Title: British pollsters Post by: Silent Hunter on November 28, 2004, 12:45:18 PM Which British polls do you take seriously?
I'm an ICM man myself. They get pretty (as in 1%) close. Here's a poll I have some reservations on: Independent on Sunday/ Communication Research 24 Nov 04 - 25 Nov 04 1033 sampled Con 31 Lab 42 (!) Lib Dem 20 That's very similar to the 2001 result. Vorlon, any opinions on UK polls? Title: Re: British pollsters Post by: Ben. on November 28, 2004, 01:26:13 PM Vorlon, any opinions on UK polls? I've been imploring Vorlon to comment on UK polls for ages! But to no avail sadly.. hopfully he'll pay attention to this :) ICM YouGov CS Populus Mori ...of all of these I'd go with ICM and of late YouGov have improved but imput from Vorlon would be very welcome. Title: Re: British pollsters Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 28, 2004, 01:31:27 PM I think the expression: "hot dog poll" is accurate as far as most U.K pollsters go...
Title: Re: British pollsters Post by: English on December 02, 2004, 09:54:47 AM My predicition on the final vote share would be....
Labour 39% (-2) Conservative 32% (+1) LD 20% (+2) Title: Re: British pollsters Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on December 02, 2004, 09:58:59 AM My predicition on the final vote share would be.... Labour 39% (-2) Conservative 32% (+1) LD 20% (+2) Looks about right Title: Re: British pollsters Post by: Ben. on December 02, 2004, 05:30:26 PM My predicition on the final vote share would be.... Labour 39% (-2) Conservative 32% (+1) LD 20% (+2) I think the Conservatives will do better than that, but Labour seems about right. Title: Re: British pollsters Post by: Silent Hunter on December 08, 2004, 03:52:27 AM There are two main ways of polling here:
1. Weight by age, religion, region etc. 2. Ask how they voted last time. If 85% of Labour voters say they'll vote Labour next time, give Labour 85% of their 2001 figure. Title: Re: British pollsters Post by: J. J. on December 10, 2004, 12:06:14 AM How long is it until the deadline for the next election (yes, I know that they are not fixed).
Title: Re: British pollsters Post by: Silent Hunter on December 10, 2004, 05:49:35 AM It's got to be held by 7 June 2006.
|