Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Election What-ifs? => Topic started by: sentinel on April 28, 2011, 02:16:51 PM



Title: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on April 28, 2011, 02:16:51 PM
Sometime in 2007...
The Governor looks at himself in the mirror after making the appointment...second guessing his decision he returns the phone call that he had just hung up with and cancels the appointment

His term as Governor continues, with the man himself not liking his decision but realizing it was probably for the best.

March 17, 2008 - The Governor sits down for an interview.

"Governor, will you run for reelection in 2010?"
"It is a bit early for me to announce but I don't see a reason, at this time, why I would not pursue that. I'm focused on getting Hillary Clinton elected President in 2008."


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on April 28, 2011, 02:24:26 PM
November 4, 2008

(
)
Senator Barack H. Obama / Senator Joseph R. Biden - 365 Electoral Votes, 52.9% Popular Vote
Senator John S. McCain / Governor Sarah Palin - 173 Electoral Votes, 45.7% Popular Vote



Sometime between election day and January 2009...
"Mr. President-elect, its great to hear from you..."
"Governor, I wanted to thank you personally for your support this election cycle. Especially for your advice during the current crisis."
"It is my pleasure, Mr. President-elect."
"I wanted to know if you would be interested in a position in my Administration. I think you are a rising star in the Democratic Party so I would understand if you did not want to."
"Mr. President-elect, I appreciate you thinking of me --but I think I can be more useful to you, to the Party, and to the nation if I stayed in my current position.
"Are you thinking about 2016?"
"I'm very much focused on my current job and my reelection campaign in 2010"
"Between you and me..."
"Yes, I am very interested in 2016."




Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: Atlas Has Shrugged on April 28, 2011, 02:33:04 PM
Who is this Governor? I thought it was Joe Manchin but I guess not...


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on April 28, 2011, 02:48:45 PM
Waiting to find out who the Governor is!


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on April 28, 2011, 02:53:29 PM
January 2009

Governor Eliot Spitzer's property tax cap passes both houses of the New York State legislature which caps school tax-levy increases at 4 percent a year or the rate of inflation, whichever is less. Spitzer comments include "bringing property taxes back under control will ensure longterm growth of our municipalities, homeowners will keep more of their hard earned money. Spending billions of state tax dollars to dull the pain of high local property taxes simply resulted in higher spending - and ultimately, even higher school property taxes. The only solution is a tax cap, and today the people of New York got just that."

()


March 2009

Spitzer once again pledges to use the stimulus package money for infrastructure reform and pledges to get people back to work as efficiently as possible. Spitzer also proposes more comprehensive job training programs in return for a soda tax.

July 2009

President Obama calls Governor Spitzer to Washington DC to lend his advice on health care and the economic crisis. An aide leaks that "Chief of Staff Emanuel and Governor Spitzer  had a shouting contest." Chief of Staff Emanuel remarks that the "conversation was productive despite the volume."

January 2010

Governor Spitzer formally announces that he will seek reelection as Governor of New York.

Former Congressman Rick Lazio, Businessman Carl Paladino and State Senator Dean Skelos announce their candidacy for the Republican nomination for Governor of New York around the same time.

January 2010

State Senator Scott Brown is elected as US Senator from Massachusetts defeating Martha Coakley.


March 2010

President Obama's health care package is passed, although many say that it is very watered down, others call it socialist. Governor Spitzer comments that "no package can be perfect, but this is a huge step forward for all Americans."

November 2010


Governor Spitzer defeats Republican nominee Dean Skelos 65% to 31%. The Rent is Too Damn High Party Candidate Jimmy McMillan receives 1.5% of the vote in a big surprise to many --having defeated the Libertarian and Green Party candidates. NYS Attorney General Andrew Cuomo wins reelection defeating a Republican DA from Staten Island.

The NY State Senate majority is held onto by the Democratic Party.

In Congress, Democrats lose 63 seats and in the Senate they lose 6.

January 2011

Governor Spitzer is sworn in for a second term as Governor. Respectively, Congress elects John Boehner as their Speaker.

()


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: Dancing with Myself on April 28, 2011, 03:11:37 PM
It's Spitzer, never would have guessed. What happened to the girl from the rl scandal?


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on April 28, 2011, 03:13:47 PM
February 2011

President Obama invites Governor Spitzer to Washington DC again, shortly after Rahm Emanuel's election as Mayor of Chicago, to discuss ways to cut the deficit. An aide notes that the volume was significantly lower this time around.

Unemployment drops to 8% in the United States.

April 2011

Budget negotiations stall and the US Government is shutdown. Speaker Boehner blames the shutdown on the President and Democrats saying that they wouldn't cut enough spending while Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and President Obama say that "the spending cuts were agreed upon. This was an ideological issues for the Republicans. Republicans like Boehner want to cut funding to planned parenthood which provides affordable health care for both men and women."

The budget negotiations are resolved after 7 days after an email leak between Republican aides shows that the shutdown was due to funding of Planned Parenthood.

President Obama's approval jumps to 53-55% temporarily.

June 2011

Businessman Donald Trump announces that he will seek the Republican nomination for President.

The first Republican debate occurs between Tim Pawlenty, Donald Trump, Mitt Romney, Gary Johnson, Ron Paul, Buddy Roemer, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Roy Moore, Rick Santorum, Mitch Daniels, John Bolton, Michele Bachmann, Jimmy McMillan and Jon Huntsman."

A deficit reduction plan has not yet been reached and entitlement spending as well as the situation in Libya and the Middle East takes up most of the debate. Governor Spitzer calls the debate "a circus."


Iowa July 2011 Poll:

Romney: 23%
Trump: 18%
Paul: 15%
Gingrich: 10%
Pawlenty: 8%
Daniels: 6%
Bachmann: 5%
Unsure: 4%
Johnson: 3%
Santorum: 3%
Bolton: 2%
Cain: <1%
McMillan: <1%
Moore: <1%

Citing fundraising woes, John Bolton drops out in November 2011.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on April 28, 2011, 03:14:14 PM
It's Spitzer, never would have guessed. What happened to the girl from the rl scandal?

She's still being a prostitute. Just not with Spitzer.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on April 28, 2011, 03:44:03 PM
December 2011

The United States Congress defeats the President's deficit reduction plan which would have reduced the deficit by over 50% in 20 years. The President calls for "all parties to work through Christmas to find a bill that is suitable and to put ideology aside."

President Obama's approval, upon the defeat of this legislation, drops to 43%. Unemployment is around 7.7%. Many economists are concerned about inflation.

Governor Spitzer's approvals in his state remain around 50%, with unemployment in New York hovering around 6.5%. In December 2011, the NY State Legislature legalizes gay marriage as well as now allows medical marijuana.

February 2012

Iowa Caucus Results:

Donald Trump wins a very slim victory against former Governor Gary Johnson. Paul supporters were told to go to Johnson as their second choice.


Trump: 16.3%
Johnson: 16.2%
Romney: 16.0%
Daniels: 11.7%
Paul: 10.5%
Pawlenty: 9.3%
Gingrich: 7.5%
Bachmann: 6.1%
Santorum: 4.0%
Other: 2.4%

Herman Cain, Roy Moore drops out after their disappointing, yet not surprising, showing.

New Hampshire Primary Results:

Romney: 24.0%
Trump 17.3%
Johnson: 13.8%
Paul: 13.1%
Daniels: 12.3%
Pawlenty: 7.9%
Gingrich: 5.0%
Santorum: 2.1%
Bachmann: 2.0%
Other: 2.5%

After the New Hampshire primary, Gingrich, Santorum, Bachmann, Pawlenty and Daniels make a quiet exit. Pawlenty and Daniels both endorse Romney.


Nevada Primary Results:

Romney: 33.0%
Trump: 26%
Johnson: 23.9%
Paul: 17.1%

Ron Paul drops out of the race endorsing Gary Johnson.

South Carolina Primary Results:

Trump: 45%
Romney:  42%
Johnson: 13%

Johnson drops out of the race after this primary.

March 2012

Trump and Romney go onto Super Tuesday but Romney wins every state on Super Tuesday --trouncing Trump royally.

Trump vows to run as an independent, Romney declares himself the presumptive nominee.





Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: feeblepizza on April 28, 2011, 07:58:19 PM
Trump and Romney go onto Super Tuesday but Romney wins every state on Super Tuesday --trouncing Romney Trump royally.

Trump vows to run as an independent, Romney declares himself the presumptive nominee.
Fixed.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on May 01, 2011, 04:59:58 PM
Eliot Spitzer, according to recent polls, is still popular as a politician but not as a person.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 02, 2011, 11:19:23 AM
Will continue. Was busy this weekend but another update is forthcoming.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: specific_name on May 02, 2011, 10:54:35 PM
I wouldn't be shocked if Spitzer one day makes a comeback, at least on the state level. You never know.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 03, 2011, 02:11:10 PM
April 2012

Governor Spitzer finishes his first budget on time without any extensions. The budget is said to be, by many economists, "one of the first budgets to show economic recovery in the states."

Spitzer loses his long fought battle on drivers licenses for illegal immigrants when the NYS Senate votes it down.


***Flashback***

January 2009

Hillary Clinton is appointed as Secretary of State of the United States by President Barack H. Obama. Governor Spitzer appoints Congressman Steve Israel to the seat. Democrats hold onto Israel's seat in a special election.

()
Newly appointed Senator Steve Israel (D-NY)

Senator Israel went on to win the special election in November 2010.

***

Back to the future

May 2012

Presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney selects Senator Mark Kirk of Illinois as his running mate.

()Mitt Romney at a campaign stop.


()Senator Kirk speaking after being picked as Romney's running mate

The move is hailed by many moderates and pro-choice groups but conservative Republicans are upset with the pick due to Kirk's pro-choice record. Romney responds to the criticisms saying "I don't want to stifle debate in my White House by picking advisors who always agree with me, or are going to be pushovers. Good debates form good solutions."

June 2012

Donald Trump selects Ford CEO Alan Roger Mulally as his running mate calling him a "great businessman, someone who managed to reform his company and turn it around completely. We need a reformer like him in government and he is going to make a great Vice President and make me an even greater President."

However on the same day a chemical spill, due to a truck accident, in Kansas has the potential to harm hundreds of people. The Obama Administration, via the EPA and FEMA, evacuate thousands of people within 50 miles of the spill site. The incident largely eats up what media coverage Trump's VP pick would have got.

After several days of emergency crews cleaning up the spill, people are allowed to re-enter their homes once air quality tests come back with good results.

Late June Polling:

Obama/Biden: 40%
Romney/Kirk: 26%
Trump:/Mulally: 15%
Undecided: 19%


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 03, 2011, 02:27:15 PM
July - August 2012

Governor Spitzer, a surrogate for the Obama campaign, is sent out talking about the economy for President Obama.

It is worth mentioning, that Governor Deval Patrick is also a surrogate who appears sometimes with Spitzer but often as an advocate of Obamacare.

September 18, 2012

()

With the first Presidential debate only days away, President Barack H. Obama comes on television very close to midnight and gives the following statement...

Quote

  Good evening.  Tonight, I can report to the American people and to the world that the United States has conducted an operation that killed Osama bin Laden, the leader of al Qaeda, and a terrorist who’s responsible for the murder of thousands of innocent men, women, and children.

It was nearly 11 years ago that a bright September day was darkened by the worst attack on the American people in our history.  The images of 9/11 are seared into our national memory -- hijacked planes cutting through a cloudless September sky; the Twin Towers collapsing to the ground; black smoke billowing up from the Pentagon; the wreckage of Flight 93 in Shanksville, Pennsylvania, where the actions of heroic citizens saved even more heartbreak and destruction.

The next day the Obama Administration releases photos of the body which had been buried at sea.

Press Secretary James Carney is asked "Did the Administration wait until the election to do this? Why now?" Carney responds "President Obama is more concerned with the safety of American citizens than the results in November. The President saw an opportunity to take out Bin Laden and we went for it and we were successful."

President Obama's approval jumps in the next few days. Romney and Obama spar at the debate and Romney hits Obama on Libya while both candidates hit Trump on having a niave and childish view of how foreign policy works --Romney remarks "You can't throw a tantrum then fire a foreign dignitary. They don't work for you."

October 2012

The first Vice Presidential debate in October goes largely unnoticed.

Obama, Trump and Romney debate one more time before the election. The second and final debate focuses on domestic policy including health care. Trump gets hit for having "absolutely no health care plan other than returning to what it was like in the Bush years" and for "flip flopping on issues more times than anyone can count." Obama is blasted for not showing more leadership on economic issues and not doing enough about the deficit to which he responds "Mitt, you represent the party of NO. The Republican Party voted down my bipartisan deficit plan because they didn't want another win under my belt. Republicans are putting politics before country and now so are you by criticizing the failure of that bill."

Last Gallup Poll Prior to the Election:

Obama/Biden: 53%
Romney/Kirk: 40%
Trump:/Mulally: 5%
Undecided: 2%


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 03, 2011, 03:23:22 PM
November 2012

Election Day Results
[/b]

(
)


President Barack H. Obama/Vice President Joseph R. Biden, 417 Electoral Votes 54.8% Popular Vote
Governor Willard M. Romney/Senator Mark Kirk, 121 Electoral Votes, 40.5% Popular Vote
Donald Trump/Allan Mulally - 0 Electoral Votes, 4.7% Popular Vote


President Barack Obama buoyed by the death of Bin Laden and the, slow, economic recovery is reelected to a second term as President of the United States.


Wolf Blitzer: Off the top of your head, who do you think the Democratic candidates in 2016 will be?
Anderson Cooper: I think Governor Deval Patrick is eyeing the nomination.
David Gergen: No doubt Spitzer will go for the nomination.
James Carville: I'm interested to see if Mayor Emanuel goes for it. He has the experience and name recognition.
Blitzer: And the Republican side?
Cooper: Mark Kirk might have a shot even after tonight's devastating loss.
David Gergen: Christie if he wins reelection in 2014.
James Carville: I'd be scared for America if Rand Paul or Rubio ran.
Blitzer: We'll have to wait a little to find out.


Senate Results:

Virginia: Former Governor Tim Kaine defeats Republican George Allen (Democratic hold)
Hawaii: Former Congressman Ed Case defeats the Republican challenger for Daniel Akaka's seat. (Democratic hold)
New Mexico: Congressman Martin Heinrich holds Jeff Bingaman's seat for the Democrats. (Democratic hold)
North Dakota: Heidi Heitkamp, former ND Attorney General, wins election by a narrow margin to the Senate (Democratic hold)
California: Dianne Feinstein holds onto her seat in California. (Democratic hold)
Delaware: Tom Carper holds onto his seat.  (Democratic hold)
Florida: Bill Nelson holds onto his seat. (Democratic hold)
Maryland: Ben Cardin holds onto his seat. (Democratic hold)
Michigan: Debbie Stabenow holds onto her seat. (Democratic hold)
Minnesota: Amy Klobuchar holds onto her seat. (Democratic hold)
Missouri: Even though President Obama carried the state. Claire McCaskill loses to Republican Sarah Steelman by 1,000 votes. (Republican pick up)
Montana: Jon Tester is defeated by Republican Marc Racicot 51-49. President Obama won the state with 47% of the vote.(Republican pick up)
Nebraska: Senator Ben Nelson is defeated by Nebraska Attorney General Jon Bruning (Republican pick up)
New Jersey: Bob Menendez holds onto his seat (Democratic hold).
New York: Steve Israel holds onto his seat (Democratic hold)
Ohio: Sherrod Brown holds onto his seat. (Democratic hold)
Pennsylvania: Bob Casey holds onto his seat. (Democratic hold)
Rhode Island: Sheldon Whitehouse holds onto his seat. (Democratic hold)
Washington: Maria Cantwell holds onto her seat. (Democratic hold)
West Virginia: Joe Manchin holds onto his seat (Democratic hold)
Wisconsin: Tammy Baldwin defeats Paul Ryan after Senator Kohl's retirement. (Democratic hold)
Connecticut: Actor Alec Baldwin defeats Linda McMahon for Joseph Lieberman's seat. (Democratic pick up)
Vermont: Bernie Sanders wins reelection. (Independent hold)
Arizona: Rodney Glassman defeats Jeff Flake for Senator Jon Kyl's seat. (Democratic pick up)
Texas: Elizabeth Jones defeats the Democratic candidate for Senate. (Republican hold)
Indiana: Dick Lugar holds onto his seat after a tough challenge from both the Democrat and Tea Party candidate (Republican hold)
Mississippi: Roger Wick holds onto his seat (Republican hold)
Tennessee: Bob Corker holds onto his seat (Republican hold)
Utah: Orrin Hatch holds onto his seat (Republican hold)
Wyoming: Barrasso holds onto his seat (Republican hold)
Massachusetts: Scott Brown holds onto his seat (Republican hold)
Nevada: Dean Heller is defeated by Catherine Cortez Masto the Nevada Attorney General. (Democratic pickup)
Maine: Olympia Snowe had been defeated in the Republican primary by Chandler Woodcock. Snowe decided not to run as an independent and Woodcock was defeated by Democrat Phil Bartlett. (Democratic pickup)

Senate 2013-2015 Composition:

Democrats: 54 (+1)
Republicans: 46 (-1)
Independents: 1

House of Representatives 2013-2015 Composition:

Republicans: 220 (-22)
Democrats: 215 (+22)


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 03, 2011, 03:36:56 PM
Gubernatorial Elections Results:

Washington: Democrat Christine Gregoire wins reelection. (Democratic hold)
Vermont: Democrat Peter Shumlin wins reelection.  (Democratic hold)
Utah: Republican Gary Herbet wins reelection. (Republican hold)
Montana: Democrat Steve Bullock defeats former Republican Congressman Rick Hill. (Democratic hold)
Indiana: Republican Congressman Mike Pence is elected. (Republican hold)
Delaware: Democrat Jack Markells wins reelection. (Democratic hold)
Missouri: Democrat Jay Nixon wins reelection. (Democratic hold)
New Hampshire: Democrat Governor John Lynch wins reelection.  (Democratic hold)
North Carolina: Pat McCroy defeats Governor Perdue (Republican pick up)
North Dakota: Drew Wrigley defeats the Democratic candidate. (Republican hold)
West Virginia: Earl Ray Tobin defeats the Republican candidate (Democratic hold)



Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 04, 2011, 01:42:32 PM
January 2013

President Obama is inaugurated for his second term. His second term begins with some major cabinet shake-ups.

Chief of Staff
Tom Daschle

Department of State
Secretary William B. Richardson

Department of the Treasury
Secretary Timothy Geithner

 
Department of Defense
Secretary Charles Hagel
 
Department of Justice
Attorney General Eric H. Holder, Jr.

 
Department of the Interior
Secretary Kenneth L. Salazar

 
Department of Agriculture
Secretary Thomas J. Vilsack

 
Department of Commerce
Secretary Olympia Snowe

 
Department of Labor
Secretary Hilda L. Solis

 
Department of Health and Human Services
Secretary Deval Patrick

 
Department of Housing and Urban Development
Secretary Shaun L.S. Donovan

 
Department of Transportation
Secretary Jim Oberstar

 
Department of Energy
Secretary Arnold Schwarzenegger

 
Department of Education
Secretary Arne Duncan

 
Department of Veterans Affairs
Secretary Max Cleveland


Department of Homeland Security
Secretary Tim Roemer


No major opposition to any of the nominees.

February 2012

With more Democrats in Congress, Obama gives it a second try at his deficit proposal and this time it is passed, after some changes. The bill makes fixes in Medicaid, Medicare and Social Security that would reduce the deficit. The Administration also agrees to support legislation that would deal with tort reform that has bipartisan support in the Senate.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 04, 2011, 02:53:14 PM
April 2013

Yemen installs an operative of Al-Qaeda Yemen as its leader. President Obama calls for the leader to step down and says that the United States will not work with a leader that is openly a member of al-Qaeda.

Governor Eliot Spitzer is reportedly mulling a Presidential bid and makes a stop to talk about the economy in New Hampshire. The Governors popularity has dropped in New York after a battle with public unions over collective bargaining rights. Spitzer had taken away some, but not all, of these rights in the most recent state budget.

May 2013

The United Nations Security Council votes to implement severe sanctions on Yemen.


July 2013

 Another provision of Obamacare goes into effect, the implementation of the Consumer Operated and Oriented Plan. Health & Human Services Secretary Deval Patrick oversees this process.

President Obama's approval is at 53%
Unemployment is at 7.0%

September 2013

The United Nations votes in the affirmative on even more sanctions on Yemen which seem increasingly ineffective.

November 2013

Republican Governor Chris Christie wins a second term as Governor defeating Democrat State Senate Leader Barbara Buono.

Democrat Mark Herrings wins the race for Governor of Virginia defeating Lt. Gov Bill Bolling.

January 2014

Unemployment goes up from 7.0% to 7.1% --as a result the stock market drops unexpectedly and the President's approval drops to 40% virtually overnight. Americans are still sensitive about a double dip recession. The President calls the increase a "blip in the path to recovery."

Possible Republican Contender for the Presidency Mark Kirk retorts that "a hundred thousand jobs is not a blip to the people that just lost them."

March 2014

Senator John McCain hits the Obama Administration for not taking action on Yemen and letting the "ineffective" United Nations take the lead role.

President Obama's approval is around 40% still, unemployment has gone back down to 7.0%

Note By 2014 15,000 troops are left in Iraq and 5,000 Coalition forces are left in Afghanistan. Qaddafi is no longer in power in Libya but it is in no way a democracy.


July 8, 2014

Vice President Joseph R. Biden is hospitalized with heart problems. President Obama visits him in the hospital and wishes for him a speedy recovery.

July 15, 2014

After a week in the hospital Vice President Biden leaves saying that he "ate one too many cheeseburgers in my life." Doctors say publicly that he is expected to be fine.

September 14, 2014

Vice President Joseph R. Biden dies at the age of 72 due to a heart attack midflight from Washington DC to a trip to Portland, Oregon.

The Vice President is given a state funeral in the following days.

()
President Obama gives an emotional speech about "the boy from Scranton" at the Vice President's funeral.

Separately, he says he will appoint a new Vice President in the coming weeks.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 04, 2011, 03:39:03 PM
October 1, 2014

President Obama announces that he will have selected a new Vice President for Congress to confirm by the end of the month. With the midterm elections coming around he says "he doesn't anticipate the new Vice President will be confirmed until after the midterm elections."

October 3, 2014

The New York Times reportedly has gotten its hands on a short list for Vice Presidents...and they have quoted a senior aide saying "The President is deciding if he wants to appoint someone who he wants to succeed him or not..."

Short List:

Former Secretary of State Hillary R. Clinton of New York
Governor Eliot Spitzer of New York
Health & Human Services Secretary Deval Patrick of Massachusetts
Senator Tim Kaine of Virginia
Former Senator Russ Feingold of Wisconsin
Undersecretary for Defense Michèle Flournoy
Former Governor Kathleen Sebelius


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 04, 2011, 03:46:28 PM
October 28, 2014

President Obama announces his pick for the next Vice President of the United States...

()

Former Governor of Kansas and former Secretary of Health & Human Services Kathleen Sebelius. Pundits say this pick will be easily approved by the Senate and will most definitely be approved by at least a majority in the House since pundits assume Democrats will vote in-bloc and the Kansas delegation of 4 Republicans will vote with the Democrats, leaving a deficit of one vote which pundits believe the President can easily find.

Pundits also note that this pick shows how concerned the President is with the implementation of his new health care law. Just a note that Sebelius chose to serve only 4 years as Secretary of HHS. The President says she did an amazing job.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: Niemeyerite on May 04, 2011, 03:51:38 PM
Sebelius? Really? I was hoping for a Obama/Sebelius ticket in 2008 =) !!!


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 05, 2011, 10:16:04 AM
November 2014 Election Results

President Obama's approval is in the low 50's, unemployment hovers around 7%

Alaksa: Mark Begich wins a second term (Democratic hold)
Louisiana: Democrat incumbent Mary Landrieu is defeated by  Republican Lt. Governor John Dardenne (Republican pick up)
Massachusetts: John Kerry wins reelection (Democratic hold)
Arkansas: Mark Pryor wins reelection (Democratic hold)
Colorado: Mark Udall wins reelection (Democratic hold)
Delaware: Chris Coons wins reelection (Democratic hold)
Iowa: Former Governor Chet Culver is defeated by Republican Tom Latham (Republican pick up Tom Harkin retired)
Illinois: Dick Durbin wins reelection (Democratic hold)
Michigan: Carl Levin retires and former Governor Jennifer Granholm wins his Senate seat (Democratic hold)
Minnesota: Al Franken wins reelection (Democratic hold)
Montana: Former Congressman Rick Hills wins reitirng Senator Max Baucus' seat (Republican pick up)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen wins reelection (Democratic hold)
New Jersey: Corey Booker wins election to the Senate. (Democratic hold)
New Mexico: Tom Udall wins reelection (Democratic hold)
North Carolina: Kay Hagan wins reelection (Democratic hold)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley wins reelection (Democratic hold)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed wins reelection (Democratic hold)
Virginia: Mark Warner wins reelection (Democratic hold)
South Dakota: Tim Johnson retires, Congresswoman Kristi Noem wins election to the Senate (Republican pick up)
West Virginia: Jay Rockefelle retires, Carte Goodwin wins election to his former seat (Democratic hold)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell wins reelection (Republican hold)
Alabama: Jeff Sessions wins reelection (Republican hold)
Georgia: Saxby Chambliss wins reelection (Republican hold)
Idaho: Republican Lt. Governor Brad Little wins election to the Senate (Republican hold)
Kansas: Republican Kansas Attorney General Derek Schmidt wins election to the Senate (Republican hold)
Maine: Susan Collins is defeated in the primary and decides not to run as an independent. Former Governor John Baldacci wins election to the Senate. (Democratic pick up)
Mississippi: That Cochran wins reelection (Republican hold)
Nebraska: Mike Johanns wins reelection (Republican hold)
South Carolina: After surviving a primary fight Lindsey Graham wins reelection (Republican hold)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander wins reelection (Republican hold)
Texas: John Cornyn wins reelection  (Republican hold)
Wyoming: Republican Colin Simpson wins election to the Senate (Republican hold)


 Senate 2015-2017 Composition:

Democrats: 51 (-3)
Republicans: 49 (+3)
Independents: 1

House of Representatives 2015-2017 Composition:

Republicans: 226 (+6)
Democrats: 209 (-6)



Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 05, 2011, 11:16:05 AM
November 2014 Post Midterms

Democrats lose seats in both houses of Congress but nothing nearly as close to as what happened in 2010.

Kathleen Sebelius is approved in the Senate by a 90-10 margin, while in the House she is approved by 339 - 96 vote margin. The new Vice President is sworn in on November 25th.

In an interview not long after her swearing in...

"Governor, will you seek the Democratic nomination for President?"
"I'm focused on the job at hand. I can't imagine thinking about what I'm going to do next right now.
"Will you run down the line?"
"Thats not something I want to even think about right now. I'm focused on helping the President implement and improve the health care law and keeping our country safe"


January 2015

23 months until the election. No candidates have announced yet.


Gubernatorial Election Results 2014:

Colorado: John Hickenlooper wins reelection (Democratic hold)
Kansas: Sam Brownback wins reelection (Republican hold)
Maine: LePage loses reelection to Congresswoman Chellie Pingree. (Democratic pick up)
Michigan: Rick Rnyder loses reelection in a rematch against Virgil Bernero (Democratic pick up)
New Mexico: Susana Martinez wins a second term (Republican hold)
New York: Attorney General Andrew Cuomo is elected (Democratic hold)
Oklahoa: Mary Fallin wins a second term (Republican hold)
Oregon: John Kitzhaber opts not to run for a fourth term and Attorney General John Kroger wins election (Democratic hold)
Pennsylvania: Tom Cortbett wins a second term (Republican hold)
Tennessee: Bill Haslam wins reelection (Republican hold)
Wisconsin: Scott Walker is defeated by Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin (Democratic pick up)
Wyoming: Matt Mead is reelected (Republican hold)
California: Gavin Newsom wins election succeeding retiring Governor Brown (Democratic hold)
Connecticut: Dan Malloy is reelected (Democratic hold)
Hawaii: Mufi Mannemann succeeds Neil Abercrombie as Governor (Democratic hold)
Rhode Island: Lincoln Chafee wins a second term as a independent. (Independent hold)
South Carolina: Nikki Haley wins  a second term (Republican hold)
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard wins a second term (Republican hold)
Vermont: Peter Shumlins wins another term (Democratic hold)
Florida: Rick Scott wins reelection (Republican hold)
Nevada: Brian Sandoval wins reelection (Republican hold)
Arkansas: Rick Crawford wins election (Republican pick up)
Illinois: Peter Roskam is elected (Republican pick up)
Iowa: Kim Reynolds is elected (Republican hold)
Maryland: Lt. Governor Anthony Brown is elected (Democratic hold)
Massachusetts: Incumbent Governor Timothy Murray is defeated by  Republican Senator Scott Brown (Republican pick up)
New Hampshire: Ovide Lamontagne is elected (Republican pick up)
Ohio: John Kasich is defeated by Democratic Congressman Tim Ryan (Democratic pick up)
Alaska: Sean Parnell is reelected (Republican hold)
Arizona: Phil Gordon is elected (Democratic pick up)
Idaho: Republican hold
Utah: Republican hold
Nebraska: David Heineman wins reelection (Republican hold)
Texas: Defeated Former Congressman Chet Edwards makes a dramatic comeback and wins the election for Governor of Texas (Democratic pick up)


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 05, 2011, 01:22:45 PM
February 2015

Progress in the House of Representatives becomes increasingly stagnant with an all time partisan high. The last major deal to go through was the debt package and since then the House and Senate haven't been able to agree on much. Pundits believe a government shutdown is likely in the near future.

Florida Senator Marco Rubio states that he will notrun for President in 2016.

Nevada Senator Catherine Masto announces that she will seek the Democratic nomination.

March 2015

Former Democratic Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer forms an exploratory committee to run for President.

Senator Mark Kirk, Republican Vice Presidential nominee in 2012, forms an exploratory committee to run for President.

Congress avoids shutting down the government by using a short term continuing resolution, Obama pledges to veto a second one.

April 2015

Senator John McCain dies in his home in Arizona on the same day as President Obama vetoes the next continuing resolution. Governor Phil Gordon says he will appoint a Republican to finish out McCain's term.

Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal says that he is considering a run and will decide soon.

Former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson says that he will not seek the Republican nomination. Mitt Romney and Donald Trump say they will not be candidates in 2016.

The US Federal Government shuts down for two days until a compromise is reached.

Virginia Senator Mark Warner forms a Presidential exploratory committee.

Senator Rand Paul forms a Presidential exploratory committee.

Secretary of Health & Human Services Deval Patrick resigns this month. President Obama nominates his Chief of Staff Tom Daschle to be the next Secretary who is quickly approved in the Senate (having paid his back taxes).

South Carolina Republican Governor Nikki Haley announces that she will seek the Republican Presidential nomination.

****Flashback****

June 2011

Ruth Bader Ginsburg announces she will step down from the Supreme Court. The President's nominee to replace Ginsburg, Federal Judge Diane Wood, is approved in August 2011.

***Back to the future***

May 2015


At the ripe old age of 79, Justice Antonin Scalia passes away. The President has a rare moment where he can alter the balance of the Court. Republicans call for a conservative to replace the late-Justice, but Democrats call for the President to appoint a true liberal to alter the Court. President Obama nominates Denny Chin to fill the seat. Chin's foreign birth comes up in the confirmation hearings which results in a drop of Congress' approval. After a month of hearings, Denny Chen is confirmed 54-46 --with Mark Kirk and Lindsey Grahmn crossing over.

Former Democratic New York Governor Eliot Spitzer forms an exploratory committee for President.

Former Democratic Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley forms an exploratory committee for President.

June 2015

Republican Governor of New Jersey Chris Christie forms an exploratory committee for President.

South Dakota Senator Kristi Noem announces that she will seek the Republican nomination.

Former Secretary of Health & Human Services and former Governor of Massachusetts Deval Patrick announces his exploratory committee for President.

Former Republican Governor of Virginia Bob McDonnell forms an exploratory committee for President.

President Obama orders the predator-drone bombing of several al-Qaeda targets in Yemen calling them "credible threats to free countries."

July 2015

Republican New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez  forms an exploratory committee for President.

Vice President Kathleen Sebelius says she is not yet ready to announce her intentions.




Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 05, 2011, 02:34:09 PM
November 2015 National Polling:


Democratic Primary:

Vice President Kathleen Sebelius   18%

Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel   15%
New York Governor Eliot Spitzer   14%
Virginia Senator Mark Warner   12%
Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley   11%
Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick   10%
Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer   8%
Nevada Senator Catherine Masto   2%
Undecided: 10%

Republican Primary:

Illinois Senator Mark Kirk   25%
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie   15%
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul   12%
Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell   9%
South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley   8%
New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez   6%
South Dakota Senator Kristi Noem   4%


Some Head-To-Head Match Ups:

Sebelius: 38%
Kirk:  42%
Undecided: 20%

Sebelius: 40%
Christie: 45%
Undecided: 15%

Emanuel: 45%
Kirk: 38%

Martinez: 23%
Masto: 15%
Undecided: 62%


















Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 06, 2011, 11:09:28 AM
February 2015

Christmas and January go by with little substantial national news other than the President's State of the Union Address.

Iowa Caucus Results:

Democratic Party:

()
Former Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer wins the Democratic Iowa Caucus with 22.3% of the vote. Schweitzer calls the day a victory for "all of those who support common sense solutions"

Vice President Kathleen Sebelius: 19.6%
Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel: 17.5%
New York Governor Eliot Spitzer: 13.9%
Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley: 10.1%
Virginia Senator Mark Warner: 7.2%
Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick: 5.5%
Nevada Senator Catherine Masto: 4.0%

Republican Caucus Results:

()

South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley steals the show defeating frontrunner Mark Kirk with 22.2% of the vote. Haley cries out that she "is the change the Republican Party needs in this age."
Illinois Senator Mark Kirk: 21.98%
New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez: 12.62%
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie: 12.27%
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul: 11.66%
Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell: 10.7%
South Dakota Senator Kristi Noem: 8.56%


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 06, 2011, 11:43:45 AM
After the caucuses South Dakota Senator Kristi Noem drops out endorsing Nikki Haley.

New Hampshire Primary Results:

Democratic Party:


()

New York Governor Eliot Spitzer runs away with the New Hampshire primary with 25.11% of the vote.
Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley dubs himself the next "comeback kid" garnering 21.3% of the vote.
Vice President Kathleen Sebelius pulls in third with 21.29% of the vote barely losing to O'Malley
Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick: 10.2% of the vote
Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel: 10.1%
Virginia Senator Mark Warner: 4.5%
Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer, who had campaigned little in New Hampshire, comes away with 5.3% of the vote even though having won the Iowa caucus.


Republican Primary Results:

()

Illinois Senator Mark Kirk reclaims his place as the frontrunner with 27.8% of the vote
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie: 25.4%
South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley: 20.2%
New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez: 16.3%
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul: 8%
Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell: 2.3%

Pundits:

This is a big win for Mark Kirk tonight who has been seen as the front-runner --although he still has formidable opponents. I think we can see the field shrink considerably in the next few days for Republicans and Democrats...




Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on May 06, 2011, 12:27:21 PM
Now it gets interesting.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 06, 2011, 01:39:06 PM
Mid February 2016

Following the New Hampshire Primary Democrats Mark Warner, Deval Patrick and Rahm Emanuel all leave the race. Warner endorses Schweitzer while Patrick endorses Spitzer. Emanuel opts not to endorse anyone and says "we have a lot of great candidates and I plan to support the Democratic nominee." Vice President Sebelius, who has not won a race yet, states she plans to stay in the race because she can win states like Illinois and California.  

On the Republican side, Governor Bob McDonnell who was once seen as a rising star drops out having failed to gain traction with the Republican electorate. Senator Rand Paul suspends his campaign blaming the media for his failure to gain traction with the electorate.

A group of "Minute Men" on the border between Texas and Mexico shoot and kill three Mexicans who were illegally crossing the border. They are arrested and charged with murder, Mexico demands that these people be extradited and persecuted in Mexico. Secretary of State Bill Richardson and Attorney General Eric Holder condemn the murder but say that "the US judiciary system is perfectly able to handle this."

()

Not long after, the President --who has made no progress on immigration, gets the question at a press conference from reporter who said that former Governors Rick Perry and Jan Brewer have both stated something on the level of  that "The President could do a lot more to help prevent illegal immigration. Its as if the problem doesn't exist to him."

The President responds that he's always been aware of the problem but that building a wall or putting more people there won't solve it. He does mention that "deporting over 2 million illegals just isn't feasible."

Members from both parties in Congress float their own immigration bills that they think would solve the problem. One of the most popular bills in the Senate is a Democratic bill sponsored by Senator Tom Udall which would create a pathway to citizenship for illegals and also includes the DREAM Act.

The bill has some bipartisan support with a handful of Republican Senators quietly supporting it because it creates harsher punishment for any illegal that fails to register with the government in the time frame or who illegally enters the country after the time frame --however; the problem lies in the House where House Republicans and some conservative Democrats oppose the bill.

President Obama, although still not fully engaged in the issue, is rumored to support the bill. As the bill is debated in Congress, pro and anti-immigration rallies occur in major cities around the United States.

Soon enough, the Nevada Caucus results come in...

Democratic Primary:

()

Governor Eliot Spitzer claims his second victory winning 34% of the vote in Nevada.
Governor O'Malley comes in second with 23.45%
Vice President Sebelius comes in third with 23.44%
Senator Catherine Masto comes in fourth defeating Brian Schweitzer for fourth place with 10% of the vote
Governor Brian Schweitzer brings in the rear with 9% of the vote.

Governor Schweitzer in a speech following the results says "I thank everyone who has supported me from Montana to Iowa and to here in Nevada --and to Senator Warner for his kind endorsement --but today I must quit the race for the Democratic nomination. The people have made it clear that now is not my time. We need to bring new ideas into Washington, we can't have the same people changing positions, moving around and acting as if they're new. Therefore I am throwing my support behind Governor O'Malley..."


Republican Primary:

()

Susana Martinez walks away with a surprise victory in Nevada garnering 31.76% of the vote.

Governor Nikki Haley comes in second, besting Mark Kirk, with 30.43% of the vote.
Senator Mark Kirk - 24.51%
Governor Chris Christie - 13.30%

In a quiet statement thanking his supporters, Governor Christie withdraws from the race endorsing Senator Mark Kirk.




Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on May 06, 2011, 01:47:29 PM
I would've expected the two westerners of Schweitzer and Sebelius to do decently in Nevada.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 06, 2011, 02:39:28 PM
During the South Carolina debates there is a lot of focus around Susana Martinez for a few reasons including that she is latina, the Minutemen Situation in Texas, the involvement of Latino Secretary of State Bill Richardson as well as also being Martinez's predecessor. One of the questions goes to her about if she supports Tom Udall's proposal to which she responds "This is a hard issue, but I do agree with the President here --it is impossible for us to deport over 2 million illegal immigrants. I do like the idea of Senator Udall's bill --if I were in Congress I would certainly be working with him on this issue and I hope Congress can come to an agreement. We need leadership on this issue and the President, even though he's made a comment here or there, has not given any leadership on this in the past six years. I can pledge to you that immigration policy will be at the forefront of my agenda as President."

After being excluded from the Democratic debates, Senator Catherine Masto drops out of the race.


South Carolina Results:

*Note - Senator Kirk did not campaign in Governor Haley's home state but Martinez did.

Republican:

()

Nikki Haley wins her home state with 57.2% of the vote
Susana Martinez walks away with 27.5% of the vote
Mark Kirk secures 15.3% of the vote


Democratic:

()

Governor Martin O'Malley wins South Carolina with 40.1% of the vote defeating Vice President Sebelius for a third time in a row.
Vice President Sebelius: 35.3%
Governor Spitzer: 24.59%


Democratic Primary Map:

(
)

Former NY Gov Eliot Spitzer (Blue): 2 States, 30 Delegates
Former MD Gov Martin O'Malley (Red): 1 State, 32 Delegates
VP Kathleen Sebelius (N/A): 45 Delegates
MT Gov Brian Schweitzer (N/A - Out): 17 Delegates
Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel (N/A-Out) 13 Delegates


David Gergen: The Democratic primary is in shambles right now in my opinion. We have Governor Spitzer who most people see as the frontrunner right now having won 2 states but he's losing to O'Malley and Sebelius in the delegate count --which to be honest, is the only thing that counts. On the other hand, Sebelius has had a very poor showing --the Vice Presidency has not helped her win any states but she does lead in delegates due to poor showings for O'Malley and Spitzer in Iowa.

Republican Primary Map:


(
)

SC Gov Nikki Haley (Red): 2 States, 64 Delegates
IL Sen Mark Kirk (Blue): 1 State, 43 Delegates
NM Gov Susana Martinez (Green): 1 State, 29 Delegates
NJ Gov Chris Christie (N/A - Out) - 7 Delegates

Pundits:

David Gergen: On the other side, the Republicans seem to slowly be rallying behind Nikki Haley --although its a big question if she can win on Super Tuesday. Senator Kirk still has more name recognition than she does but his unfavorables are much higher. I think Martinez, if she gives another great debate performance, could definitely be on the minds of voters.




Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 06, 2011, 03:14:50 PM
With Super Tuesday both parties' candidates have one last debate before 24 primaries...

Vice President Sebelius is called the "ultimate Washington insider" by Governor O'Malley saying that her Administration would be an affirmation of the status quo. Spitzer hits Sebelius for mismanaging the fight for health care reform and "allowing Republicans to control the debate." Spitzer also hits O'Malley for not doing more to improve schools. Post-debate polls show that Spitzer won the debate.

On the Republican side Susana Martinez hits her high note again talking about immigration  while Mark Kirk gets hit with accusations that reflected his first Senate campaign when he took down Alexi Giannoulias. Nikki Haley, unlike her other debate performances, mostly stays out of the back-and-forth between Martinez and Kirk over immigration. Pundits said that Haley "just seemed off" and that her performance in earlier debates had been superb --and usually you'd see both candidates attacking Haley because she's the frontrunner --but they're not, they're attacking each other..."

SOME Super Tuesday Results:



New York:
Democrats: Spitzer (62%), Sebelius (21%), O'Malley (17%)
Republicans: Kirk (Winner Take All)



California:
Democrats: Spitzer (43%), O'Malley (30%), Sebelius (27%)
Republicans: Haley (35%), Martinez (33%), Kirk (32%)


New Jersey:
Democrats:: Spitzer (56%), O'Malley (23%), Sebelius (21%)
Republicans: Martinez (Winnter Take All) - .025% margin over Kirk


Illinois:

Democrats: Spitzer (39%), O'Malley (36%), Sebelius (25%)
Republicans: Kirk (56%), Haley (23%), Martinez (21%)



Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on May 06, 2011, 04:14:06 PM
Go Schweitzer! On the Republican side, I'm not sure who to root for.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 09, 2011, 10:16:17 AM
Super Tuesday Results Continued

Massachusetts:

D: Spitzer (40%), O'Malley (34%), Sebelius (26%)
R: Kirk (43%), Martinez (30%), Haley (27%)

Georgia:

D: O'Malley (38%), Sebelius (35%), Spitzer (25%)
R: Martinez (34%), Haley (33%), Kirk (33%)

Florida:

D: Spitzer (43%), O'Malley (35%), Sebelius (22%)
R: Martinez (Winner Take All)


Missouri:

D: Sebelius (40%), O'Malley (36%), Spitzer (24%)
R: Haley (Winner Take All)


Tennessee:

D: Sebelius (42%), O'Malley (40%), Spitzer (18%)
R: Haley (50%), Kirk (35%), Martinez (15%)

Colorado

D: Spitzer (37%), Sebelius (35%), O'Malley (28%)
R: Martinez (35%), Kirk (33%), Haley (32%)

Arizona:

D: Spitzer (42%), O'Malley (35%), Sebelius (23%)
R:  Martinez (Winner Take All)

Wyoming:

D: Sebelius (38%), O'Malley (37%), Spitzer (25%)
R: Haley (45%), Kirk (38%), Martinez (17%)


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 09, 2011, 10:29:15 AM
Alabama:

D: O'Malley (42%), Sebelius (35%), Spitzer (18%)
R: Haley (53%), Kirk (31%), Martinez (16%)

Michigan:

D: Spitzer (45%), O'Malley (34%), Sebelius (21%)
R: Kirk (43%), Haley (38%), Martinez (19%)

Connecticut:

D:Spitzer (57%), Sebelius (26%),  O'Malley (17%)
R: Kirk (Winner Take All)

Arkansas:

D: Sebelius (46%), O'Malley (43%), Spitzer (11%)*
R: Haley (47%), Kirk (36%), Martinez (17%)
*Spitzer does not meet criteria (15%) for delegates in Arkansas

Oklahoma:

D: Sebelius (42%), O'Malley (37%), Spitzer (21%)
R: Haley (44%), Kirk (34%), Martinez (22%)

Kansas:

D: Sebelius (65%), O'Malley (19%), Spitzer (16%)
R:  Haley (40%), Kirk (35%), Martinez (25%)


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: Pingvin on May 09, 2011, 10:29:51 AM
GO HALEY!


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 09, 2011, 10:47:37 AM
New Mexico:

D: Spitzer (38%), O'Malley (32%), Sebelius (30%)
R: Martinez (62%), Kirk (23%), Haley (15%)

Utah:

D: O'Malley (41%), Sebelius (37%), Spitzer (21%)
R:  Haley (Winner Take All)

Delaware:

D: O'Malley (56%), Spitzer (30%), Sebelius (14%)*
R: Kirk (Winner Take All)

*Sebelius narrowly misses the delegate threshold

North Dakota:

D: O'Malley (42%), Spitzer (40%), Sebelius (18%)
R: Martinez (36%), Kirk (34%), Haley (30%)

Idaho:

D: Sebelius (40%), O'Malley (36%), Spitzer (24%)
R: Kirk (43%), Haley (42%), Martinez (15%)

Alaska:

D: Sebelius (45%), Spitzer (40%), O'Malley (15%)
R: Kirk (60%), Haley (30%), Martinez (10%)*
*Martinez does not meet delegate threshold

American Samoa:

D: Spitzer
R: Kirk

West Virginia:

D:  O'Malley (38%), Sebelius (32%), Spitzer (30%)
R: Haley (50%), Kirk (35%), Martinez (15%


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 09, 2011, 11:07:22 AM
Post-Super Tuesday Results:

Democratic Primaries:


(
)

Former NY Gov Eliot Spitzer (Blue): 847 Delegates, 14 States
Former MD Gov Martin O'Malley (Red): 668 Delegates, 6 States
VP Kathleen Sebelius (Green): 625 Delegates, 9 States
Former MT Gov Brian Schweitzer (Yellow): 20 Delegates, 1 State
Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel: 15 Delegates


Pundits: Having won every major contest it is clear that Governor Spitzer is the front runner --especially with the opposition divided between two candidates who split victories in the states that Governor Spitzer was weak in.



(
)

SC Gov Nikki Haley (Red): 12 States, 460 Delegates
IL Sen Mark Kirk (Blue): 10 States, 507 Delegates
NM Gov Susana Martinez (Green): 9 States, 485 Delegates
NJ Gov Chris Christie (N/A - Out) - 7 Delegates

Pundits: National polls put Martinez behind both Senator Kirk and Governor Haley but she has proved to be the spoiler tonight winning a plurality of the vote in 8 states including New Jersey. Exit polls show that Martinez been out of the race the state would have heavily gone in favor of Senator Mark Kirk just as New York did. We see the opposite in Florida where the state would have gone for Haley without Martinez in the race.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 09, 2011, 11:17:17 AM
After the polls close, it is confirmed that Vice President's schedule has been cleared for the next day so she can return to the White House at the bequest of President Obama


Governor Martinez calls the night "a great victory for the direction the Republican Party and America needs to go in" and vows to stay in the race (as do Haley and Kirk).

National Polling:

Democratic Primary:


Spitzer: 53%
O'Malley: 27%
Sebelius: 20%

Republican Primary:

Haley: 42%
Kirk: 38%
Martinez: 20%

Head-To-Head Match Ups:

Spitzer: 44%
Haley: 40%

Spitzer: 41%
Kirk: 41%

Spitzer: 45%
Martinez: 30%

O'Malley: 40%
Haley: 43%

O'Malley: 39%
Kirk: 44%

O'Malley: 36%
Martinez: 30%

Sebelius: 39%
Haley: 43%

Sebelius: 40%
Kirk: 45%

Sebelius: 38%
Martinez: 32%


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 09, 2011, 12:26:16 PM
()

At a press conference in Washington DC, Vice President Kathleen Sebelius announces that she will stay in the race.

February 9th Primaries:

Democrats: Governor Spitzer manages to close the gap between him and the other two candidates in Southern primaries picking up at least 30% of the vote in Louisiana and Nebraska. Spitzer came in second place in each of those states while O'Malley won Louisiana and Sebelius won Nebraska. Spitzer walked home with Washington State and Maine.

Republicans: Martinez wins 22% of the vote in Washington State, enough to propel Senator Kirk to a win there while Haley takes home Louisiana. Martinez is in third after these primaries but vows to stay in the race.

February 12th Primaries:

Democrats: Martin O'Malley takes home Maryland and Virginia while Governor Spitzer takes DC and Democrats Abroad. Governor Sebelius comes in third in all of these contests and does not meet delegate requirements in MD, VA or Democrats abroad.

After the February 12th primaries, Vice President Sebelius suspends her Presidential campaign in a low-key press conference after devastating losses and dropping in national polls. The Vice President has 685 delegates which is 19% of the total pledged delegates.

Republicans: Martinez, still considered the spoiler in the race, takes home DC. Haley defeats Kirk in Maryland while they switch places in Virginia. Still in third place, and national polls heavily against Martinez even though most states have voted, Martinez keeps going.

February 19

Governor Spitzer takes home Hawaii and Wisconsin. Martinez wins Hawaii for the Republicans and Kirk wins Wisconsin.

February 20, 2015

()

Governor Martin O'Malley suspends his campaign for President and endorses Governor Eliot Spitzer saying "it is time for our party to unite behind the Democratic nominee, Eliot Spitzer...

Pundits say that even if O'Malley won 60% of the remaining delegates he would not have surpassed Spitzer.

Final Democratic Primary Map:

(
)

Presumptive Nominee Former NY Gov Eliot Spitzer (Blue): 1,881 Delegates, 31 States
Former MD Gov Martin O'Malley (Red-Out): 954 Delegates, 8 States & DC
VP Kathleen Sebelius (Green-Out): 685 Delegates, 10 States
Former MT Gov Brian Schweitzer (Yellow-Out): 20 Delegates, 1 State
Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel (Out): 15 Delegates


()



Current (Feb 20, 2015) Republican Primary Map:

(
)

SC Gov Nikki Haley (Red): 14 States, 573 Delegates
IL Sen Mark Kirk (Blue): 14 States, 566 Delegates
NM Gov Susana Martinez (Green): 10 States & DC, 541 Delegates
NJ Gov Chris Christie (N/A - Out) - 7 Delegates

**Martinez is clearly not winning the popular vote, Haley and Kirk both claim to be winning it


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 09, 2011, 01:10:27 PM
The Udall-Coburn Immigration Bill goes to the floor of the Senate and passes 63-35 with 2 abstaining. Senator Mark Kirk votes in favor of the bill calling it a "common sense solution to a complicated problem" while Governor Haley condemns the passage of the bill saying it is allowing perpetrators to go unpunished for breaking the law. It will now go to the House of Representatives where Speaker John Boehner has said he will bring it to the floor but has not said if he supports the bill or not. Governor Martinez, like Senator Kirk, supports the bill.

Presumptive Democratic Nominee Eliot Spitzer also supports the bill.

President Obama's approval is around 43%, unemployment is around 6.8%.

March 4, 2015



The Wall Street Journal releases a  potential short-list Spitzer's pick for VP...

Former Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley
New Mexico Senator Martin Heinrich
Arizona Senator Rodney Glassman
North Carolina Senator Kay Hagan
Wisconsin Governor Tammy Baldwin
California Governor Gavin Newsom


Republican Primaries:

Martinez wins in Puerto Rico --no surprise for anyone however she does manage to pull off a coup d'etat in Texas narrowly defeating Mark Kirk.
Kirk has a small victory in Ohio narrowly defeating Haley and he also carries Rhode Island and Vermont...

(
)

SC Gov Nikki Haley (Red): 14 States, 658 Delegates
IL Sen Mark Kirk (Blue): 17 States, 672 Delegates
NM Gov Susana Martinez (Green): 11 States & DC, PR, 632 Delegates
NJ Gov Chris Christie (N/A - Out) - 7 Delegates


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 09, 2011, 01:56:44 PM
April 2016

President Obama's approval drops to 35% the lowest of his Presidency as his immigration bill fails to pass the House of Representatives 246-189 not along party lines but with all "Tea Party" Republicans joining conservative Democrats.

On April 22 Nikki Haley wins Pennsylvania by a 15 point margin. Going into May, Haley wins Indiana, North Carolina, Nebraska, Kentucky and South Dakota. Kirk wins Oregon and comes in second in all these races...

It is clear by the end of May that the Republican nomination will be decided in July at convention...


Republican Primary Full Results:

(
)

SC Gov Nikki Haley (Red): 16 States, 812 Delegates, 37.5% popular vote
IL Sen Mark Kirk (Blue): 22 States, 792 Delegates, 39.5% popular vote
NM Gov Susana Martinez (Green): 10 States & DC, 690 Delegates, 21.5% popular vote
NJ Gov Chris Christie (N/A - Out) - 7 Delegates
Other - 1.5% popular vote



President Obama vows to get an immigration package through as he brings Congressional leaders together to work out a compromise between the House and Senate.


May 30th 2016

()
Governor Eliot Spitzer announces that Nevada Senator Catherine Cortez Masto will be his running mate in 2016.

The move is applauded by Hispanic groups over the United States --she will be the first Hispanic nominee on a major party ticket for President.

Gallup: Do you approve of Governor Spitzer's pick of Senator Catherine Cortez Masto for Vice President?
Yes: 43%
No: 25%
Undecided/Unsure: 32%

Gallup: Is Senator Catherine Cortez Mastro qualified to be President?
Yes: 35%
No: 33%
Undecided/unsure: 32%

Gallup: Is...qualified to be President?

Spitzer:
Yes: 62%
No: 27%
Unsure: 11%

Kirk:
Yes: 58%
No: 20%
Unsure: 22%

Hayley:
Yes: 45%
No: 35%
Unsure: 20%

Martinez:
Yes: 27%
No: 30%
Unsure: 43%


 



Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 09, 2011, 02:37:08 PM
June 2016

Republicans are in disarray as they realize they have no candidate going into the convention. Under new RNC rules, delegates must stay locked for the first two rounds of voting --every round after they are free to move to another candidate if desired. The three campaigns try to work together to form a coherent Convention while the Spitzer/Masto ticket and surrogates begin to campaign around the country.

Former President George W. Bush in a brief interaction with a reporter says he voted for Nikki Haley. Former President George H.W Bush says he voted for Mark Kirk asked the same question.


July 2016

The Republican Convention begins in Sacramento, California on Day 1 Round 1 and 2 of voting take place with the results of both rounds being the same.

Haley: 812 delegates
Kirk: 792 delegates
Martinez: 690 delegates

That night Senator Kirk is informed that the altered Udall-Coburn Immigration bill will come up for vote again the next day and his presence is requested in Washington DC.

Day 2

Right before the start of Round 3 of voting it is revealed that Senator Kirk has decided not to return to Washington DC and that the bill is in danger of failing for a second time.

Round 3:

Haley: 799
Kirk: 792
Martinez: 715

Some of Haley's and Kirk's delegates switch to Martinez for the first round of voting that delegates are free to vote for whoever.

Round 4:

Haley: 854
Kirk: 425
Martinez: 1,015

Haley and Martinez's numbers go up drastically as word gets around about the possible failure of the Udall-Coburn bill and Senator Kirk's decision to stay in California. Martinez gets on stage and tries to rally her supporters and calls for the passage of the bill.

Round 5:

Haley: 1,032
Kirk: 225
Martinez: 1,037

Martinez's increase begins to slow down as Haley comes back from being down.

The Udall-Coburn bill gets filibustered on the floor of the Senate right before the vote.

Day 3:

Round 6:

Haley: 1,116
Martinez: 1,121
Kirk: 57

Mark Kirk tells his remaining delegates to vote for someone else and returns to Washington DC seeing no viable chance of winning.

The Udall-Coburn bill comes up for a vote when Kirk arrives and passes 66-33-1. It goes onto the House of Representatives.

Round 7:

Martinez: 1,200
Haley: 1,094


()

After three days and seven rounds of voting New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez, who only received 22% of the popular vote in the Republican primaries, wins the Republican nomination at the Republican National Convention.

She will announce her Vice Presidential pick on the morning of the final day of the convention.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 09, 2011, 03:04:37 PM
Day 4 of the RNC:

Republican Nominee Governor Susana Martinez announces her choice for Vice President...
()

()

...Senator Marco Rubio of Florida who was elected in the Republican landslide in 2010 and is currently 45 years old.

The House of Representatives passes the Udall-Coburn Immigration Bill by a slim majority.



Post-RNC Polling:

Martinez/Rubio: 48%
Spitzer/Casto: 40%
Undecided: 12%


()

President Obama appears at a campaign stop with presumptive Democratic nominee Eliot Spitzer shortly after the RNC.

Unemployment: 6.6%
Obama Approval: 50% (jumped after passage of the Immigration bill)


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 09, 2011, 03:29:53 PM
August 2016

Both campaigns continue to campaign vigorously throughout the summer. It quickly becomes clear that having two Hispanics on the Republican ticket has changed the Electoral map and math quite a bit.

(
)

The DNC Convention kicks off in late August, fairly unventful but gets the job done.

()

Post-DNC Polling:

Spitzer/Masto: 50%
Martinez/Rubio: 42%
Undecided: 8%


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 10, 2011, 02:55:03 PM
September 2016

The first debate ensues...

Immigration: Governors Martinez and Spitzer were both in favor of President Obama's reform package but Governor Martinez states that she "would like to see some changes regarding how quickly we move on getting these people onto the path" because she firmly believes that the people who applied legally for citizenship should be given precedent. Governor Sptizer changes gears talking about how we have to help find ways to invest in Mexico so people there have jobs and how this could be a mutualistic relationship. Spitzer gets hit by Martinez for at one time proposing drivers licenses for illegals. CNN notes that Martinez idea's on immigration resonates better with voters during the debate.


The Economy: Martinez states that substantial reforms to Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security are neccessary and that the next President needs "guts" to take them on. Spitzer points out his record as Governor of New York finding ways of balancing the budget --Martinez hits him for raising taxes in New York but Spitzer goes on how he helped keep property taxes under control.
CNN notes that Martinez idea's on Social Security/Medicare/Medicaid resonates better with voters but Spitzer does better on the economy overall.

Crime/Drugs: Spitzer touts his record as the Sheriff of Wall Street, Martinez says his campaign is being fed by Wall Street --Spitzer counters that he "plays by the rules he is given" and would "like to see no use of corporate funds in the election process." Spitzer is in favor of legalzing marijuana for personal use with some restrictions --Martinez is not and favors repealing medical marijuana programs.

CNN notes that Spitzer's idea's on immigration resonates better with voters during the debate.

At the end of the day, voters say that Spitzer won the debate 45-40 with the rest undecided.

End of September Aggregate Polls:

Martinez/Rubio: 45%
Spitzer/Masto: 41%
Undecided: 14%



Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 10, 2011, 03:19:07 PM
September 11, 2016

President Obama invites Governor Andrew Cuomo of NY, former Governors Eliot Spitzer, George Pataki, Mario Cuomo and Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey to join him and former Presidents Bush and Clinton at Ground Zero to pay respect and to officially mark the opening of Freedom Tower 15 years after the World Trade Centers fell.

The project and completion had been delayed quite a few years due to bureaucracy and other problems.

()

President Obama Approval: 53%
Unemployment: 6.6%

Second Debate - Early October 2016

Foreign Policy --

Iraq - Both candidates agree that the downfall of Saddam was a good thing and that the remainder of troops should be brought home (40,000 are still present in a noncombat role).

Afghanistan - Spitzer pledges to keep some level of presence in Afghanistan but expresses the need to "refocus our priorities on places like Pakistan where Osama Bin Laden was found." Martinez is for suspending all aid to Pakistan and all countries that even remotely support terrorists which Spitzer is against saying "we need to help our allies stand up for themselves and not get pushed around by these thugs" Respondents are split on who's message resonates better.


Yemen - Martinez is in favor of increasing air strikes on the al-Qaeda stronghold and "using all our resources" to take down Yemen's leadership. Spitzer warns that her "wild west" attitude is not going to be taken seriously on the world stage and while he supports air strikes on Yemen he is concerned about losing the small and fragile coalition they have built around this cause.
Spitzer's message on Yemen resonates more with voters

China - Spitzer falls into the trap of "being professorial" and explaing a bit too deeply what economic policy he'd ensue on China while Martinez pulls a Donald Trump line of "they're ripping us off, and I'm going to stop them." Martinez's message resonates better but a majority have no opinion or are unsure.

Post-debate polls show that Martinez won this debate 39-35-26


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 12, 2011, 10:22:27 AM
November 1, 2016

National Polling:

Martinez/Rubio: 48%
Spitzer/Masto: 45%
Other: 1%
Undecided: 6%

New Mexico Polling:

Martinez/Rubio: 54%
Spitzer/Masto: 43%
Undecided: 3%

New York Polling:

Spitzer/Masto: 57%
Martinez/Rubio: 35%
Undecided: 8%


Gallup Final Prediction: Martinez (273-265)
Ramussen Final Prediction: Martinez (328-210)
PPP Final Prediction: Spitzer (300-238)
CNN Final Prediction: Martinez (293-245)
NYT Final Prediction: Spitzer (295-243)
Average: Martinez 275 - 263

Eve of the election:

President Obama Approval: 48%
President Obama Dispaproval: 40%
Unemployment Rate: 6.5%

()

Governor Spitzer talking to local businessmen.

()

Governor Martinez traveling between campaign stops.

()

Senator Rubio leaving an early voting station.

()

Senator Masto speaking with doctors.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 12, 2011, 10:43:07 AM
Election Results:

Poll Closings @ 7:00pm

Wolf Blitzer: Kentucky, Indiana, Virginia, Vermont, South Carolina, Georgia and most of Florida just closed their polls. We should be getting results in shortly. There are allegations of voter fraud coming out of West Virginia --the Secretary of State there has issued a statement saying they're doing a full and immediate investigation--but otherwise this is a great day to vote all around the country with little or no rain nationally and decent temperatures for November.

The first state to be called tonight, is Kentucky which has given its 8 Electoral Votes to Governor Spitzer. We can also call Georgia's 16 Electoral Votes for Governor Martinez. Now if you remember the last time Kentucky went Democratic was 1996 for President Bill Clinton.
This one isn't a surprise, we can call Vermont for Governor Spitzer. It seems that we cannot call South Carolina and Virginia just yet.
'

7:30pm - Ohio, West Virginia and North Carolina close.

Blitzer: Our exit polling data shows that North Carolina is going to be very close tonight, but we can call Ohio and West Virginia for Governor Spitzer. We are also now ready to call South Carolina for Governor Martinez.

8:00pm - Mississippi, Alabama, remainder of Florida, most of Texas, Oklahoma, most of Kansas, some of South Dakota, Missouri, Illinois, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, Connecticut, Massachusetts, rest of New Hampshire, and Maine close.

Blitzer: We can make a few more calls for the American people right now...Connecticut, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Illinois and Michigan all have gone in favor of Governor Spitzer.

We can also call Mississippi, Alabama, Florida and Oklahoma in favor of Governor Martinez.

Missouri, Tennessee, North Carolina, Virginia all remain too close to call right now.


(
)

Spitzer/Masto - 143 Electoral Votes
Martinez/Rubio - 76 Electoral Votes
Green = Polls closed, not called - 49 Electoral Votes


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 12, 2011, 10:58:18 AM
9:00pm

An even larger slew of states close with Arkansas, New York, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Louisiana, Nebraska, remainder of South Dakota, remainder of Kansas, remainder of North Dakota, remainder of Texas, Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Rhode Island and Wyoming.

Blitzer: We are ready to call New York, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Rhode Island for Governor Spitzer. Arkansas, Louisiana, Nebraska, South Dakota, Kansas, Texas, Arizona, New Mexico and Wyoming will go for Governor Martinez.

Carville: California has been close in polling but the last time it voted Republican was 1988. If Governor Spitzer wins California, which I think he will, he will only be 19 electoral votes short of the Presidency. If he takes home Oregon and Wisconsin at the same time, this election will be over.

Tucker Carlson (who apparently is now on CNN): I'm not sure James. Martinez has done a great job mobilizing the Hispanic vote and trying to win them over. This is the first Hispanic and female Presidential nominee of a major party --not to mention first Hispanic Vice Presidential nominee on both tickets. I think this certainly gives Martinez an advantage.

(
)

Spitzer/Masto: 196 EV
Martinez/Rubio: 158 EV
Not called - 72 EV


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 12, 2011, 11:10:19 AM
9:46pm:

Blitzer: We are now able to call a few more states -- with 80% of precincts reporting in Indiana we can call it for Governor Spitzer. This is the third election in a row Indiana has gone Democratic. At this time we can also call Colorado and North Dakota for Governor Martinez and Tennessee for Governor Spitzer.

Missouri, Virginia and North Carolina remain too close to call.


10:00pm:

Nevada, Utah, Iowa, some of Idaho and Montana close.

Blitzer: We can now call Utah and Montana for Governor Martinez. Iowa will go for Governor Spitzer.

11:00pm: Blitzer: I'm sorry to tell everyone that tonights election will go well into tomorrow from our best guesses. California is too close to call which is a very bad sign for Governor Spitzer. California, normally goes strongly Democratic, is too close to call. We can say that Idaho will go for Governor Martinez while Spitzer picks up Missouri and Virginia.

(
)

Spitzer/Masto: 250 Electoral Votes
Martinez/Rubio: 186 Electoral Votes
Not Called (Green): 102 Electoral Votes



Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 12, 2011, 11:24:17 AM
12:00am Wednesday November 9, 2016

Blitzer: In the past hour we have been able to call Hawaii, unusually, and Alaska for Governor Martinez. Oregon, Washington and California all remain close. We can now call Nevada for Governor Spitzer who's running mate is from the state...

1:00am

Oregon and Washington will both go to Governor Martinez in a rare Republican victory on the west coast. Both of these states last went Republican in 1984 for President Reagan.

2:00am

RETURNS:

CALIFORNIA:

PRECINCTS: 67%

SPITZER: 3,902,354
MARTINEZ: 3,901,355

TOTAL: 7,804,709


NORTH CAROLINA:
PRECINCTS: 89%


SPITZER: 1,705,438
MARTINEZ: 1,706,217

TOTAL: 3,411,655

Carville: If Governor Spitzer wins either state tonight then he will be the next President of the United States...Governor Martinez needs to win both California and North Carolina...


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 12, 2011, 11:39:56 AM
7am:

Blitzer: It is with great hesitancy we make this call --everyone here is surprised by this outcome but we can now say that Governor Susana Martinez will carry the state of California...we can also now say that if Martinez carries North Carolina it will be the fourth time in history where the winner of the popular vote has lost the Electoral College. That is correct, we can say that Governor Spitzer has won the popular vote tonight.

(
)

Martinez/Rubio - 267 Electoral Votes
Spitzer/Masto - 256 Electoral Votes


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: Niemeyerite on May 12, 2011, 12:00:47 PM
unlikely... but, anyways, good Election Night TL ;)


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 12, 2011, 12:39:35 PM
Governor Spitzer and Governor Martinez have both cancelled their public appearances today. Spitzer's campaign has released a statement saying "We thank the American people for their confidence and Governor Spitzer calls on Governor Martinez to get out of the race. There is no reason why the will of the American people should be ignored."


Governor Martinez vows to stay in the race saying "this is what the Founding Fathers designed to elect the President and I plan to abide by it."

11am:

North Carolina:
Precincts: 98%

Martinez: 1,896,301
Spitzer: 1,891,936

An automatic recount is likely to ensue...


November 8, 2016

The Presidential election of 2016 is still unsolved. The final count for North Carolina has Governor Spitzer in the lead but due to an automatic recount no one is calling the election yet.

Spitzer/Masto:  1,916,700
Martinez/Rubio:  1,916,023

The nation waits until December 1 when the results of the recount are announced...with 41 votes separating the candidates and the Presidency...

Spitzer/Masto:  1,916,242
Martinez/Rubio:  1,916,203

The win in North Carolina would bring Spitzer to 271 Electoral Votes --a majority in the Electoral College.

After a day, Governor Martinez states that  "although the results are disappointing, I will not challenge the will of the American people."

(
)


Governor Eliot L. Spirtzer/Senator Catherine C. Masto - 271 Electoral Votes, 51.49% Popular Vote; 67,420,491 votes.
Governor Susana Martinez/Senator Marco Rubio - 267 Electoral Votes, 47.5% Popular Vote; 62,209,945 votes.
Other - 1,309,443 votes (~1%)


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 12, 2011, 01:27:56 PM
Senate Results:

Hawaii: Daniel Inouye wins a 10th term. He is 92 years old. (Democratic hold)
California: Kamala D. Harris wins a Senate seat. (Democratic hold)
Colorado: Michael Bennet loses to former Lt. Governor Jane Norton (Republican pick up)
Connecticut: Richard Blumenthal retires after one term as Senator. Former Governor John G. Rowland wins the race to succeed him. (Republican pick up)
Maryland: Barbara Mikulski is re-elected. (Democratic hold)
Nevada: Harry Reid decides to retire, John Huck wins his seat (Republican pick up)
New York: Chuck Schumer wins another term (Democratic hold)
Oregon: Ron Wyden wins another term (Democratic hold)
Vermont: Mayor Mary Hooper wins the seat (Democratic hold)
Washington: Patty Murray wins another term (Democratic hold)
Oklahoma: Dewey F. Bartlett Jr. wins a term. (Republican hold)
South Carolina: Lt. Gov Ken Ard wins the seat (Republican hold)
Alabama: Richard Shelby wins a sixth term (Republican hold)
Kentucky: Rand Paul loses his reelection bid to Daniel Mongiardo (Democratic pick up)
Alaska: Lisa Murkowski wins a third term (Republican hold)
Arizona: Meghan McCain, who was appointed to here late fathers Senate seat, wins a full term of her own. (Republican hold)
Arkansas: John Boozman wins reelection (Republican hold)
Florida: Rubio wins reelection while simultaneously running for the Vice Presidency (Republican hold)
Georgia: Iskakson wins reelection (Republican hold)
Idaho: Crapo wins reelection (Republican hold)
Illinois: Mark Kirk wins reelection (Republican hold)
Indiana: Dick Mourdock wins election to the Senate (Republican hold)
Iowa: Bruce Braley wins election (Democratic pick up)
Kansas: Moran wins reelection (Republican hold)
Louisiana: Vitter loses reelection to Rep. Cedric Richmond (Democratic pick up)
Missouri: Blunt wins reelection (Republican hold)
New Hampshire: Ayotte wins reelection (Republican hold)
North Carolina: Burr narrowly loses reelection to Charlotte Mayor Anthony Foxx (Democratic pick up)
North Dakota: Hoeven wins reeleciton (Republican hold)
Ohio: Rob Portman wins reelection (Republican hold)
Pennsylvania: Toomey wins reelection (Republican hold)
South Dakota: Thune wins reelection (Republican hold)
Utah: Lee wins reelection (Republican hold)
Wisconsin: Ron Johnson loses to Ron Kind (Democratic pick up)







Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 12, 2011, 02:03:41 PM
Senate Composition 2017 - 2019

(
)

Red = Two Democratic Senators
Blue = Two Republican Senators
Light Blue/Light Red - One vacancy and one Senator of that color's party
Green = One Democratic, One Republican Senator


United States Senate:

Democrats: 52 (+1)
Republican: 45 (-1)
Vacant: 3 (Orrin Hatch of Utah passed away as well as Bernie Sanders of Vermont. Catherine Masto of Nevada resigned her seat to ascend the Vice Presidency.)

House of Representatives:

Democrats: 219 (+10)
Republicans: 216 (-10)

Senate:

Alaska:   Mark Begich (D.)   
   Lisa Murkowski (R.)   
      
Alabama:   Jeff Sessions (R.)   
   Richard Shelby (R.)   
      
Arizona:   Meghan McCain (R.)   
   Rodney Glassman (D.)   
      
Arkansas:   John Boozman (R.)   
   Mark Pryor (D.)   
      
California:   Dianne Feinstein (D.)   
   Kamala Harris (D.)   
      
Colorado:   Mark Udall (D.)   
   Jane Norton (R.)   
      
Connecticut:    Alec Baldwin (D.)   
   John Rowland (R.)   
      
Delaware:   Chris Coons (D.)   
   Tom Carper (D.)   
      
Florida:   Bill Nelson (D.)   
   Marco Rubio (R.)   
      
Georgia:   Saxy Chambliss (R.)   
   Iskakson (R.)   
      
Hawaii:   Daniel Inouye (D.)   
   Ed Case (D.)   
      
Idaho:   Mike Crapo (R.)   
   Brad Little (R.)   
      
Illinois:    Dick Durbin (D.)   
   Mark Kirk (R.)   
      
Indiana:   Richard Lugar (R.)   
   Richard Mourdock (R.)   
      
Iowa:   Bruce Braley (D.)   
   Tom Latham (R.)   
      
Kansas:   Moran (R.)   
   Derek Schmidt (R.)   
      
Kentucky:   Daniel Mongiardo (D.)   
   Mitch McConnell (R.)   
      
Louisiana:   John Dardenne (R.)   
   Cedric Richmond (D.)   
      
Maine:   Chandler Woodcock (D.)   
   John Baldacci (D.)   
      
Maryland:   Barbara Mikulksi (D.)   
   Ben Cardin (D.)   
      
Massachusetts:   John Kerry (D.)   
   Setti Warren (D.)   
      
Michigan:   Jennifer Granholm (D.)   
   Debbie Stabenow (D.)   
      
Minnesota:   Al Franken (D.)   
   Amy Klobuchar (D.)   
      
Mississippi:   Roger Wick (R.)   
   That Cochran (R.)   
      
Missouri:   Roy Blunt (R.)   
   Sarah Steelman (R.)   
      
Montana:   Rick Hills (R.)   
   Marc Racicot (R.)   
      
Nebraska:   Mike Johanns (R.)   
   Jon Bruning (R.)   
      
Nevada:   Vacant   
   John Huck (R.)   
      
New Hampshire:   Jeanne Shaheen (D.)   
   Kelly Ayotte (R.)   
      
New Jersey:   Bob Menendez (D.)   
   Corey Booker (D.)   
      
New Mexico:   Martin Heinrich (D.)   
   Tom Udall (D.)   
      
New York:   Charles Schumer (D.)   
   Steve Israel (D.)   
      
North Carolina:   Anthony Foxx (D.)   
   Kay Hagan (D.)   
      
North Dakota:    Heidi Heitkamp (D.)   
   John Hoeven (R.)   
      
Ohio:   Sherrod Brown (D.)   
   Rob Portman (R.)   
      
Oklahoma:   Dewey Bartlett (R.)   
   Todd Labm (R.)   
      
Oregon:   Jeff Merkley (D.)   
   Ron Wyden (D.)   
      
Pennsylvania:   Bob Casey (D.)   
   Pat Toomey (R.)   
      
Rhode Island:   Jack Reed (D.)   
   Sheldon Whitehouse (D.)   
      
South Carolina:   Lindsey Graham (R.)   
   Ken Ard (R.)   
      
South Dakota:   John Thune (R.)   
   Kristi Noem (R.)   
      
Tennessee:   Bob Corker (R.)   
   Lamar Alexander (R.)   
      
Texas:   Elizabeth Jones (R.)   
   John Crnyn (R.)   
      
Utah:   Mike Lee (R.)   
   Vacant   
      
Vermont:   Vacant   
   Mary Hooper (D.)   
      
Virginia:   Tim Kaine (D.)   
   Mark Wanrer (D.)   
      
Washington:   Maria Cantwell (D.)   
   Patty Murray (D.)   
      
West Virginia:   Carte Goodwin (D.)   
   Joe Manchin (D.)   
      
Wisconsin:   Ron Kind (D.)   
   Tammy Baldwin (D.)   
      
Wyoming:   Barrasso (R.)   
   Colin Simpson (R.)   


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 12, 2011, 03:05:39 PM
Governors as of January 2017

(
)

Democrats: 20
Republicans: 29
Independent: 1

Term Expires January 2019 (Next Election 2018)

Alaska: Sean Parnell (R.)
Arizona: Phil Gordon (D)
Arkansas: Rick Crawford (R.)
California: Gavin Newsom (D.)
Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D)
Connecticut: Dan Malloy is reelected (D)
Georgia: Lowell Casey Cagle (R.)
Florida: Rick Scott (R.)
Hawaii: Mufi Mannemann (D)
Idaho: Republican (R.)
Illinois: Peter Roskam (R.)
Iowa: Kim Reynolds (R.)
Kansas: Sam Brownback wins reelection (R.)
Maine: Chellie Pingree (D)
Maryland: Anthony Brown (D)
Massachusetts: Scott Brown (R.)
Michigan:  Virgil Bernero (D)
Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D.)
Nebraska: David Heineman (R.)
Nevada: Brian Sandoval (R.)
New Hampshire: Ovide Lamontagne (R.)
New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R.)
New York: Andrew Cuomo is elected (R.)
Ohio: Tim Ryan (D)
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R.)
Oregon:  John Kroger wins election (D)
Pennsylvania: Tom Cortbett (R.)
Rhode Island: Lincoln Chafee (I)
South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R.)
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (R.)
Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R.)
Texas: Chet Edwards (D)
Utah: Republican
Vermont: Peter Shumlins  (D)
Wisconsin: Paul Soglin (D
Wyoming: Matt Mead (R.)

Term Expires January 2018 (Election 2017)

Louisiana: Republican (R.)
New Jersey: Chris Christie (R)
Virginia: Donald Beyer (D)

Term Expires January 2021 (Election 2020)

Delaware: Matthew Denn (D)
Indiana: Mike Pence (R.)
Missouri: Peter Kinder (R.)
Montana: Steve Bullock (D)
New Hampshire: Jim Bouley (D)
North Carolina: Deborah Ross (D)
North Dakota: Drew Wrigley  (R.)
Vermont:  Phillip Scott (R.)
Washington: Greg Nickels
West Virginia: Jim Addy (R.)
Mississippi: Phil Bryant (R.)


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 12, 2011, 03:30:49 PM
()

January 20, 2017 - Governor Eliot L. Spitzer is inaugurated as President of the United States. Catherine Masto is inaugurated as Vice President of the United States.

President Obama leaves office with a 53% approval rating, 6.5% unemployment and with more than a trillion dollar deficit.

Vice President of the United States
Catherine Cortez Masto

Department of State
Secretary Jack Reed (Approved unanimously by voice vote)
 
Department of the Treasury
Secretary Austan Golsbee (67-33)
 
Department of Defense
Secretary Mark Kirk (Approved unanimously by voice vote)
 
Department of Justice
Attorney General Russ Feingold (77-23)
 
Department of the Interior
Secretary Brian Schweitzer (Approved unanimously by voice vote)
 
Department of Agriculture
Secretary Steve Beshear (53-47)
 
Department of Commerce
Secretary Christine Gregoire (77-23)
 
Department of Labor
Secretary Seth Harris (Approved unanimously by voice vote)

Department of Health and Human Services
Secretary Michael Bennett (Approved unanimously by voice vote)
 
Department of Housing and Urban Development
Secretary Michael Bloomberg (Approved unanimously by voice vote)
 
Department of Transportation
Secretary Ed Rendell (90-2-6)

Department of Energy
Secretary Arnold Schwarzenegger (Approved unanimously by voice vote)
 
Department of Education
Secretary Dr. John Deasy (87-13)
 
Department of Veterans Affairs
Secretary Admiral Robert J. Papp, Jr. (65-35)
 
Department of Homeland Security
Secretary Martin O'Malley  (70-25-5)


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on May 12, 2011, 08:21:59 PM
Arnold's back! :D


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on May 12, 2011, 08:24:39 PM
By the way, those are some damn weird election results. Just because it's two hispanics versus one, in my book, doesn't mean that California's gonna go Republican, especially before Nevada goes Republican.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 13, 2011, 09:19:56 AM
By the way, those are some damn weird election results. Just because it's two hispanics versus one, in my book, doesn't mean that California's gonna go Republican, especially before Nevada goes Republican.

Trying to make it interesting. It's certainly possible.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: feeblepizza on May 13, 2011, 11:41:41 AM
By the way, those are some damn weird election results. Just because it's two hispanics versus one, in my book, doesn't mean that California's gonna go Republican, especially before Nevada goes Republican.

Trying to make it interesting. It's certainly possible.
It may be possible in 30-40 years, but certainly not in 2016.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on May 13, 2011, 05:35:15 PM
By the way, those are some damn weird election results. Just because it's two hispanics versus one, in my book, doesn't mean that California's gonna go Republican, especially before Nevada goes Republican.

Trying to make it interesting. It's certainly possible.
It may be possible in 30-40 years, but certainly not in 2016.

Looking at the map for the first time, I was thinking "there's something off. What is it? It looks normal, but something seems weird", then I noticed the Republicans got the West Coast.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: feeblepizza on May 13, 2011, 06:40:11 PM
By the way, those are some damn weird election results. Just because it's two hispanics versus one, in my book, doesn't mean that California's gonna go Republican, especially before Nevada goes Republican.

Trying to make it interesting. It's certainly possible.
It may be possible in 30-40 years, but certainly not in 2016.

Looking at the map for the first time, I was thinking "there's something off. What is it? It looks normal, but something seems weird", then I noticed the Republicans got the West Coast.
Democrats also won Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: MorningInAmerica on May 14, 2011, 01:41:39 PM
By the way, those are some damn weird election results. Just because it's two hispanics versus one, in my book, doesn't mean that California's gonna go Republican, especially before Nevada goes Republican.

Trying to make it interesting. It's certainly possible.
It may be possible in 30-40 years, but certainly not in 2016.

Looking at the map for the first time, I was thinking "there's something off. What is it? It looks normal, but something seems weird", then I noticed the Republicans got the West Coast.
Democrats also won Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia.

 Kentucky and Tennessee (and probably WV) have about as much chance of being won by a Democrat  as New York City does electing Sarah Palin. It's just not going to happen, and certainly not by some New Yorker, and is evben more unbelievable to me than Martinez carrying California.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: sentinel on May 15, 2011, 07:37:00 PM
Trying to make it interesting, why don't you critique the realism of my Tsunami timeline? :p


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on May 15, 2011, 07:39:09 PM
Trying to make it interesting, why don't you critique the realism of my Tsunami timeline? :p

You haven't posted in it in a while, and I took it less seriously than I do this.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: feeblepizza on May 15, 2011, 07:40:35 PM
Trying to make it interesting, why don't you critique the realism of my Tsunami timeline? :p
Well, the tsunami timeline is somewhat realistic because anything could happen if our government collapsed due to a natural disaster. Demographics would change drastically due to mass deaths and evacuations of effected areas. But the 2016 map you posted is more suitable for some far off year like 2044 or 2048, imo.


Title: Re: The Steamroller Presidency
Post by: heatmaster on February 24, 2012, 03:47:43 PM
So what, if Martinez is a hispanic then it's reasonable to say she would generate that much appeal on the west coast, being a woman also helps, also Spitzer would do well in Tennessee, Kentucky and West Virginia due to his trust busting work as New York State Attorney General and because of his law and order credentials, as well as looking out for the little guy.