Title: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: WalterMitty on July 04, 2011, 02:14:21 PM
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Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: Del Tachi on July 05, 2011, 01:22:48 PM
It certainly looked that way on September 12, 2001...
But throw in all of ME, CT, NY, IL, and CA
But throw in all of ME, CT, NY, IL, and CA
Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: Napoleon on July 05, 2011, 02:18:59 PM
No, the country was far too polarized.
Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: phk on July 05, 2011, 03:48:34 PM
If the labor market was better, I could envision a Bush +8 or Bush +9 type scenario in 2004.
See: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=134088.msg2862318#msg2862318
See: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=134088.msg2862318#msg2862318
Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: Hotblack Desiato on July 08, 2011, 12:43:18 PM
Either remove 9/11 from the equation or have him handle it better and you'd get that.
Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on July 09, 2011, 04:23:27 AM
Not without changing real-life events.
Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: Nym90 on July 09, 2011, 08:44:16 AM
If Bin Laden had been captured right before the election, I can see this result occurring.
Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on July 15, 2011, 05:43:16 AM
Delaware going Republican? No.
Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on July 15, 2011, 08:55:16 AM
maybe if no Iraq War.
Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on July 15, 2011, 02:51:48 PM
maybe if no Iraq War.
Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on July 15, 2011, 04:22:03 PM
maybe if no Iraq War.
Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: Bo on July 15, 2011, 05:35:05 PM
With a bin Laden capture and an even worse Democratic campaign (possibly with a different nominee), Bush could have achieved this result.
Title: Re: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
Post by: RIP Robert H Bork on July 15, 2011, 08:50:39 PM
Delaware going Republican? No.
Why not? In 2004 there was no Joe Biden on the ticket and Bush lost the state by only 7 points (53-46), just like New Jersey.
Of course, if you're saying Bush had a lower ceiling in Delaware....