Talk Elections

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 41%
Disapprove...................................................... 56%

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Mitt Romney.................................................... 53%
Barack Obama................................................ 38%

Rick Perry ....................................................... 49%
Barack Obama................................................ 41%

Newt Gingrich ................................................. 45%
Barack Obama................................................ 44%

Barack Obama................................................ 44%
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 44%

Barack Obama................................................ 45%
Sarah Palin ..................................................... 45%

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If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Rick Perry, and Stephen Colbert running as an independent, who would you vote for?

Barack Obama................................................ 36%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 43%
Stephen Colbert.............................................. 12%

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_SC_0831.pdf

Obama vs. Romney

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Damn, I wish PPP would poll Georgia, so that the state can become blue for Romney !

It looks odd and the poll by an unknown GOP outfit is ages old ... :P

Colbert would never run because he'd have to give up his show.

Ditto on Georgia...

This is painful for me to request as a Romney supporter, but I think it's time for there to be a Perry and Romney map.

Obama vs. Romney

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Obama vs. Bachmann



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Obama vs. Palin

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Obama vs. Perry

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Pbrower, the Tennessee poll-

Ah, nevermind.

Romney out-performing Perry in South Carolina against Obama?  Wow that is really surprising.  Obviously a general is different than a primary but this would really help Romney's electability argument.  Not because of South Carolina per se, but because of other southern states the GOP must win such as North Carolina and Virginia.

Also what's with Stephen Colbert?  It looks like he takes an equal vote share from both Obama and Perry.

It's simply old, and it showed splits like 37-35 (take a look at the shade) or something to that effect that make it suspect. Tennessee will be a good state to poll at any time, and the approval rating for Kentucky from PPP should be.... interesting.    

Now back to South Carolina -- no Democratic nominee for President has won the state since Jimmy Carter did in 1976.  Bill Clinton, who should have been a good cultural match for South Carolina, didn't win the state even once and wasn't close. The Republican must win this state to have a chance to defeat President Obama in 2012  -- and in view of 2008, really must win the state by at least 12% in the general election to have a reasonable chance of winning the Presidency.  Romney seems to do that at the recent nadir of approval ratings for the President.  Perry does not; he does no better than John McCain did in 2008.

Unless we see a huge reduction in interstate polarization between the states in voting behavior, South Carolina must be a stronger win for the Republican nominee than it was for John McCain if the Republican is to win nationally.  Dubya won the state by roughly 16% in two close elections. Romney comes close to that, but even that might not be enough, and that is at a nadir for approval for President Obama.   Perry doesn't project to win the state by a margin stronger than John McCain did, and if either Bachmann or Palin find this state close... then President Obama is at the least on the brink of a landslide.

Why are you forgetting to color FL blue?

Corrected.