taxes may not be our best friend, but neither is our national debt at this point," Bentsen explained to a crowd in Tampa. Bentsen also promised to fight the wealth gap in the country, as well. "Perhaps we're seeing the downside of Reganomics after all these years," he stated. Despite his opposition to the Republicans, though, Bentsen was still seen as a Conservative Democrat. Bentsen supported capital punishment and endorsed public school prayer. In fact, many liberals from the left-wing of the party were angered that Bentsen held a conservative stance on several issues.

As the Democratic National Convention in Atlanta approached, Bentsen was pushed to select a more liberal Vice Presidential candidate to please the upset members of the Democratic party. Bentsen eventually selected Delaware Senator Joe Biden, a man who had considered running for the Presidency earlier on in the primary season, but had decided to drop out. Biden was extremely popular among the Democrats and received thunderous applause after his acceptance speech in Atlanta. During his speech, Bentsen pleded to reduce the national debt, promote the traditional way of American life, support equal rights and civil rights, and continue to secure American's position as superpower in the world.


Polls at the end of the convention showed Bentsen and Bush in a dead-heat tie, with both candidates receiving 48%. The Republican Convention was held in the middle of August. Bush chose Indiana Senator James Danforth "Dan" Quayle as his running mate. During the convention, Bush delivered an extremely powerful speech, referred to as the "Thousand Points of Light" speech, in which Bush emphasized his conservative values. The speech was able to push Bush ahead of Bentsen in the national polls - by the end of August, Bush held 52% to Bentsen's 47%.


Two months remained until the 1988 presidential election. Just as Bentsen had emphasized, the Democrats knew they had a long road ahead of them if they were to defeat Bush.

NATIONWIDE POLL - SEPTEMBER 1, 1988
Which ticket do you support for President?
Bush/Quayle: 52.1%
Bentsen/Biden: 47.7%
Other: 0.2%

I can already tell this is gonna be good.

I agree with the last two posters. Bush/Quayle!!! :D

Chapter II: You've Been Quayled

“Nobody has ever voted for Dan Quayle and not regretted it.” Democratic VP nominee Joe Biden, September 1988

“We’ve all heard the Vice President talk about the many accomplishments of the Reagan administration, yet he seems to neglect our massive $220 million deficit that has accumulated since 1980.” – Democratic nominee Lloyd Bentsen, October 1988

“I’ve been sitting in my car for the past twenty minutes because I can’t decide which one of those gentlemen I’d like to vote for.” – woman outside a voting station in Colleyville, Texas, November 1988.

The Democrats headed into September trailing the Republican ticket by only a few points. Polls showed that Americans had favorable ratings of both Bentsen and Bush. Bush began campaignign heavily in the Industrial Midwest in states such as Ohio and Michigan, along with the Northeast, while Bentsen targeted upper Midwestern states like Minnesota and Iowa. In many Midwestern states, however, the candidates were essentially tied.


The eyes of the nation were not only on the Midwest, though, but also on Texas. Both Bentsen and Bush were from the Lone Star State and were big-time Texas political stars. Before becoming Vice President, Bush had been elected to the Texas House of Representatives in 1966 and served all the way until 1971, when he was appointed US Ambassador to the UN under President Nixon. The Bush family also had a huge history in the Texas oil business. Bentsen, on the other hand, was a Texas native and had initiated his career by working as a judge in Hidalgo County and then in the Texas House of Representatives until 1955. Following his work in Houston's financial sector, Bentsen ran for Senate in 1970 and defeated Bush to win the seat. Who would win the Lone Star State?


Both Texas utilized their VP picks during campaigning, as well. Biden and Quayle were seen as the fresh faces of the Democrats and Republicans respectively. The Bush campaign quickly discovered, however, that Quayle and gaffes went hand-in-hand. Many of Quayle's comments left Americans scratching their heads. In September, for example, Quayle remarked, "The Holocaust was an obscene period in our nation's history. I mean in this century's history. But we all lived in this century. I didn't live in this century." Comments like this forced people to speculate if Quayle was suited for Vice President and, if something happened to Bush, even President. Biden, on the other hand, came off as much more competent and well-versed.


As the first presidential debate approached, polls showed Bush slightly ahead of Bentsen. Viewers agreed that both Bentsen and Bush performed well in the first debate. Bush properly responded to Bentsen's attacks and Bentsen successfully deflected criticism by the Vice President. Viewers also saw that Bentsen was not the traditional liberal Democrat - instead, he was much more conservative than many members of his party on a whole host of issues, including capital punishment and public school prayer. In the vice presidential debate, Biden crushed an out-of-touch and flustered Quayle. Voters agreed almost 2-to-1 that Biden had outperfomed Quayle and was more prepared.

NATIONWIDE POLL
Who you do believe won the VP debate?
Biden: 60.7%
Quayle: 39.3%

There was no doubt that the Bush campaign was hindered by Quayle's performance. In the second and final presidential debate, Bentsen managed to squeak out a win over Bush by attacking him about his inability to address the federal deficit and establish a budget. Following the debates, the two candidates once again hit the road to campaign for the final few weeks before the election. Both tickets campaigned heavily in the midwest and Texas as a last chance effort to pull support to their side.


Eventually, after what had seemed like years, November 8th arrived and the 1988 presidential election was held. Americans scrambled to the polls. The only thing that Americans knew for certain is that the next President would be a Texan. Going into the night, both candidates were especially confident. Voter turn-out proved to be relatively high compared to recent elections, as well, since both parities had effectively energized their bases. In the end, Bentsen was able to steal the election away from Bush. Bentsen's southern roots had helped him win support in states like Missouri and Florida, while Bush had managed to capture a majority of the Northeast and Ohio. Furthermore, Bush's connection to successful President Reagan helped the vice president secure the Golden State. One of the largest surprises would be Texas going for Bentsen later on in the night by a razor-thin margin. Lloyd Bentsen would be the next President of the United States.

^^^^^^

Gporter, I'll explain to you why this works: Bush carried California narrowly on the coattails of Reagan's popularity. Progressive Democrats in California are turned off by Bentsen's southern roots and conservatism and feel that he is a watered-down version of Bush. There is the exact opposite effect in Florida, however, where Southern independents and Southern Democrats are drawn to the Democratic ticket because of Bentsen's more conservative record and southern background.

If everyone really has their panties in a knot over it, i'll add California to the Dems.

In 1976 Florida went D with CA going GOP as well, with a Southern moderate as a Democratic nominee. Beside, CA was really a stronghold for the GOP in the presidential elections between 1968 to 1988.

I'm reviving this old gal. Stay tuned for an update soon.

Yay!

Chapter III: The Southern Gentleman

“The world is changing. We face many challenges both abroad and here at home. We must come together, Democrats and Republicans, young and old, rich and poor, to solve the problems that confront our great nation today to ensure future prosperity and the continuation of freedom.” President Lloyd Bentsen, Inaugural Address, January 1989

“I am proud of a number of the things that we've done together while you have let me be your Speaker. I am proud of the record of the 100th Congress. Many people feel that it is the most responsive and most productive Congress in perhaps 25 years. And all of you who were here in that Congress had a part in that.” Speaker Jim Wright, Resignation Speech, May 1989

“Berlin Wall Tumbles” – London Herald Headline, November 1989

On January 20, 1989, Lloyd Millard Bentsen was inaugurated as the 41st President of the United States. In his inauguration, Bentsen expressed his goals of eliminating the federal deficit, which had tripled since 1980. "If we do not confront this problem together, as Americans, as Democrats and Republicans, our country will head down a dangerous road. We have an obligation to ourselves to fix this serious problem." Bentsen also pledged to reduce the level of poverty in the United States, which had risen dramatically during Ronald Reagan's tenure as President. On foreign policy, Bentsen explained, "There is no challenge that is too great for the United States." Early polls following the President's inauguration showed his approval rating hovering around 59%. Republicans remained bitter towards the President for stealing what they envisioned as Reagan's third term.


NATIONWIDE POLL - JANUARY 31, 1989
Do you support President Bentsen?
Yes: 59.2%
No: 30.7%
Unsure: 10.1%

Luckily for President Bentsen, the Democrats had control of both the House and the Senate. Republicans viewed this as especially dangerous, knowing that Bentsen and Congressional Democrats planned to raise taxes in order to curb the deficit. Following a meeting with Speaker of the House Jim Wright in the beginning of February 1989, President Bentsen said of the Speaker, "I think we're going to get along just fine." Bentsen and Congressional Democrats began working on deficit reduction legislation almost immediately following the President's inauguration. In an interview on Larry King Live, the President highlighted his goal, explaining "I hope that this country's deficit will be erased by the time I leave office, whether that's in four years or in eight years." Unfortunately, the President and Congressional Democrats ran into problems almost immediately. Bentsen, who was a much more Conservative Democrat than many of the Democrats in the House and Senate, pushed for a low-to-moderate tax increase, while Congressional Democrats pushed for drastic measures on raising taxes. Bentsen promised Americans that deficit-reduction legislation would be signed by April.

Republicans wasted no time in criticizing the President for not uniting with his party. Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole, who would remain an outspoken critic of Bentsen during his presidency, attacked Bentsen for an inability to unite the Democrats. Liberal Democrats were also quite angered with the President. Nonetheless, President Bentsen wouldn't budge. "There is no need for excessive tax increases. This deficit isn't going to disappear tomorrow. But, if we chip away at it through low tax increases, American families can continue to prosper and reducing the deficit will not come at the risk of Americans' success." Bentsen continued to push for a low tax increase. While very liberal Democrats believed that a low tax increase would not be enough, the remaining Democrats fully endorsed the idea. Furthermore, even a few liberal Republicans said they saw the idea as a great compromise. By mid-March, support for low tax increases overwhelmed opposition. The Federal Deficit Reduction Act of 1989, composed of low tax increases, was passed and signed by the President. Bentsen had successfully negotiated with Democrats and a few liberal Republicans to pass his first piece of monumental legislation.

NATIONWIDE POLL - MARCH 23, 1989
Do you support the Federal Deficit Reduction Act of 1989?
Yes: 60.4%
No: 38.3%
Unsure: 1.3%


Bentsen’s victory with the passage of the Federal Deficit Reduction Act of 1989 signaled the conclusion of the President’s honeymoon period as spring came to a close. Bentsen saw himself as fortunate given the fact that the Democrats held majorities in both the Senate and House. This fortune quickly wore off, however, as May rolled around. Halfway through May, media rumors concerning John Mack, an aide of Speaker Jim Wright, began circulating. Several sources confirmed that Mack had violently attacked a woman named Pamela Small sixteen years earlier. Although the police had arrested Mack, the aide’s correspondence with Wright led to a mere 27-month parole sentence instead of fifteen years behind bars. The controversy not only tainted Speaker Wright, but also the Democratically-controlled House. Republicans wasted no time in calling for Wright’s resignation. More extreme members of the GOP attempted to link Wright’s corruption to the White House. In order to preserve his credibility with the American people and avoid unnecessary media scrutiny, Bentsen distanced himself from the Speaker. Bentsen would later admit in his book, No Hesitation, that he had secretly met with the Speaker on numerous occasions and eventually asked him to step down. On June 6, 1989, Speaker Wright resigned from his duties as Speaker. Tom Foley (D-WA) was inaugurated as the new Speaker of the House.


Extending beyond domestic policy, the remainder of 1989 was centered on foreign policy. Beginning in September of 1989, mass protests broke out in East Berlin. By October, the protests grew in size as more and more people demanded– just as President Reagan had called for two years prior – the demolition of the Berlin Wall. In November 1989, deconstruction began on the Berlin Wall as citizens on both sides of the wall gathered with sledgehammers and other tools. The fall of the Berlin Wall marked yet another sign that tensions between the West and East were easing. President Bentsen took this opportunity to meet with Gorbachev in Malta in late November. While no agreements were signed, the meeting between Bentsen and Gorbachev was seen as a landmark in US-Soviet relations. Indeed the meeting proved to be one of the first stepping stones of the post-Cold War transition. “It has become evident that we are entering a new era. Not an era defined with weapons and fear, but with diplomacy and hope for a better world,” Bentsen remarked upon returning back to the White House. Democrats rallied behind Bentsen for the President’s initiative to meet with Gorbachev. At the conclusion of November, Bentsen maintain an approval rating in the mid 50s.


NATIONWIDE POLL – NOVEMBER 29, 1989
Do you support President Bentsen?
Yes: 54.2%
No: 45.5%
Unsure: 0.3%

1989 concluded with Operation Just Cause, the American invasion of Panama. Citing the defense of human rights in Panama, as well as the preservation of democracy, President Bentsen authorized a military invasion on December 19, 1989. The operation marked one of the first U.S. military operation unrelated to the Cold War. U.S. forces quickly captured dictator Manuel Noriega, although the invasion would continue until January 1990.

So far, so good.

Chapter IV: A Conservative Coalition

“We answer to these events not out of some misplaced sense of self-righteousness, as some have suggested, but because we, as Americans, have the obligation to protect freedom in all corners of the world.” – President Lloyd Bentsen on the Gulf War, Aug. 1990

“As far as I’m concerned, Ronald Reagan never left the White House.” – Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA), October 1990.

“We are not intimidated by the size of the armies, or the types of hardware the U.S. has brought.” – Saddam Hussein, November 1990.

By mid-January, the United States had accomplished its goals in Panama and Operation Just Cause concluded. The first military operation since the conclusion of the Cold War was seen in a mostly positive light, with roughly 80% of Americans approving.


Beginning in 1990, however, the Bentsen administration faced numerous challenges. The Democratic Party remained in turmoil, with the left wing of the party claiming that Bentsen was not liberal enough. The President’s push for a lower tax rate and his support of more conservative positions, such as school prayer and capital punishment, caused a rift between the left wing of the Democratic Party and more mainstream Democrats. Furthermore, with the 1990 midterms coming up in a few months, some Democratic candidates adopted more conservative positions – branding themselves as “Bentsen Democrats” – in order to become more competitive in certain Southern districts.

Two events during 1990 ultimately left the left wing of the Democratic Party feeling disenfranchised from the President: a declining economy and the Gulf War. To begin with, the economy had been on a slow decline since the end of 1989. By mid 1990, though, there were no signs of economic improvement. The Republicans cited the Federal Deficit Reduction Act of 1989’s tax increase as the problem, explaining that it was over taxing families across the nation. During a Larry King Live interview, Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole explained, “The reason that this country’s economy is not seeing any improvement is because the government has bogged down low and middle class families with these ridiculous tax rates under the Federal Deficit Act of 1989.” Other Republican leaders agreed with Dole’s statement. Senator Thad Cochran (R-MS) even cited the tax increase as the source of the economic problem.


The criticism over the economy did not only come from Republicans, though. A few Liberal Democrats took the exact opposite position from their Republican colleagues, arguing that the Federal Deficit Reduction Act did not raise taxes enough. According to these few politicians, President Bentsen had no done enough to prevent an economic decline. This coalition of Liberal Democrats, mostly made up of House members from the Northeast, were at odds with other members of the Democratic Party, however, who claimed that the economic decline was natural. Senator Chuck Robb (D-VA) dismissed Democratic criticism of the President as “a bunch of nonsense.” Many Democrats distanced themselves from the Liberal Democrat coalition in an effort Despite criticism from both isles, however, President Bentsen retained a 60% approval rating among independents by May 1990. His approval rating, however, had declined since the beginning of 1990 from 51% to 48%. In fact, for the first term since his inauguration, the President’s disapproval ratings were higher than his approval ratings.


NATIONWIDE POLL – MAY 3 1990
Do you support President Bentsen?
Yes: 48.6%
No: 50.6%
Unsure: 0.8%

Republicans continued their attacks on Bentsen as the summer of 1990 began. On August 2, 1990, Iraqi forces, under the orders of Saddam Hussein, invaded Kuwait. The U.N. Security Council immediately issued sanctions upon Iraq. In response, President Bentsen deployed American troops into Saudi Arabia in preparation to intervene against Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait. During a press conference, Bentsen explained his decision to deploy troops to the region in order to halt the Iraqi invasion and restore peace to the region. On the international stage, the United States developed a coalition of nations. When diplomatic efforts proved to be ineffective, the United States led the coalition in battle against Iraqi troops. Saddam initially offered a complete withdrawal from Kuwait if the United States and other Western nations met a list of outrageous demands, but the Bentsen administration quickly dismissed such a possibility. By the end of August, the United States was still battling Iraqi forces. The conflict was quickly dubbed the Gulf War. Presiding over a war, Bentsen initially saw his approval ratings sky-rocket to 85%.


NATIONWIDE POLL – AUG 29 1990
Do you support President Bentsen?
Yes: 85.4%
No: 14.5%
Unsure: 0.1%

The President’s decision to intervene in Iraq generally hushed Republican opposition during August and the first few weeks of autumn. The Gulf War enraged the outspoken Liberal Democrats, however, who were already quite dissatisfied with Bentsen’s presidency. Several Liberal Democrats compared him to Ronald Reagan and cited that the President was not executing his duties as he promised in the campaign. In his autobiography, No Hesitation, Bentsen would later remark in 1998, “Contrary to anything they said, the extreme left was nothing more than a whining child during my presidency.” Outspoken anti-war critics highlighted that the Gulf War directly contradicted Bentsen’s efforts to curve the deficit, as well.

Although Bentsen dismissed the far left’s complaints, he knew that he could not abandon them. In October 1990, SCOTUS Justice Brennan announced his intention to retire. White House advisors suggested that Bentsen nominated a more conventionally liberal justice in order to please the far left, who were already expressing extreme discontent over the economic climate and the Gulf War. Bentsen nominated Dolores Sloviter from the Third Circuit Court of Appeals. If the Senate confirmed her, she would be the second woman on the Court and the sixth Jewish justice. In late October, the Senate overwhelmingly confirmed Sloviter.


By November, the economy was still shaky and the Gulf War continued in the Middle East. The 1990 midterm elections quickly approached. The Democrats aimed to hold onto their 55 seats in the Senate and maintain the House, while the Republicans hoped to make gains in both. Political analysts predicted that the ideological split among Democrats would lead to Republican pickups in several important states. Several Democrats, dubbing themselves “Bentsen Democrats,” adopted a more conservative platform in order to distance themselves from the far left. In the end, The Republicans gained two seats in the Senate bringing the composition of the Senate to 54 Democrats and 46 Republicans. In the House, the Democrats gain a mere three seats, bringing their total to 263.

1990 mid-term results:
Senate -2, +2: 54, 46
House: +3, -3: 263, 172

Notable results:
New Jersey: Christine Todd Whitman (R) defeats Senator Bill Bradley (D)
Minnesota: Senator Rudy Boschwitz (R) narrowly wins re-election over Paul Wellstone (D)
Florida: Governor Bob Martinez (R) is outsted by Lawton Chiles (D), a self-proclaimed “Bentsen Democrat.”

Good job. :) Im wondering who is in Lloyd's cabinet. Specifically, State, Justice, Treasury, & Defense, & also if any prominent DLCers are in it.

Thanks!

Upper Cabinet of President Lloyd Bentsen
President: Lloyd M. Bentsen
Vice President: Joe R. Biden
Sec of State: Warren M. Christopher
Sec of Treasury: Paul A. Vocker
Sec of Defense: Lee H. Hamilton
Attorney General: Bruce E. Babbitt

Another update coming soon.

Chapter V: The New Opposition

“We need to adopt a strategy, Mr. President, that honors our coalition, reduces casualties, and ultimately restores sovereignty to the Iraqi people.” Secretary of Defense Lee Hamilton, February 1991.

“I do not foresee any obstacles in the President’s path to re-election.” – Vice President Joe Biden, June 1991.

“Restore American values. Vote Robertson.” – Sign outside Fort Dodge, Iowa, July 1991

Beginning in the first few months of 1991, the Gulf War began to wind down as Coalition forces entered Iraq and combated Iraqi troops. As the Coalition forces pushed onward, numerous uprisings occurred across the nation. February arrived and the Bentsen administration faced the question of what to do with Saddam. Advisors in the administration initially pushed for Bentsen to allow U.S. forces to remove the dictator before more harm was done. Others, however, including Secretary of Defense Lee Hamilton, advocated for a strategy that allowed the Iraqi people to overthrow Saddam. Pursuant to this strategy, the United States would depart from Iraq and return sovereignty to the Iraqi people. Furthermore, the potential for American casualties would be eliminated, as would the potential for the U.S. to become embroiled in a Vietnam-like situation in Baghdad. Bentsen, who had entered the Senate during the height of the anti-Vietnam era, wanted to avoid another Vietnam-like conflict at all costs. By early February, the administration announced that U.S. forces would depart from Iraq following the completion of the mission.


Republicans seized this opportunity to cite Bentsen as weak for failing to capture Saddam and install a new government. “The President’s logic is flawed – a lack of action will only result in the return of our brave men and women to Iraqi soil,” explained House Minority Leader Bob Michel. President Bentsen’s decision thus gave the Republicans the opportunity to portray the policy as weak. At the end of the day, though, it was difficult to argue in favor of a conflict that could parallel Vietnam. President Bentsen saw his approval ratings hover at 52%.

NATIONWIDE POLL – MARCH 15 1991
Do you support President Bentsen?
Yes: 52.4%
No: 47.6%
Unsure: 0.1%

By April 1991, the deficit had been reduced to around $170 million. The economy, however, was still in rough shape and there were no signs of improvement. The new 102nd Congress, which had passed a moderate gun control bill earlier on in the year, made more of an effort to the address the declining economy than the 101st Congress, yet Democrats and Republicans were remained divided on how to approach the declining economy. The American public was quickly growing frustrated and President Bentsen’s approval ratings fell below 50% by May 1991.

With the Republican primaries only months away, speculation began about who would throw their hat into the ring. Former Republican presidential nominee and vice president George H.W. Bush announced that he had no intention of seeking the office. In June, former Vice Presidential nominee Dan Quayle announced his bid for the presidency. Citing a declining economy, Quayle explained that a Quayle presidency would be better than a Bentsen presidency. Quayle immediately started campaigning in Iowa.


Many Americans still viewed Quayle, however, as the clumsy and not-too-bright vice presidential nominee from a few years earlier.  Quayle’s decision to throw his hat in the ring led other Republicans, who had formerly dismissed the idea of running, to rethink their plans. In late June, Baptist minister Pat Robertson announced his intention to run in Sioux City, Iowa. Robertson, portraying himself as the true conservative candidate, immediately won the hearts and minds of the Conservative right. Former Governor of Tennessee Lamar Alexander also announced his intention to seek the presidency. In early July, New Mexico Senator Pete Domenici also declared that he was running. Early July polls showed Robertson in the lead in Iowa, but Quayle in the lead nationally. Nonetheless, summer had only begun. There was plenty of time for other candidates to get in the race.


IOWA POLL – JULY 10 1991
Which candidate do you support for the GOP nomination?
Robertson: 24.4%
Quayle: 20.6%
Alexander: 12.5%
Domenici: 9.0%
Unsure: 33.5%

NATIONWIDE POLL – JULY 10 1991
Which candidate do you support for the GOP nomination?
Quayle: 25.9%
Robertson: 21.0%
Domenici: 13.4%
Alexander: 11.1%
Unsure: 28.6%

so far very good.

I hope Quayle wins the primaries, just so I can hear Bensten sledge him again.

Thank you for all the great comments and support!

Chapter VI: The Rising Tide

“There is no doubt that American families today are facing tough economic times.” – President Lloyd Bentsen, August 1991.

“Load up the guns and bring your friends, it’s fun to lose and to pretend.” – Nirvana’s Smells Like Teen Spirit, September 1991.

“Unemployment Rate Hits 7%”- The New York Times, October 1991.

Although the GOP field for the 1992 nomination was quickly becoming crowded and developing a stronger message, the Bentsen administration remained focused on the economy. In fact, re-election was not even on the President’s mind; he knew that if the economy continued to falter, or even got worse, any chance of re-election would be greatly reduced. The Republicans, on the other hand, continued to slam the President over the nation’s poor economic status. Polls showed that the economy was the primary concern of American voters across the country. The Republicans aimed to capitalize on the economic conditions. At one of his first rallies in Iowa, for example, New Mexico Senator Pete Domenici slammed Bentsen: “Our President is a great man, but quite frankly he’s in way over his head. We need a President who can turn this economy around.” While the majority of the Republican candidates focused on the economy, minister Pat Robertson cited an erosion of American values as the centerpiece of his campaign. Although the majority of American voters explained that the declining economy was their chief concern, Robertson’s message resonated strongly with voters in Iowa.


Nationally, Quayle still maintained a lead over the other Republican candidates. By late July, Quayle still maintained a dominating lead, with Robertson in second place. Polls showed that a Bentsen – Quayle matchup, however, would result in a strong Bentsen victory, with the President carrying 51% support to Quayle’s 38%. The reality was that, despite his national lead, the thought of a President Quayle scared everyone. Democrats mocked the idea of Quayle as the Republican nominee, while Republicans crossed their fingers in hopes of a more viable candidate.

NATIONWIDE POLL – JULY 27 1991
Which candidate would you support in the 1992 election?
President Lloyd Bentsen: 51.0%
Senator Dan Quayle: 38.6%
Unsure: 10.4%

The search for the anti-Quayle candidate began. Most Republicans refused to jump in the race, however, and privately admitted they would just endorse another candidate. Beginning in August, Quayle’s lead began to slip as the other candidates picked up more support and media attention. Nonetheless, Quayle was a familiar politician, which distinguished him from some of his competitors, such as Lamar Alexander and Pete Domenici. In a surprising move, though, Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole announced his intention to seek the presidency on August 12th. “I have seen first hand how this great nation lacks the leadership that is needed to get us back on track. I have stood up to President Bentsen for the past two years. America, I am your man, which is why I am hereby announcing that I will be running for President,” stated Dole during his announcement speech. Dole’s entry into the Republican primaries greatly shifted the balance of support. Polls released in late August showed that Dole was essentially tied with Quayle nationally and in second place in Iowa.


IOWA POLL – AUGUST 23 1991
Which candidate do you support for the GOP nomination?
Robertson: 30.1%
Dole: 27.2%
Quayle: 23.7%
Alexander: 9.1%
Domenici: 7.9%
Unsure: 2.0%

NATIONWIDE POLL – AUGUST 23 1991
Which candidate do you support for the GOP nomination?
Quayle: 29.3%
Dole: 28.8%
Robertson: 23.5%
Domenici: 8.3%
Alexander: 6.6%
Unsure: 2.5%

Dole was quickly proving to be to the anti-Quayle. As a veteran, senior politician, and experienced legislator, Dole brought a much more appealing background to the table than many of the other candidates. The other candidates, however, bashed Dole for being a Washington insider. “Is there really a difference between Mr. Dole and our President? Both men are Washington insiders who have done nothing but contributed to this great nation’s decline,” commented Pat Robertson at a rally in Des Moines. Polling in September continued to show Dole, Robertson, and Quayle with the majority of support. Lamar Alexander decided to focus on New Hampshire instead of Iowa in hopes of pulling off an upset victory in the Granite State.

NEW HAMPSHIRE POLL – OCTOBER 15 1991
Which candidate do you support for the GOP nomination?
Quayle: 27.9%
Dole: 23.1%
Alexander: 22.4%
Robertson: 13.5%
Domenici: 6.9%
Unsure: 6.2%


President Bentsen remained focused on the economy. With unemployment rising and the economy still faltering, however, the Republican primaries received more attention. The Iowa Caucus was quickly approaching, yet the Republican field was still in chaos and bitterly divided.    

I'm rooting for Dole. War hero, experienced legislator, and a "cloth coat" Republican background.

Chapter VII: Can’t You Hear Me Knocking?

“With all due respect, Senator, if anyone understands the American Dream, it is I.” – Justice Joseph Hatchett, October 1991.

“I do not plan on endorsing until after the primaries.” - former Vice President George H.W. Bush, November 1991.

“I am certainly pleased that 1991 is over.” – Secretary of the Treasury Paul Vocker, January 1992.

As 1991 began to wind down, President Bentsen was forced to focus on the economy in wake of growing unemployment. The economy still had yet to rebound. It appeared that the growth and prosperity of the mid and late 1980s had ended. The White House needed to turn the economy around or else re-election would be tough. After much compromise, the 102nd Congress drafted a bill in October 1991 that would provide additional benefits to unemployed Americans. Despite such measures to turn the economy around, Bentsen’s approval rating held stead at 43%.


NATIONWIDE POLL – OCTOBER 2 1991
Do you support President Bentsen?
Yes: 43.5%
No: 56.4%
Unsure: 0.1%

In mid October, Supreme Court Justice Thurgood Marshall, the Supreme Court’s first African-American justice, announced his intention to retire. The media immediately began speculating about Marshall’s replacement. The President interviewed more than a dozen candidates for the position, but knew his preference almost immediately. On October 18th, President Bentsen announced his nominee: Justice Joseph W. Hatchett of the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals. Years later in his autobiography, The New Court, Hatchett would write: “For as long as I live, I shall never forget those final few moments of my interview with President Bentsen. The President, with a somber look on his face, quietly remarked, ‘Joe, if you want this, it’s yours.’” Democrats unanimously praised the selection, but Republicans were hesitant to endorse. Hatchett, who had been appointed by Carter, was virtually unknown outside the Fifth Circuit. The 101st Congress had easily confirmed Sloviter, but Hatchett would face a tougher process in the 102nd Congress. Ultimately, the Senate would confirm Hatchett, with a vote of 57 – 43. Although four Republicans joined the Democrats in voting in favor of Hatchett, the vote would fall on party lines.


On the campaign trail, the Republican candidates continued to blame the President for a faltering economy and high unemployment. “We need to get America back on the right track,” Dan Quayle remarked at a rally in Manchester, New Hampshire. By December, Quayle and Dole were virtually tied for the lead nationally. Lamar Alexander continued to focus entirely on New Hampshire, in hopes that he could pull off a win in order to throw off the other candidates. In Iowa, polls showed a dead heat between Quayle, Dole, and Robertson. As far as any political analyst was concerned in late December 1991, any prediction was valid. The primary schedule itself began with the Iowa caucus, followed by the New Hampshire primary, the Delaware primary, the Louisiana Caucus, and then the Arizona primary. These first five states would determine the rest of the primary season.

NATIONWIDE POLL – DECEMBER 29 1991
Which candidate do you support for the GOP nomination?
Dole: 28.9%
Quayle: 28.0%
Robertson: 23.3%
Alexander: 13.2%
Domenici: 6.4%
Unsure: 0.3%

As 1991 and 1992 began, all eyes were fixated on Iowa in anticipation of the Republican primaries. On January 15th, the Iowa caucus was held. Voters rushed to the polls to vote for their preferred candidate. Political analysts predicted a win for small win for Robertson over both Dole and Quayle. For much of the night, Robertson held the lead. In an upset, however, Quayle seized first place, with Robertson coming in second and Dole coming in third. Robertson, aiming to pull off a large victory in the Louisiana caucus and one other state, vowed to his supporters that he would stay in. The Dole campaign, which suffered a major blow by placing third behind both Quayle and Robertson, also vowed to stay in. New Mexico Governor Pete Domenici, who came in fourth ahead of Lamar Alexander, bowed out: “Thank you for your support. We had a great run, but I have decided to hereby suspend my campaign,” Domenici announced in Des Moines. Finally, Alexander remained in the race, despite his dead-last finish, to see how he performed in New Hampshire.


IOWA CAUCUS RESULTS
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 29.1%
Robertson: 27.8%
Dole: 26.7%
Domenici: 9.6%
Alexander: 4.8%

Greeting a crowd of supporters in Iowa, Quayle emphasized how his belief that he was the true conservative in the race. “I am in it to win. We are in it to win. Together, we will restore greatness to this country,” Quayle remarked during his victory speech. While Quayle focused on carrying his momentum into New Hampshire, the Dole campaign was determined to come back from the defeat in Iowa. Alexander, on the other hand, needed a strong performance if he wished to stay in the race. The New Hampshire primary proved to save the Dole campaign. Dole emerged victorious with 32% of the vote, with Quayle coming in second at 28%. Robertson finished a distant fourth, but vowed to remain in the race. Alexander’s campaign, on the other hand, did not have the momentum or the resources to continue. In Concord, New Hampshire, Alexander announced he would be suspending the campaign. With only three candidates left, the nation turned its eyes to the Delaware primary.


NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY RESULTS
Winner: Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 32.2%
Quayle: 28.5%
Alexander: 25.1%
Robertson: 14.2%

In 1988 Dole won Ipwa as the rural candidate. He did poorly in New Hampshire because of his refusal to sign a no tax raise pledge. Has Dole, four years later, agreed to sign it?

In most instances, the Republican electorate is divided on whether Quayle is a good choice or not. Quayle is familiar and not a Washington insider, like Dole. Much of Dole's support comes from a refusal to support Quayle or Robertson. Republicans who were unwilling to support Dole in 1988 are thus flocking to Dole out of fear that Quayle could win the nomination.

How/why did people like Pat Robertson again?  I'm seriously dumbfounded.

Hope to see this continue

Chapter VIII: For the Record

“There is only one man in this race who has the experience to know how Washington works and how to get this country back on track.” – Senator Bob Dole, February 1992.

“President Bentsen is a great ally and a great friend.” – Prime Minister John Major, February 1992.

“It’s Louisiana or bust.” – Staffer at Pat Robertson’s campaign headquarters, February 1992.

With the Republican Primary now down to only three men, the focus shifted to the upcoming contests in Delaware, Louisiana, and Arizona. The Dole campaign hoped that its win in New Hampshire could propel the Kansas senator to victory in Delaware. Early polls showed a virtual tie between Quayle and Dole, with Robertson trailing in a distant third. Dole’s victory in New Hampshire also proved to many undecided Republicans across the country that Dole had indeed proved himself as the anti-Quayle candidate, even for those candidates who had supported Bush over Dole four years earlier. In the national polls before the Delaware Primary, Dole began to solidify his lead over Quayle.


NATIONWIDE POLL – FEBRUARY 1 1992
Which candidate do you support for the GOP nomination?
Dole: 44.2%
Quayle: 37.1%
Robertson: 17.7%
Unsure:  1.0%

Meanwhile, President Bentsen prepared to enter re-election mode as February began. In the White House, the President and his staff knew that, at this point, re-election was going to be an uphill battle. Bentsen’s approval rating held firm at 45%, but the Republican primary seemed to be pulling away his support from independents. Unemployment continued to rise, reaching 7.2% by mid-February. In his autobiography, No Hesitation, years later, Bentsen would later remark that early 1992 was the lowest point of his presidency. The support that he had received from the Gulf War had essentially diminished. In an effort to curb the negative stigma of the economy, political advisors to the President urged him to focus on foreign affairs – no doubt, an area of success for him. Beginning in early February, Bentsen would travel to Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Ireland. In particular, Bentsen would strengthen his relationship with John Major during this trip. Democrats utilized Bentsen’s visit to Europe to portray the President as a champion of foreign affairs, while Republicans criticized him as out of touch with Americans.


Heading into Delaware, analysts widely agreed that Robertson had no chance at winning the small state and its delegates. Instead, Delaware would prove to be a battleground for the Quayle and Dole campaigns to determine who could gain the most momentum. At the end of the night, Quayle squeaked by Dole for the victory. Greeting a crowd of supporters in Wilmington, Quayle said, “We need a fresh face in the White House – someone who is going to bring in new ideas and not recycle the broken policies of the past. President Bentsen is out of touch. As Americans at home suffer from an ill economy, the President has decided that the best way to answer is to visit Europe.” The Dole campaign did not seem phased by the loss. In fact, Quayle’s win only further fueled anti-Quayle feelings among undecided GOP voters. In Dover, Dole assured his supporters that the race was far from over.

DELAWARE PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 45.9%
Dole: 42.2%
Robertson: 11.9%

The Robertson campaign, on the other hand, seemed to be on its final leg. Robertson poured all of his resources into winning the Louisiana caucus. All analysts agreed that a Robertson loss in Louisiana would result in the death of the pastor’s campaign. Despite an initially strong showing in Iowa polls, Robertson had failed to win any contest so far. Initial polls of Louisiana showed strong support for Robertson, but Quayle’s win in Delaware boosted his support as well. The Dole campaign also poured heavy resources into the state, hoping for an upset victory. At a campaign stop in New Orleans, Dole commented, “Republicans need a candidate with political experience that knows how to maneuver through Washington. I am that candidate.” In the end, Louisiana proved to be possibly the biggest upset of the GOP primary season. Dole managed to deliver a crippling blow to both the Robertson and Quayle campaigns by narrowly achieving victory. Dole was ecstatic with the victory, saying, “We are moving closer and closer towards the White House. Thank you, Louisiana, for voting for the experienced man in the race!” With his campaign virtually bankrupt and no victory, Robertson decided to bow out. “It is time for me to go,” said Robertson. “But, please, let us all continue our fight to restore America.”

LOUISIANA CAUCUS RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 35.1%
Robertson: 34.9%
Quayle: 29.0%


With Robertson out, the GOP primary was now a two man race between Dole and Quayle. Unfortunately, the vigorous contest schedule left little time for a break for either of the candidates following the Louisiana Caucus. Less than a week later, the Arizona Primary was held. Dole easily won the contest by 8%. The victory further solidified Dole’s lead over Quayle nationally and gave him even more momentum.

ARIZONA PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 54.0%
Quayle: 46.0%



Dole’s victories in Louisiana and Arizona pushed him to the front of race. Quayle was confident he could make a come back, however. As the next set of contests approach, analysts wondered if Quayle could possible make a comeback.

Yeah, Dole's gonna win. Not sure about the general. What's going on with Ron Paul & Ross Perot? In '92, Paul was considering a GOP/Indy bid but decided against it to support Buchanan.

Thanks for the comments - they really keep this thing going.

Ron Paul briefly considered running for the GOP nomination in 1992, but decided against the idea. Although he has not announced any further plans, some political analysts believe that he will throw his hat in the ring for the Libertarian nomination once again, as he did in 1988.

As for Ross Perot, rumors have developed in the first few months of 1992 that the Texas businessman is interested in running for president as an independent.

[digs through drawer]

"Don't vote for more of the same; remember where it got us last time?"

()

()

Whoops, 20 years too early for that little diddy, let's see what else we got...

()

Nope.
()

You sir, sicken me.  :P  Jesse V in 93.

Chapter IX: A Force to be Reckoned With

“Crime and Unemployment: The Modern Tale of New York City” – Time Magazine, Feb. 1992

“Who the hell is Ross Perot?” Dole campaign staffer, March 1992

“Three seems like a crowd, wouldn’t you say?” President Lloyd Bentsen, March 1992

With his victory in Arizona, Dole had successfully solidified himself as the frontrunner of the Republican primaries. During a campaign rally in Charleston, Dole advocated a message of “Experienced Conservatism,” which would become the centerpiece of his campaign in the upcoming weeks. To counter Dole’s message, Quayle unraveled a new slogan: “Fresh Conservatism.” The two campaigns were thus defined. With four contests down, Quayle and Dole both headed to South Carolina. Polls in South Carolina showed Dole leading by two points. South Dakota would follow the Palmetto State, with Wyoming coming next.

SOUTH CAROLINA PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole:  52.8%
Quayle: 47.2%


Dole’s hot streak continued. There was little time for celebration, though, as the two candidates headed to South Dakota. Unlike Arizona and South Carolina, though, the latest poll in South Dakota showed a dead heat between Quayle and Dole. The Quayle campaign had heavily invested in South Dakota, hoping to halt Dole’s momentum. At a rally in Rapid City, Quayle criticized both President Bentsen and his Republican opponent: “I look at President Bentsen and Senator Dole and see two great men, but two men who are out of touch. This great country needs a leader who understands the tough times we face and can develop a modern, not outdated, solution to the problem.” The Dole camp, although not critical of Quayle, remained focused on attacking Bentsen, as well.

SOUTH DAKOTA PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 50.2%
Dole: 49.8%

After a much longer night than any analysts had predicted, Quayle emerged victorious with a 0.4% of the lead. On stage at a manufacturing plant outside of Sioux Falls, Quayle greeted a crowd of supporters and thanked them. Privately, however, the Quayle campaign was far from happy with the victory. The campaign’s investment proved to be of little use against Dole. Quayle had barely defeated Dole in a state with a low delegate count. Furthermore, there was no evidence that Quayle had indeed halted Dole’s momentum.


Back in the White House, President Bentsen found himself gearing up for reelection. His campaign team had already assembled and, against the President’s wishes, decided that Washington, D.C. would serve as the campaign headquarters. Bentsen had pushed for a campaign headquarters in Texas, but his advisors had emphasized that such a move in the midst of a dreadful economy would only reinforce the Republican’s claims that Bentsen was out of touch. His approval rating remained just under 50%, which was higher than it had been in months. Despite this good news, though, the economy was still in bad shape.

NATIONWIDE POLL – FEB 27 1992
Do you support President Bentsen?
Yes: 48.7%
No: 47.9%
Unsure: 3.4%

In Wyoming, both Quayle and Dole found themselves traveling across state to win over last minute voters. The Quayle campaign was dealt a heavy set back, though, when House Minority Whip Dick Cheney endorsed Dole – a move Cheney timed perfectly. At a rally in Cheyenne, Cheney introduced Dole as “the only man who can unseat President Bentsen this November.” While the endorsement itself was no surprise, the timing proved to be fatal to Quayle’s chances in Wyoming. When the caucus rolled around, Quayle didn’t stand a chance.


WYOMING CAUCUS RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 54.3%
Quayle: 45.7%

Amidst the Dole campaign’s celebration, though, something remarkable happened. Texas businessman Ross Perot announced on television his intention to run as an independent candidate if he could capture enough support to get his name on the ballot in all fifty states.  The media immediately shifted all focus to Perot. The Texas billionaire explained his belief that President Bentsen had failed to take enough action to properly balance the federal budget. He also explained that his campaign would focus on gun-control policies, an expansion of the War on Drugs, and stricter trade agreements.


Both the Democrats and the Republicans worried that Perot could significantly hurt their chances in November. Initial polls at the beginning of March showed good news for the Republicans, though: Perot seemed to take away more votes from President Bentsen than from either Dole or Quayle. Political analysts attributed the results to a disenfranchisement of left-wing liberals and democrat-leaning independents towards President Bentsen, whom, in their eyes, had not lived up to expectations. Most independents, for now, would remain with Bentsen or Dole.

NATIONWIDE POLL – MARCH 3 1992
Which candidate would you support in the 1992 presidential election?
Generic Republican (Senator Bob Dole/Senator Dan Quayle): 43.3%
President Lloyd Bentsen: 36.3%
Businessman Ross Perot:  12.1%
Unsure: 8.3%

Across the country, political analysts debated if Perot’s influence over the race would last. Meanwhile, Dole and Quayle geared up for Super Tuesday, which would most likely proved to be the final battle of the 1992 Republican presidential primaries.

Great to see this still Alive

Chapter X: Battle Royale

“Is a Quayle comeback inevitable?” – Newsweek Magazine, March 1992

“Conservatism in this country needs a fresh face.” – Senator Dan Quayle, March 1992

“Perot is looking better by the day.” – Resident of Helena, Montana, March 1992

Following Perot’s announcement of his intention to mount a third-party bid for the presidency, the media became sensationalized with the Texas billionaire. Across the nation, various media networks devoted hours upon hours of coverage to the remote possibility that Perot could derail the traditional two-party system. Others, however, were skeptical that the Texas businessman would present a drastic influence, if any, in the upcoming presidential election. Regardless, for now Perot and his supporters focused on placing his name on the ballot in as many states as possible.

Meanwhile, President Bentsen rallied with top Democratic congressional leaders and announced the intention to deliver a ban on assault gun use for civilians within the upcoming weeks. Gun violence had continuously proven an escalating problem throughout the country. Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell explained, “I see absolutely no reason why a civilian has the need to purchase an assault gun.” The Democrats’ initiative immediately sparked debate among pro-gun lobbies and interest groups, such as the NRA. Initial polls showed that independent voters slightly favored such a ban, but not overwhelmingly. The road ahead would prove difficult, especially with a sluggish economy and a do-nothing Congress, but Bentsen vowed to do everything in his power to ensure the passage of the ban.


With Super Tuesday quickly approaching, Dole and Quayle each made last minutes campaign stops in an effort to rally voters. Dole continued to maintain his lead nationally, though Quayle was not far behind. A whole slew of states would hold their contests on Super Tuesday: Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Rhode Island, and Vermont. While Dole had focused heavily on the Northeastern states, the Quayle campaign had their eyes on Michigan and Minnesota. Quayle knew that he had to perform well if he wanted to stay in the race. Both men continued to advertise their slogans on the campaign trail, too – Quayle’s “Fresh Conservatism” versus Dole’s “Experienced Conservatism.”


COLOARDO PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 53.3%
Quayle: 46.7%

CONNECTICUT PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 53.6%
Quayle: 46.4%

GEORGIA PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 57.4%
Quayle: 42.6%

MAINE PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 52.1%
Quayle: 47.9%

MARYLAND PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 52.9%
Dole: 47.1%

MASSACHUSETTS PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 53.2%
Quayle: 46.8%

MICHIGAN PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 52.1%
Dole: 47.9%

MINNESOTA CAUCUS RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 53.7%
Dole: 46.3%

RHODE ISLAND PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 51.9%
Dole: 48.1%

VERMONT PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 52.8%
Quayle: 47.2%

Quayle emerged victorious in Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, and Rhode Island, while Dole had won the remaining states. For Dan Quayle, these victories were enough to stay in the race. Political analysts were particularly surprised with Quayle’s wins in Michigan and Rhode Island. Was it possible that the Dole campaign was beginning to erode? Dole himself was rather upset at the loss in Michigan, but knew it wouldn’t derail his campaign. In recent weeks, he had come to regard Quayle as more of a pain in the ass than a serious obstacle. Dole thanked supporters at a rally in Georgia, saying, “Thank you! We are now one step closer to taking the White House back in November.”


March continued on and the primary schedule became even busier. The New York Primary was two days following Super Tuesday. The subsequent day, Kentucky, Oklahoma, and Oregon would hold their contests. While Dole was favored in New York and Oklahoma, Quayle maintained a lead in Oregon. Kentucky, at this point, was considered a toss-up. When asked on Larry King Live about his perception of his changes in the upcoming contests, Quayle explained, “I've met countless people throughout the country who are ready for a new breed of conservatism. Just yesterday I was in Louisville and the energy there is extremely vibrant. People are tired of this administration’s failure, and I think many conservative voters agree with my stances.”

NEW YORK PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 56.4%
Quayle: 43.6%

KENTUCKY PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 54.3%
Dole: 45.7%

OKLAHOMA PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 58.9%
Quayle: 41.1%

OREGON PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 57.2%
Dole: 42.8%



Although Dole emerged victorious in New York and Oklahoma, Quayle had successfully peeled Kentucky and Oregon away from the Dole column. Although Dole maintained more delegates than Quayle, Quayle was certainly making his dent on the Kansas senator’s lead. The majority of the Republican establishment had thrown their support behind Dole, yet Quayle had proven to stick around much longer than anyone had anticipated. In hopes of sealing Quayle’s fate, Dole courted several crucial endorsements from senators and governors. By March 16th, polls showed that the Dole held a mere three-point lead over Quayle.

NATIONWIDE POLL – MARCH 16 1992
Which candidate do you support for the GOP nomination?
Dole: 51. 8%
Quayle: 48.2%

FLORIDA PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 53.6%
Quayle: 46.4%

MISSOURI CAUCUS RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 54.0%
Quayle: 46.0%

WISCONSIN PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 53.0%
Dole: 47.0%

Keep it coming!

Chapter XI: When Push Comes to Shove

“This ban will result in a safer America.” – Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell, April 1992.

“America is ready to diverge from this president’s failed policies.” – Bob Dole, April 1992.

“Unemployment Rate Hovers Above 8.3 Percent.” – Washington Post, April 1992.

The battle between Quayle and Dole for delegates continued as March concluded. Four remaining states would hold their contest before April began: Nevada, Alabama, Indiana, and Ohio. Both campaigns were determined to win in Ohio – for dole, it would solidify his status as a frontrunner, while a Quayle victory would certainly upset Dole’s lead and possibly even turn the tables against Dole.

NEVADA PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 50.4%
Dole: 49.6%

Quayle had barely edged out Dole in Nevada. Dole disregarded the loss and remained focused on Alabama and Ohio. There was little doubt that Indiana was a lost cause since it was Quayle’s home state.  Polls showed Quayle and Dole tied in Ohio, which concerned both candidates. Quayle’s Midwestern roots from neighboring Indiana were helping him with voters in the Western portion of the state, yet likely voters showed a stronger preference for Dole based on his experience.  In an effort to gain ground over Quayle, the Dole campaign decided that Dole would attack the Indiana senator instead of strictly focusing on Bentsen. To the Dole campaign, the disastrous consequences of a potential Ohio loss justified the means. Outside Cincinnati, Dole remarked to a crowd of supporters, “Mr. Quayle is a good man, but he’s the wrong man for the job. After decades of serving the American people during my time in the Senate, I know what Americans are looking for. A Dole presidency would restore this great nation. A Quayle presidency would not.” On the rebuttal, Quayle criticized Dole for being out of touch during a rally in Toledo: “Senator Dole claims to know what Americans need, but he isn’t in touch with our needs and demands. He has failed to fight for our needs in the Senate.”


ALABAMA PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 55.1%
Quayle: 44.9%

INDIANA PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 60.1%
Dole: 39.9%

OHIO PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 51.1%
Quayle: 48.9%

Dole had emerged victorious in Ohio, which dealt a devastating blow to the Quayle campaign. Could this be the beginning of Quayle’s demise, pundits wondered. The Dole campaign desperately needed victories in the next three states – Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wyoming. Initial polls showed a large chunk of undecided voters in both Pennsylvania and Washington, with Texas leaning towards Dole. There was no doubt that Dole’s victory in Ohio would boost the Kansas senator’s numbers, but by how much?

All during this time, President Bentsen continued to work with his party in an effort to pass the assault gun ban. Bentsen’s close relationship with Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell allowed the President to not only present a unified front against Republican opposition, but also reach out to more left-wing members of his party. Indeed, Mitchell would be Bentsen’s bridge to those members of the Democratic Party who were unhappy with the Bentsen presidency. The president knew that, if passed, the legislation would be a landmark of his administration.  Speaker Tom Foley, House Leader Dick Gephardt, and House Whip David Bonior would also push for the ban and attempt to rally House Democrats.


Meanwhile, Ross Perot continued his effort to get his name on the ballot in all fifty states. The Texas businessman held campaign stops in several western states, including Montana, Idaho, and Utah, where he called for a change to the two party system. Although Perot used this sentiment as a core part of his platform, there was little evidence that the American people were tired of the two-party system or the candidates. Polls indicated that roughly 50% of Americans held a positive view of President Bentsen, 49% a positive view of Dole, and 41% a positive view of Dan Quayle. Of course, with the election still months away, anything was bound to change.


PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 53.9%
Quayle: 46.1%

TEXAS PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 54.2%
Quayle: 45.8%

WASHINGTON PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN)
Quayle: 52.0%
Dole: 48.0%

Quayle had lost out to Dole in the two states where he needed victories the most. Delegate-rich Pennsylvania and Texas had gone to Dole and completely opened up his lead over Quayle. While Dole greeted his victory speech crowd in Pennsylvania, Quayle vowed to stay in. “This is not the end, my friends,” he announced in his speech outside Houston. But with a wider lead, Dole was able to secure more donations, which meant more campaign stops and negative ads against Quayle. Dole saw his lead over Quayle open up to the largest throughout the entire primary season.

NATIONWIDE POLL – APRIL 10 1992
Who do you support for the GOP nomination?
Dole: 54.1%
Quayle: 45.7%
Undecided: 0.2%

The next Tuesday hosted the contests for New Jersey, Tennessee, and California. Initial polls showed Dole with a solid lead in each state. Political analysts believed that a Dole victory in each of the three states could be enough to push Quayle out of the race. California additionally had enough delegates that a Dole victory would deliver the Kansas senator just shy of the required amount to be the party’s nominee.

NEW JERSEY PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 54.9%
Quayle: 45.1%

TENNESSEE PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 55.7%
Quayle: 44.3%

CALIFORNIA PRIMARY RESULTS:
Winner: Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)
Dole: 55.2%%
Quayle: 44.8%

Following his three losses, Quayle, seeing no path to victory, prepared a concession speech. Half an hour after the California results were called, Quayle announced that he would be suspending his campaign. “It has been my great privilege to campaign this nation for the past few months and meet some truly wonderful people. Although my time to exit this race has come, remember that we must fight together to regain the White House this November. Thank you and God Bless you all!” With Quayle out, Dole became the GOP’s presumptive nominee. On a stage in front of a Los Angeles crowd, Dole gave an energizing speech: “We now march forward to reclaim this great nation from failed leadership. This campaign has been fueled by our core belief that our greatest days are ahead, that we won’t give up on our country.  That belief will propel us, together, to Pennsylvania Ave!”

Keep it coming

Wonder who'll be chosen for VEEP.

Thanks for the comments!

Chapter XII: An Unquenchable Thirst

“Looting and Fires Ravage L.A.” – Los Angeles Times, April 1992.

“Bob Dole is the man to get this country back on track.” – Former VP George H.W. Bush, May 1992.

“We have a choice in this election: we can either continue to make progress or we can go with the same policies that gave us spending cuts and large deficits.” – President Lloyd Bentsen, June 1992.

President Bentsen continued to work with the Democrats on the assault gun ban. Advisors close to Bentsen believed that the successful passage of the ban would secure the far-left vote that Bentsen definitely needed, as well as reel in many independent voters. Senate Democrats were fully on board, yet some House Democrats, particularly Southern Democrats, were reluctant to support the bill. All talks were interrupted on April 29, however, when the four LAPD police officers accused of beating Rodney King were acquitted from trial. The acquittal sent shockwaves throughout the Los Angeles community and massive riots quickly broke out. The riots, which would last six days, would prompt President Bentsen to call in the National Guard. Overall, the riots would claim over fifty deaths and cause $1 billion in damage.


With the Republican primaries over and Dole as the GOP’s presumptive nominee, the Kansas senator switched all of his focus to campaigning against President Bentsen. As he had reiterated throughout the primary season, Dole preached the cornerstone of his campaign to crowds across the nation: a 15% reduction in income tax rates and overall smaller government. The struggling economy and high unemployment rate significantly helped Dole bring in support. On May 3, former Vice President and 1988 Republican presidential nominee George H.W. Bush endorsed Dole at a rally in Orlando. “Bob Dole is the man to get this country back on track,” Bush explained. “He has my full support.” The Republican establishment was now behind Dole.


With the Republican establishment’s support, though, came the demand for Dole to step down as Senate Minority Leader. Now that the Kansas senator was the party’s presumptive nominee, his duties lay with campaigning instead of leading the party in the Senate. On May 6, Dole formally announced his resignation from the Senate. “I cannot both campaign and lead my party in the Senate. From here, it’s either the White House or home,” he explained. Dole had served as Senate Minority Leader since 1987. Two candidates to replace Dole emerged: Alan Simpson of Wyoming, the Minority Whip, and Senator Ted Stevens. While Simpson was viewed as the favorite, Stevens had also served as Whip under Reagan. Furthermore, Stevens also had a more extensive Senate career and seen as someone who could stand up against the Senate Democrats. On the third ballot, Stevens won and was declared the new Senate Minority Leader.


Meanwhile, Ross Perot continued campaigning for the presidency. Polls showed that his support came from both Bentsen and Dole. Unlike earlier months, however, Perot’s support seemed to decline: only 8% now supported the Texas businessman, which was down from his all-time high of 12%. Perot still worked towards getting his name on the ballot in all fifty-states. Polls showed that his support was strongest in Northwestern states and weakest in Southern states. The media reports rumors that the Perot campaign was incredibly disorganized and that Perot was secretly reconsidering his decision to enter the race.

NATIONWIDE POLL – MAY 28 1992
Which candidate will you support in the 1992 presidential election?
Senator Bob Dole: 45.0%
President Lloyd Bentsen: 40.9%
Businessman Ross Perot: 8.1%
Unsure: 6.0%

Finally, after much deliberation, the Democrats finally came together for the assault gun ban in the beginning of June. Shortly thereafter in the month, the Federal Assault Gun Ban of 1992 was signed and passed into law. Republicans remained extremely opposed to the law, even Senator Dole spoke out against it on the campaign trail. Polls indicated that the majority of independents approved of the bill. Furthermore, the unemployment rate fell back down to 8.2%. The President received a minor bump in support and, for the first time in months, saw his approval rating climb above 50%.

NATIONWIDE POLL – JUNE 18 1992
Do you support President Bentsen?
Yes: 52.2%
No: 47.0%
Unsure: 0.8%

The good news for President Bentsen did not translate to good news for all Democrats, though. The sluggish economy led many political analysts to expect an extremely competitive election year for House Democrats. Overall, the Democrats still remained extremely divided. The liberal branch of the party felt largely forgotten under President Bentsen’s policies while more moderate and conservative Democrats support Bentsen across the board. The division of the party had been evident throughout the past three years, ranging from the President’s Federal Reduction Act of 1989 up to the recent Federal Assault Gun Ban of 1992. While such a scenario where the Republicans picked up the House was extremely unlikely, many analysts predicted large Republican gains, particularly in Midwestern and Rust Belt states.

The end of June and beginning of July consisted of both the Bentsen and Dole campaigns in full-swing. The President, who had recently launched a five-state tour of the Midwest, spoke out against Dole at a rally in Ohio: “Senator Dole has led the same party that gave us record-high deficits and spending cuts. A vote for Senator Dole would be a huge step backward.” At a rally in Iowa, Dole blasted back at Bentsen, remarking, “The President has failed us. Our economy has not improved, unlike what the President says, but instead become even worse.”


As July began, both the Republican and Democratic National Conventions were on the horizon. The Republicans would hold their convention at the end of July, while the Democrats would hold theirs in August. With the conventions for both parties rapidly approaching, there was much speculation about who Dole would select as a vice presidential nominee. Several names were thrown around by the media, none of which with any backing. At the beginning of July, a short-list of possible picks was leaked to the media. The Dole campaign did not claim responsibility for the leak of the list and argued that the list merely speculated. The media nonetheless utilized the list as further speculation.

Domenici would be interesting. It'd also be cool to see Republicans take the Industrial Mid-West (cough cough).

Meaning blue collar voters in MI?  I hope so too ;)

I won't give anything away, but the Democratic and Republican parties ITTL will definitely differ from those in OTL.

More please ;)

Chapter XIII: Panic

“America, I believe that our greatest days are ahead of us, not behind us.” – Excerpt from Republican Vice Presidential nominee Carroll Campbell’s Convention speech, July 1992.

“Unemployment Rate Drops to 8.0%” – New York Times, August 1992.

“Perhaps it is Mr. Dole who is out of touch.” – Excerpt from President Bentsen’s Convention speech, August 1992

On a humid July morning outside a manufacturing plant in Cincinnati, Ohio, the only thing higher than the heat was the anticipation. The Dole campaign had leaked a story to the media the day before that Dole would be announcing his running mate. With the Republican National Convention only three days away in Houston, speculation was out of control. Dole was already on stage, sweating just as much as the crowd before him. “Ladies and Gentlemen, allow me to introduce to you, the next Vice President of the United States, Governor Carroll Campbell of South Carolina.” Campbell walked up the side of the stage, waving to the crowd, and shook Dole’s hand before speaking to the crowd. Governor of South Carolina since 1987, Campbell was one of the most popular Republican governors in the nation. During his term, Campbell had prioritizing the renewal of manufacturing jobs in the state, including efforts to bring a BMW manufacturing into Greer, South Carolina. Republicans were quick to praise Dole’s selection.


The Republicans were certainly not the only politicians campaigning, though. President Bentsen, now fully in campaign mode, continued his sweep of the Midwest. Vice President Joe Biden also proved to be an effective campaign tool. At a rally in Missouri, Biden wasted no time in criticizing Dole selection of Campbell and Campbell’s record: “Governor Campbell may have brought jobs to South Carolina, but at what price? He eliminated programs within the state and slashed funding. Once again, these two men practice the same policies of the Reagan years that brought record-high deficits. We can’t afford to go back down that road again.” At a fundraiser in Los Angeles, Bentsen echoed the same message.

The fight between the Democrats and the Republicans for control of the White House left Ross Perot out of the headlines. Inside reports rumored that, following the dismissal of Ed Rollins, the Perot campaign was in serious jeopardy. At a rally earlier on in the week, Perot had advocated for a gas tax, which left many Americans, who were feeling the effects of a dismal economy, with a sour taste. Furthermore, it appeared that Perot would not make it on the ballot in all fifty states. Pundits speculated that, at most, Perot’s name would make it on the ballot in roughly twenty five to thirty states. The realization was a setback to the Perot campaign, yet Perot vowed to stay in. With his national support hovering around 7.5%, Perot focused on Western states, such as Montana and Idaho, where his popularity was the highest.


The Republican National Convention began on July 20. Supporters gathered in Houston to support the Dole/Campbell ticket. The keynote speaker was Phil Gramm of Texas. Other important speakers included Indiana Senator and 1992 presidential candidate Dan Quayle, former vice president and 1988 presidential nominee George H.W. Bush, New Jersey Senator Christine Todd Whitman, California Governor Pete Wilson, and more. In his speech to the audience, Carroll Campbell highlighted the importance of manufacturing jobs and returning Americans to work. “South Carolina, like every other state, has seen incredibly tough times due to a poor economy and this administration’s inability to fix it. Where my approach differs from the Democrats is that I took steps to bring the great people of South Carolina back to work. Perhaps the President should use South Carolina as a model if he wants to improve the economy and lower unemployment. America, I believe that our greatest days are ahead of us, not behind us.” Campbell’s speech was extremely well-received, with some commentators even preferring it to Dole’s. The next day, Senator Dole delivered his speech. “Enough is enough. As American voters, we have given this President a chance. The past three years have been the worst of the past ten years, and that is no coincidence. I want to restore this great country, the country I know and love, and need your help to do it. Together, we can finish this century strong.”


Following the convention, the Dole/Campbell ticket received a substantial bounce in the polls, solidifying Dole’s lead over Bentsen. State polls, however, indicated a virtual tie in almost all battleground states. The Dole campaign found something fascinating in the poll results, though: in industrial regions of the upper-Midwestern states, a record-low number of likely voters approved of President Bentsen. Political analysts speculated that the poor economy and high unemployment rate, in addition to the President’s non-traditional more conservative agenda, had resulted in disapproval from many blue-collar workers. Other analysts argued that, while this may be true, it was unlikely that Republicans could pick up such a group in the election. Nonetheless, the Dole campaign reorganized and decided to focus on upper-Midwestern states. Similarly, the same poll results prompted Bentsen to focus more on the Midwest.


Good news did come for the Democrats, however. In early August, the unemployment rate dropped back down to 8.0%. While still high, a drop in unemployment was seen as good news. President Bentsen’s approval rating improved slightly as a result. More importantly, though, was that the Democrats could use this statistic to their advantage at their upcoming convention.

NATIONWIDE POLL - AUGUST 3 1992
Do you support President Bentsen?
Yes: 53.1%
No: 46.4%
Unsure: 0.5%

On August 17, Democrats from across the nation gathered in New York City’s Madison Square Garden to support the Bentsen/Biden ticket once more. In his speech, Vice President Biden once again criticized Republicans for attempting to bring back policies that “have failed the nation so many times before.” “Our economy is improving. Unemployment has dropped and we are finally coming out of this economic hole that we ended up in because of the Reagan years.” The following day, President Bentsen emerged on stage to thunderous applause. While the left wing of the Democratic Party was not thrilled with the President, it knew that the alternative was far worse. “The Republicans have criticized my time in office, saying that I am clueless and out of touch. Well, this is news to me. Since 1989, we have worked together to reduce the great deficit that our nation accumulated under Ronald Reagan, passed an assault gun ban that protects our citizens, fought terrorism abroad and strengthened relationships with allies, and seen the unemployment rate decline. Perhaps it is Mr. Dole who is out of touch.” The President smiled as the crowd leaped to their feat with applause. Tired as he was, the convention energized the president.


Post-convention polls showed a virtual tie between Bentsen and Dole, with Perot trailing in a distant third. As August concluded, the fight for the White House continued. The next few months would see the much more campaign, the debates, and one hell of an election.

NATIONWIDE POLL - AUGUST 30 1992
Which ticket will you support in the 1992 presidential election?
President Bentsen/Vice President Biden (D): 45.0%
Senator Dole/Governor Campbell (R): 45.0%
Businessman Ross Perot/Vice Admiral James Stockdale (I): 7.5%
Unsure: 2.5%

To me, Dole seems like the type of Republican that could take states like Michigan and Pennsylvania, whereas Bentsen would probably do very well in the South-West and South. (hint hint)

I might want Bentsen to win, just so that Gramm or Pete Wilson destroys whoever the Dems put up in 96, and dominate Congress for years

You will see soon enough ;)


Regardless of who wins in November, one of the two will have a significant role in the 90s, I promise you that.

Bentsen or Dole? Well I'm happy either way.

I'm actually not sure who I'd support, but this TL is awesome.  More please ;)

Chapter XIV: Renewal

“Now is the time for us to speak loud and clear.” – Senator Bob Dole, September 1992.

“I expect that the Democrats will hold onto the House.” – Speaker Tom Foley, October 1992.

“President Race Tight as Candidates Finish Campaigning” – Washington Post, November 1992.

With the conventions now weeks behind the candidates, the nation geared up for the final months of the 1992 campaign. Polls continued to show a dead heat between Dole and Bentsen as autumn began. The dead heat race resulted in a whole slew of states that were deemed to be “toss-ups,” ranging from Michigan to Missouri, even up to Maine. Both Dole and Bentsen tirelessly campaigned in as many of these toss-up states as possible in an effort to rally votes. The President continued to preach his message about progress under his administration, while Dole maintained the approach that the President had failed. “Now is the time for us to speak loud and clear; to remove this President from office and get our country back on the right track,” Dole commented at a rally outside Toledo, Ohio.


The media’s fascination with the race between Bentsen and Dole left Perot’s campaign completely in the dust. The Texas businessman, who had failed to get his name on the ballot in all fifty states just as he had promised, had seen his support decline in recent months. National polls showed Perot’s support just below 8%. Despite this low number, though, Perot seemed to have overwhelming support in rural Western states. A Gallup poll in Montana, for example, showed Perot with a strong 33% of support.

MONTANA POLL – SEPTEMBER 18 1992
Which candidate will you support in the 1992 presidential election?
Dole: 38.5%
Perot: 33.5%
Bentsen: 28.0%

COLORADO POLL – SEPTEMBER 18 1992
Which candidate will you support in the 1992 presidential election?
Bentsen: 45.4%
Dole: 40.6%
Perot: 14.0%

Perot was not the only candidate who seemed in trouble, though. Across the South and Midwest, numerous liberal House Democrats were bracing themselves for defeat. Polls indicated that Republicans were poised to take at least ten seats back in the House. As blue-collar workers in the Midwest turned away from the Democratic policies they had originally embraced, they additionally retracted their support for many House Democrats. At a rally outside Pittsburgh, Republican Vice Presidential nominee Carroll Campbell wasted no time in trying to win over blue collar support: “This president’s policies have failed those of us who understand a hard day’s work. In states such as Pennsylvania, manufacturing plants cannot get back on their feet because of the excessive obstacles that this government places in your way.” But every Republican rally was matched with a Democratic rally. At a rally in St. Louis, President Bentsen advocated for a “practical, not radical” approach.

The first presidential debate was held on October 11, 1992. Amidst news that the unemployment rate remained at 8.0%, the debate would focus on the economy. Despite his low poll numbers, Perot was permitted to participate. The bulk of questions were given to Bentsen and Dole, while Perot was ignored through most of the debate. Years later, Perot would assert that the network’s refusal to direct more questions his way would cost him support. Throughout the course of the debate, Bentsen defended his economic record and the reduction of the debate. The President asserted that the economic climate was the result of many disastrous policies in the 1980s, too. Dole, on the other hand, would criticize Bentsen’s record and proclaim that the economy was nowhere near recovery. Polls at the conclusion of the debate showed that viewers thought that the President had preformed slightly better than Dole.


NATIONWIDE POLL – OCTOBER 12 1992
Who won the presidential debate?
Bentsen: 51.4%
Dole: 44.6%
Perot: 4.0%

The vice presidential debate was next up and widely anticipated as both Biden and Campbell were seen as the fresher generation of their respective parties. Years earlier, Biden had easily triumphed over Dan Quayle. This time, however, Biden would not have such luck. Campbell was extremely well prepared and came off as more composed than Biden. To make matters worse, Biden made several gaffes during the debate, one of which was calling Bob Dole “an old grumpy man.” According to viewers, Campbell had bested the Vice President.


NATIONWIDE POLL – OCTOBER 15 1992
Who won the vice presidential debate?
Campbell: 58.0%
Biden: 42.0%

Final polls at the conclusion of October showed the Democratic ticket with a minor lead over the Republican ticket.

NATIONWIDE POLL – OCTOBER 31 1992
Who will you support in the 1992 presidential election?
President Bentsen/Vice President Biden (D): 47.0%
Senator Dole/Governor Campbell (R): 45.5%
Businessman Perot/Vice Admiral Stockdale (I): 7.5%
Unsure: 2.0%


And alas, November arrived. Across the nation, Americans headed to the ballot boxes on November 3rd to cast their votes. The final polls had showed the President ahead of Dole by 2 points. Voter turn-out proved to be lower than in 1988. Despite their skepticism of Bentsen's more conservative policies, liberal Democrats cast their votes for Bentsen. More moderate Democrats also backed the President, which, when combined with independent voters, helped deliver states such as Kentucky and Missouri. Dole, on the other hand, managed to capture Michigan and Ohio due to the unpopularity of Bentsen's economic policies towards blue-collar workers.

Election coverage all night showed a virtual tie across the board between Bentsen and Dole until the western states were reported. Ross Perot managed to split the vote in crucial states such as Nevada and Colorado, effectively giving the election to Bentsen. With less than 50% of the vote, Bentsen was President Bentsen had secured reelection over Senator Dole. In front of a crowd of supporters, the Kansas senator conceded the race, congratulated the President, and stated that he was looking forward to retirement. In his victory speech, the President thanked his supporters. “Thank you! Our work continues now as we bring jobs back to this great country.” Republicans were outraged, claiming that Perot's presence on the ballot in western states had cost Dole the election. More optimistic Republicans, however, pointed out that if the election was to be viewed as a referendum on Bentsen's policies, then clearly Bentsen and the Democrats had more work ahead of them. Republican gains in the House and Senate would shape the Republicans new approach to the Bentsen administration.


1992 Senate and House election results:
Senate: -2, +2: 52 48
House: -12, +12: 251, 184

Notable results:
Georgia: Paul Coverdell (R) defeats incumbent Wyche Fowler (D)
South Carolina: Thomas Hartnett (R) defeats incumbent Ernest Hollings (D)
Wisconsin: Russ Feingold (D) loses against incumbent Bob Kasten (R)

More please ;)

I know you haven't done a timeline for over 5 months, I would like to request a possible TL, maybe you could do one like this: "What if Ronald Reagan picked a different V.P. in 1980." or
"What if George H.W. Bush didn't run in 1988" IDK It was just a thought...

Just read through this whole thing, and it's fantastic! Bump.

If Bentsen had won in 1988, who would Governor Bill Clements (R) appoint to Bentsen's U.S. Senate seat?

What would happen in the 1989 gubernatorial elections in VA and NJ ?