Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: Duke David on September 22, 2011, 07:36:03 AM



Title: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Duke David on September 22, 2011, 07:36:03 AM
The items listed above are the ten most "successful" bellwether states.

Click on those three states whose inhabitants (or state legislature, respectively) voted for the "right" candidate most frequently.

PS: What matters is not the popular vote, but the eventually winning candidate.

___________________________________________________________________________________

Answer:

#1 New Mexico (92,0%)
#2 Illinois (83,3%)
#3 Ohio (82,7%)


Thanks to everyone who cast their vote.



Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on September 22, 2011, 11:34:45 AM
Intuitively, I'd say IL, NM and OH.


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Duke David on September 22, 2011, 12:18:53 PM

I'll give you a hint:

At least one of your suggestions is correct.


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Thomas D on September 22, 2011, 06:00:11 PM
Nevada and Ohio. No clue as to the 3rd.


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on September 22, 2011, 06:09:22 PM
Ohio, Illinois, and California.


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Duke David on September 22, 2011, 06:31:43 PM
I know which state virtually never voted "wrong".

You'll never guess right. HARHARHAR


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Duke David on September 22, 2011, 06:37:00 PM

At least one correct answer, Snowstalker. :)


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on September 22, 2011, 06:44:18 PM
Is it the same one as Antonio?


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: President von Cat on September 22, 2011, 11:49:50 PM
NM, NV, OH?


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on September 23, 2011, 12:05:54 PM


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: I Am Feeblepizza. on September 23, 2011, 12:08:56 PM
Ohio is one; the others, I can't even guess.


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Fritz on September 23, 2011, 03:30:12 PM
New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on September 24, 2011, 02:42:49 PM
I'm certain one is California and another is Illinois.


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Duke David on September 24, 2011, 03:51:35 PM
I'm certain one is California and another is Illinois.

One of them is correct, the other one is wrong.


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on September 24, 2011, 05:01:39 PM
California and Ohio?


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Duke David on September 24, 2011, 06:35:20 PM

The same as before: One is correct, one is wrong. ;)


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on September 24, 2011, 07:05:01 PM
Ohio and Illinois?


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Duke David on September 24, 2011, 07:25:04 PM

According to rules of Boolean logic, either both are correct or both are wrong. ;D


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on September 24, 2011, 07:35:58 PM
I hate you. :P


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: ShamDam on September 25, 2011, 01:35:46 AM
Here's what we know:

At least one of OH, IL, CA must be correct. At least one of IL, NM, OH must be correct.

CA and IL cannot both be correct, but one is.

CA and OH cannot both be correct, but one is.

Therefore, if California is correct, New Mexico must also be correct. And if California isn't correct, Ohio and Illinois must also be correct.

In order for this to be guessable, more information is needed. Personally, I voted for NM, NV, and OH. However, given the information thus far, that is impossible.

As of right now, the possibilities are:


CA, NM, AZ
CA, NM, MT
CA, NM, NV
CA, NM, NY
CA, NM, PA
CA, NM, UT

OH, IL, AZ
OH, IL, MT
OH, IL, NV
OH, IL, NY
OH, IL, PA
OH, IL, UT
OH, IL, NM

What a waste of time.


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on September 25, 2011, 04:12:26 AM
I'm sure Illinois and Ohio are. The third one is most probably NM.


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Duke David on September 25, 2011, 05:56:24 AM

In order for this to be guessable, more information is needed. Personally, I voted for NM, NV, and OH. However, given the information thus far, that is impossible.

You ought to know the answer by intuition.


As of right now, the possibilities are:

CA, NM, AZ
CA, NM, MT
CA, NM, NV
CA, NM, NY
CA, NM, PA
CA, NM, UT

OH, IL, AZ
OH, IL, MT
OH, IL, NV
OH, IL, NY
OH, IL, PA
OH, IL, UT
OH, IL, NM

What a waste of time.

I can reassure you: You've listed the correct combination. 8)


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on September 26, 2011, 05:42:48 PM
IL, OH, PA


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Duke David on September 26, 2011, 06:10:05 PM

Not bad, but still wrong.


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on September 26, 2011, 06:18:40 PM
OH, IL, NM?


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Duke David on September 27, 2011, 01:15:50 PM

Who knows? 8)


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on September 27, 2011, 02:09:21 PM
So is that a no?


Title: Re: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
Post by: Duke David on October 27, 2011, 10:53:24 AM
The voting has closed.

Thanks to everyone who took part in this quiz.